cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Nyck Harbor /South Carolina

Nyck Harbor

WR · South Carolina · Jr · #8

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

618 REC YDS · 30 REC · 6 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to South Carolina for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to South Carolina for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Wide receiver · South Carolina

Returning around him

  • 62% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
  • 3 South Carolina players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: +1 net (25 in / 24 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

South Carolina · Last season: 4-8 (AP #11) · Talent rank #18 · 2026 recruiting class #18

WR · SOUTH CAROLINA · SEC

Nyck Harbor

  • 3
  • #8
  • 6-5 | 235 lb
  • Washington, DC

CFB Zeitgeist Score

75

All-Conference in the position cohort. Carried by rec tds at the 87th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#2479

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2023–2025
1952023
6182025

+217%

Up 217% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★★
#20 national
CFB
College
South Carolina
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class3
Jersey8
Measurements6-5 | 235 lb
HometownWashington, DC
Primary teamSouth Carolina

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 5-star No. 20 recruit
Composite rating 0.9865 HighSchool
Signed with South Carolina 2023
Origin Archbishop Carroll Washington, DC, USA
Class Profile Context
2023 5-star | 0.9865 No. 20 recruit | HighSchool | South Carolina

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#2479Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#2196Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

Achievements

  • Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in receiving yards (618).

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★★

to South Carolina

Composite

0.9865

#20 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Nyck Harbor

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

75

Grounded Optimism

Sample 2 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 2 mentions · belief +50 · "Gamecocks WR Nyck Harbor has an opportunity under Kendal Briles, and he knows it"Own fans
  • Own fans · n=2

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Nyck Harbor

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Yards per reception

20.6

yds

All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions

National rank #7 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 99th

Why it matters

#7 of 531 All FBS WRs at 20.6 yards per reception (30 catches).

Vs cohort

This player 20.6 (99th)

HIGH · n=30 cohort 531

  • Also strong
  • Receiving yards (total)#137 / 531
  • Receiving TDs#55 / 531

Signature Moment

Week 14 vs Clemson — 115 ypr

Result L 14-28

The week the volume broke through — put up 115 yds vs Clemson.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 11g
618Rec yards
30Receptions
6Rec TDs
Per game
56.2Rec yards
3Receptions
1Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
730.4Rec yards
35Receptions
7Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 618): needs 41/game over remaining 2.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 618): needs 191/game over remaining 2.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 30): needs 15/game over remaining 2.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 30): needs 25/game over remaining 2.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 6): needs 1/game over remaining 2.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 6): needs 2/game over remaining 2.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Nyck Harbor's story is about how role and output meet each other. For South Carolina, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #2479 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 6.2% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 20 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 30 6 rec TD | #282/1110 (75th pct)
Receiving yards 618 20.6 per catch | #142/1107 (87th pct)
Scrimmage yards 630 Total offensive yardage | #142/1107 (87th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Big-play receiver | All-purpose weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Big-play receiverAll-purpose weapon

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
30 75th
YDS
618 87th
YPR
20.6 94th
TD
6 95th

Rushing

CAR
1 35th
YDS
12 53rd
YPC
12.0 92nd
TD
0 81st

Returns

KR YDS
242 80th
KR AVG
22.0 70th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 11 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 24-11vs Virginia Tech39933.0164
Wk 2W 38-10vs South Carolina State
Wk 3L 7-31vs Vanderbilt46616.5026
Wk 4L 20-29@ Missouri34515.0033
Wk 5W 35-13vs Kentucky11010.0010
Wk 7L 10-20@ LSU23618.0020
Wk 8L 7-26vs Oklahoma4225.5112
Wk 9L 22-29vs Alabama15454.0154
Wk 10L 14-30@ Ole Miss36923.0147
Wk 12L 30-31@ Texas A&M310234.0180
Wk 14L 14-28vs Clemson611519.2153Season-high 115 yds
Total3061822.8680
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023South Carolina5-7HC: Shane Beamer · Balanced
2025South Carolina4-8HC: Shane Beamer · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025South Carolina3061820.66--
2023South Carolina1219516.21--
Career2 loaded seasons4281319.47--
SeasonTeam
2025South Carolina112242----
2023South Carolina210------
Career2 loaded seasons322242----
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 6.2% 12.1% pass-game share | #374/1137 (67th pct)
Return yards 242 0 return TD | #48/238 (80th pct)
Touchdowns 6 Across offense and returns | #56/1111 (95th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 30 #282/1110 75th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 618 #142/1107 87th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 6 #56/1111 95th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 20.6 #65/1106 94th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Kick return yards 242 #48/238 80th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 12.1% #374/1137 67th pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing LONG 12 #144/346 59th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing yards 12 #187/397 53rd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Yards / carry 12.0 #31/393 92nd pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Rushing Carries 1 #264/407 35th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Rush TD 0 #81/411 81st pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 80 #28/1105 98th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Returns Kick return avg 22.0 #71/236 70th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Kick returns 11 #50/243 80th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 7.7% #406/1137 64th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 6.7% #334/1137 71st pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 6.7% #483/1137 58th pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Role share 6.2% #345/1137 70th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 5.3% #359/1137 69th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 4.8% #449/1137 61st pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.3% #332/1137 71st pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/302 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 11 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home7g2.752.323.00.6
Road4g2.863.022.50.5

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins3g1.336.321.50.3
Losses8g3.263.623.10.6

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-76g2.242.718.50.2
Weeks 8+5g3.472.427.11.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

75All-Conference
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: yards / catch (98th). Strength: long catch (95th).

Yards / catch#11 / 558 · 98th pct
20.6rece
Long catch#24 / 558 · 95th pct
80rece
Rec TDs#56 / 558 · 87th pct
6rece
Fumbles lost#1 / 218 · 81st pct
0fumb
Rec yards#142 / 558 · 75th pct
618rece
Rush yards#145 / 287 · 49th pct
12rush
Receptions#282 / 558 · 48th pct
30rece
Rush TDs#67 / 287 · 39th pct
0rush

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Nyck HarborSouth CarolinaChris Brazzell IITennessee· 77% simEric McAlisterTCU· 77% simDenzel BostonWashington· 77% sim
Yards / catch
98
Harbor
87
II
87
McAlister
66
Boston
Long catch
95
Harbor
86
II
98
McAlister
94
Boston
Rec TDs
87
Harbor
97
II
98
McAlister
98
Boston
Fumbles lost
81
Harbor
81
McAlister
81
Boston
Rec yards
75
Harbor
97
II
99
McAlister
92
Boston
Rush yards
49
Harbor
Receptions
48
Harbor
91
II
97
McAlister
91
Boston
Rush TDs
39
Harbor

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Deep Threat

Stretches the field vertically. Every snap is a potential big play.

WR

His 2025 production profile sits closest to RaJae Johnson’s 2022 season.

RaJae Johnson

63%match

Troy · 2022

#2

Quentin Johnston

TCU · 2021

NFL Rd 1 · Pk 22
62%
#3

Dont'E Thornton

Tennessee · 2024

61%
#4

Da'Quan Felton

Virginia Tech · 2023

61%
#5

Duce Robinson

USC · 2024

55%

Matches RaJae on

Reception volume
Total EPA (college ability)
Height

Differs from RaJae on

Recruiting rating (higher)
Weight (higher)

Through 3 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Kahtero Summers’s path through Rhode Island.

Kahtero Summers

88%match

Rhode Island · 2023

#2

Sackett Wood Jr.

Virginia · 2023

87%
#3

Greg Dulcich

UCLA · 2021

NFL Rd 3 · Pk 16
85%
#4

Leon Johnson III

Oklahoma State · 2023

84%
#5

Jalen Williams

Louisiana · 2021

81%

Matches Kahtero on

Yards per reception

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Davion Dozier's junior season at App State (2025).

Davion Dozier

60%match

App State · 2025

#2

Reed Harris

Boston College · 2025

59%
#3

Da'Quan Felton

Virginia Tech · 2023

59%
#4

Justin Shorter

Florida · 2022

NFL Rd 5
57%
#5

John Stephens

Louisiana · 2022

55%

Matches Davion on

Height

Differs from Davion on

Class year (higher)
Recruiting rating (higher)
Weight (higher)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Shane Beamer

Pass share

45.5%

340 pass / 407 run

Plays / game

62.2

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

13.0%

316 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

1 coach
2023
Shane Beamer
South Carolina
2025
Shane Beamer
South Carolina

Played his entire career under Shane Beamer.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownWashington, DC
Height6'5"
Weight235 lb
Class3
PositionWR
Jersey8

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 South Carolina WR3 #2479 #2196 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | SEC
2023 South Carolina WR3 #1621 #1878 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | SEC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 South Carolina SEC WR 3 No. 8 | 6-5 | 235 lb | Washington, DC
2024 South Carolina SEC WR 3 No. 8 | 6-5 | 235 lb | Washington, DC
2023 South Carolina SEC WR 3 No. 8 | 6-5 | 235 lb | Washington, DC