cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Noah Thomas /Georgia

Noah Thomas

WR · Georgia · Sr · #5

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

254 REC YDS · 16 REC · 4 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Georgia for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Georgia for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Wide receiver · Georgia

Returning around him

  • 37% of 2024 offensive production back (Moderate turnover)
  • 8 Georgia players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -7 net (9 in / 16 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Georgia · Last season: 12-2 (AP #2) · Talent rank #1 · 2026 recruiting class #2

WR · GEORGIA · SEC

Noah Thomas

  • 4
  • #5
  • 6-5 | 205 lb
  • League City, TX

CFB Zeitgeist Score

53

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by yards / catch at the 83rd percentile.

Heisman Heat

#2423

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2022–2025
51.02022
3592023
2542025

+398%

Up 398% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
2 teams
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class4
Jersey5
Measurements6-5 | 205 lb
HometownLeague City, TX
Primary teamGeorgia

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Georgia 2025
Transfer stars 4-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 7, 2025
Season Move Context
2025 Texas A&M -> Georgia 4-star | 0.9300 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#2423Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#2207Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Noah Thomas

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

Awaiting per-cohort signal

Sample 0 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmNational: 2 mentions · belief +0 · "Georgia has added transfer WR Isiah Canion from Georgia Tech. Canion was GT's "National
  • National · n=2

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Noah Thomas

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 6g
254Rec yards
16Receptions
4Rec TDs
Per game
42.3Rec yards
3Receptions
1Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
550.3Rec yards
35Receptions
9Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 254): needs 63.7/game over remaining 7.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 254): needs 106.6/game over remaining 7.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 16): needs 6.3/game over remaining 7.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 16): needs 9.1/game over remaining 7.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 4): needs 0.6/game over remaining 7.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 4): needs 0.9/game over remaining 7.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Noah Thomas's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Georgia, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #2423 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 4.1% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 1 portal move

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 16 4 rec TD | #465/1110 (58th pct)
Receiving yards 254 15.9 per catch | #405/1107 (64th pct)
Scrimmage yards 254 Total offensive yardage | #405/1107 (64th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Big-play receiver against FBS receiving peers.

Big-play receiver

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
16 58th
YDS
254 64th
YPR
15.9 81st
TD
4 86th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 6 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 2W 28-6vs Austin Peay3248.0011
Wk 7W 20-10@ Auburn13030.0030
Wk 10W 24-20@ Florida12222.0122
Wk 11W 41-21@ Mississippi State37826.0164Season-high 78 yds
Wk 12W 35-10vs Texas4328.02172 TD catches
Wk 13W 35-3vs Charlotte46817.0038
Total1625418.5464
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Texas A&M5-7HC: Jimbo Fisher · Balanced
2023Texas A&M7-6HC: Elijah Robinson · Balanced
2025Georgia12-2HC: Kirby Smart · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Georgia1625415.94--
2023Texas A&M2935912.45--
2022Texas A&M55110.22--
Career3 loaded seasons5066413.311--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 4.1% 8.9% pass-game share | #537/1137 (53rd pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 4 Across offense and returns | #152/1111 (86th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 16 #465/1110 58th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 254 #405/1107 64th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 4 #152/1111 86th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 15.9 #213/1106 81st pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 8.9% #537/1137 53rd pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 64 #136/1105 88th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 4.5% #575/1137 50th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 4.2% #494/1137 57th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 4.1% #547/1137 52nd pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 4.1% #804/1137 29th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage Role share 4.1% #596/1137 48th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 3.9% #742/1137 35th pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.0% #391/1137 66th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 6 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home3g3.741.311.00.7
Road3g1.743.326.00.7

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins6g2.742.318.50.7

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-72g2.027.019.00.0
Weeks 8+4g3.050.018.21.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

53Mid-pack
5 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: yards / catch (83rd). Concern: receptions (15th).

Yards / catch#93 / 558 · 83rd pct
15.9rece
Long catch#124 / 558 · 77th pct
64rece
Rec TDs#152 / 558 · 68th pct
4rece
Rec yards#405 / 558 · 27th pct
254rece
Receptions#465 / 558 · 15th pct
16rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 5 metrics
Noah ThomasGeorgiaHarrison Wallace IIIOle Miss· 55% simNik McMillanBuffalo· 54% simKyre DuplessisDelaware· 54% sim
Yards / catch
83
Thomas
78
III
84
McMillan
59
Duplessis
Long catch
77
Thomas
65
III
65
McMillan
81
Duplessis
Rec TDs
68
Thomas
68
III
57
McMillan
78
Duplessis
Rec yards
27
Thomas
94
III
96
McMillan
91
Duplessis
Receptions
15
Thomas
90
III
90
McMillan
92
Duplessis

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Jump-Ball Target

Wins contested catches at the goal line. Size and catch radius are the weapons.

WR

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Carlos Carriere’s 2021 season.

Carlos Carriere

78%match

Maryland · 2021

#2

John Stephens

Louisiana · 2021

74%
#3

Michael Fitzgerald

Wyoming · 2025

71%
#4

John Mitchell

Florida Atlantic · 2021

68%
#5

Justus Ross-Simmons

Syracuse · 2025

67%

Matches Carlos on

Total EPA (college ability)
Yards / reception
Reception volume

Differs from Carlos on

TD rate (higher)
Class year (higher)

Through 3 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Dai'Jean Dixon’s path through Nicholls.

Dai'Jean Dixon

100%match

Nicholls · 2021

#2

Jermaine Jackson

Idaho · 2023

99%
#3

Terrace Marshall

LSU · 2020

96%
#4

Ben Ratzlaff

Houston Christian · 2020

94%
#5

Jalen Camp

Georgia Tech · 2020

NFL Rd 6
93%

Matches Dai'Jean on

Yards per reception

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Justus Ross-Simmons's senior season at Syracuse (2025).

Justus Ross-Simmons

73%match

Syracuse · 2025

#2

Dan Dishman

UTSA · 2024

61%
#3

Joseph Manjack

Houston · 2024

55%
#4

Rocky Beers

Colorado State · 2025

All-Mountain West
54%
#5

Lance Mason

Wisconsin · 2025

All-Big Ten
44%

Matches Justus on

Total EPA (college ability)
Yards / reception
Weight

Differs from Justus on

Height (higher)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Kirby Smart

Pass share

42.5%

417 pass / 565 run

Plays / game

70.1

14 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.2%

290 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

1 coach
2022
Kirby Smart
Georgia
2023
Kirby Smart
Georgia
2025
Kirby Smart
Georgia

Played his entire career under Kirby Smart.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownLeague City, TX
Height6'5"
Weight205 lb
Class4
PositionWR
Jersey5

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Texas A&M WR4 #2423 #2207 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | SEC
2023 Texas A&M WR4 #502 #531 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | SEC
2022 Texas A&M WR4 #1841 #2100 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | SEC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Georgia SEC WR 4 No. 5 | 6-5 | 205 lb | League City, TX
2024 Texas A&M SEC WR 4 No. 5 | 6-5 | 205 lb | League City, TX
2023 Texas A&M SEC WR 4 No. 5 | 6-5 | 205 lb | League City, TX
2022 Texas A&M SEC WR 4 No. 5 | 6-5 | 205 lb | League City, TX