CFB Zeitgeist Score
75
All-Conference in the position cohort. Carried by interceptions at the 90th percentile.
Noah Avinger
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
81 TACKLES · 1 SACKS
2026 Outlook
Returning to Utah State for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Cornerback · Utah State
Returning around him
- 63% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
- Transfer portal: +10 net (29 in / 19 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Utah State · Last season: 6-7 · Talent rank #114 · 2026 recruiting class #87
CB · UTAH STATE · MOUNTAIN WEST
Noah Avinger
- 4
- 6-0 | 190 lb
- Cerritos, CA
Heisman Heat
#15358
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP DB AWARD
Jim Thorpe
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR06 · Starter
Starter. A locked-in starting role.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career arc · Season-by-season Standing
3 seasons on the ladder
2021
San Diego State · CB
—
2022
San Diego State · CB
—
★
2025
Utah State · CB
R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team
Recognized
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
2 teams
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 3-star | 0.8741 | No. 600 recruit | HighSchool | San Diego State |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | San Diego State -> New Mexico | 3-star | 0.8700 | Immediate |
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to San Diego State
Composite
0.8741
#600 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Noah Avinger
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Noah Avinger
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the defensive totals stand
Through 12g
81Tackles
3.5Tackles for loss
1Sacks
Per game
7Tackles
0.3Tackles for loss
0.1Sacks
Projected (13g)
88Tackles
3.8Tackles for loss
1.1Sacks
✓ Hit 80-tackle season · finished with 81.
To hit 100-tackle season (currently 81): needs 19/game over remaining 1.
To hit 6-sack season (currently 1): needs 5/game over remaining 1.
To hit 10-sack season (currently 1): needs 9/game over remaining 1.
Why this is a rare defensive case
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Noah Avinger is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Utah State's defense, with 1.0 sacks, 3.5 tackles for loss, and 3 interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
DEF season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Coverage splash | High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Tackling & Disruption
TOT
81 97th
SOLO
42 96th
TFL
3.5 83rd
SACK
1.0 82nd
QBH
1 44th
Coverage & Takeaways
PD
10 99th
INT
3 94th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 12 games
| Wk | Opp | TKL | SOLO | TFL | SACK | INT | PD | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 28-16vs UTEP | 11 | 8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 2 | L 22-44@ Texas A&M | 6 | 4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Wk 3 | W 49-30vs Air Force | 9 | 3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Wk 4 | W 48-7vs McNeese | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 2 | |
| Wk 5 | L 35-55@ Vanderbilt | 12 | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0 | Season-high 12 tackles |
| Wk 7 | L 26-44@ Hawai'i | 3 | 3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 1 | |
| Wk 8 | W 30-25vs San José State | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 2 | |
| Wk 9 | L 14-33@ New Mexico | 9 | 3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 11 | W 51-14vs Nevada | 7 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 12 | L 26-29@ UNLV | 3 | 3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | — | 2 | |
| Wk 13 | W 28-17@ Fresno State | 6 | 5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 2 | |
| Wk 14 | L 24-25vs Boise State | 11 | 8 | 2.5 | 1.0 | — | 1 | 2.5 TFL |
| Total | 81 | 42 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 3 | 10 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2021San Diego State11-2HC: Brady Hoke · Run-heavy
2022San Diego State7-6HC: Brady Hoke · Run-leaning, slow tempo
2025Utah State6-7HC: Bronco Mendenhall · Balanced
| Season | Team | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Utah State | 81 | 42 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 10 | 3 | -- |
| 2022 | San Diego State | 35 | 24 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 3 | 1 | -- |
| 2021 | San Diego State | 15 | 10 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 2 | 1 | -- |
| Career | 3 loaded seasons | 131 | 76 | 5.5 | 1.0 | 15 | 5 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.
Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Defense | Total tackles | 81 | #135/4942 | 97th pct | Volumevs FBS DEF |
| Defense | TFL | 3.5 | #869/4972 | 83rd pct | Disruptionvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Sacks | 1.0 | #872/4972 | 82nd pct | Disruptionvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Interceptions | 3 | #56/869 | 94th pct | Takeawaysvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Pass breakups | 10 | #20/2184 | 99th pct | Coveragevs FBS DEF |
| Defense | QB hurries | 1 | #1051/1878 | 44th pct | Disruptionvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Solo tackles | 42 | #165/4584 | 96th pct | Volumevs FBS DEF |
| Defense | INT return yards | 11 | #393/578 | 32nd pct | Takeawaysvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | INT return avg | 3.7 | #485/578 | 16th pct | Takeawaysvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Fumbles recovered | 1 | #103/736 | 86th pct | Takeawaysvs FBS DEF |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 0 | #1/773 | 100th pct | Turnoversvs FBS DEF |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
ALL-CONF HM
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
ALL-CONF HM · Rung 9 of 16
Why he’s here
All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started.
What moves him up
A best-at-position run lifts to 1st team.
What moves him down
A back-end conference finish drops out of the honor list.
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
The Thorpe award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 12 games
Home vs Road
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home6g | 7.0 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Road6g | 6.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.8 |
Win vs Loss
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins6g | 6.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Losses6g | 7.3 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.7 |
First half vs Second half
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-76g | 7.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 |
| Weeks 8+6g | 6.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 1.2 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the CB cohort
75All-Conference
Elite: passes defended (99th). Strength: tackles (95th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · CB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Noah AvingerUtah StateJacob RodriguezTexas Tech· 90% simEli BlakeyMiami (OH)· 89% simAndon ThomasArmy· 87% sim
Passes defended
Tackles
Solo tackles
Interceptions
Tackles for loss
Sacks
QB hurries
Forced fumbles
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Ball Hawk
Reads the quarterback's eyes and takes the ball away.
CB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Jalen Mcclendon’s 2025 season.
Jalen Mcclendon
71%match
All-MAC
#2
Tyon Davis
70%
#3
Jaquez White
70%
#4
Christian Roland-Wallace
65%
#5
Corey Mayfield Jr.
All-Conference USA
69%
Matches Jalen on
Class year
Height
PD rate
Differs from Jalen on
Tackle volume (higher)
Not enough data yet for this comparison.
As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Gregory Rubin's senior season at Memphis (2024).
Gregory Rubin
81%match
#2
Abraham Camara
81%
#3
Kempton Shine
81%
#4
Peter Manuma
79%
#5
Johnathan Baldwin
All-Mountain West
79%
Matches Gregory on
Class year
Weight
PD rate
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Bronco Mendenhall
Pass share
47.9%
403 pass / 439 run
Plays / game
64.8
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
12.7%
339 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025
2 coaches2021
Blake Anderson
Utah State
2022
Blake Anderson
Utah State
2025era →
Bronco Mendenhall
Utah State
Coaching transition mid-career: Blake Anderson → Bronco Mendenhall. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownCerritos, CA
Height6'0"
Weight190 lb
Class4
PositionCB
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamUtah State
ConferenceMountain West
Joined2025
Career arc5 season(s)
Trophy Case · Confirmed honors
What the selectors said
🎖
ALL-CONFERENCE
All-Conf mention (2025)
All-Mountain West
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
1 all-conference honor
Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | All-Mountain West | all_conference | Utah State | Mountain West | DB |
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | New Mexico | CB4 | #15358 | #15489 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Mountain West |
| 2023 | San Diego State | CB4 | #14279 | #14283 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Mountain West |
| 2022 | San Diego State | CB4 | #10687 | #10674 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Mountain West |
| 2021 | San Diego State | CB4 | #8615 | #8352 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Mountain West |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Utah State | Mountain West | CB | 4 | 6-0 | 190 lb | Cerritos, CA |
| 2024 | New Mexico | Mountain West | CB | 4 | 6-0 | 190 lb | Cerritos, CA |
| 2023 | San Diego State | Mountain West | CB | 4 | 6-0 | 190 lb | Cerritos, CA |
| 2022 | San Diego State | Mountain West | CB | 4 | 6-0 | 190 lb | Cerritos, CA |
| 2021 | San Diego State | Mountain West | CB | 4 | 6-0 | 190 lb | Cerritos, CA |