CFB Zeitgeist Score
68
Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 80th percentile.
Noah Arinze
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
31 TACKLES · 2 SACKS
2026 Outlook
Returning to Coastal Carolina for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Defensive end · Coastal Carolina
Returning around him
- 97% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
- Transfer portal: -10 net (33 in / 43 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Coastal Carolina · Last season: 6-7 · Talent rank #80 · 2026 recruiting class #91
DE · COASTAL CAROLINA · SUN BELT
Noah Arinze
- 4
- #42
- 6-6 | 270 lb
- St. Louis, MO
Heisman Heat
#15246
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP DEFENSE AWARD
Nagurski
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR06 · Starter
Starter. A locked-in starting role.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
3 teams
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 3-star | 0.8781 | No. 554 recruit | HighSchool |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to —
Composite
0.8781
#554 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Noah Arinze
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Noah Arinze
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the defensive totals stand
Through 12g
31Tackles
5.5Tackles for loss
2Sacks
Per game
3Tackles
0.5Tackles for loss
0.2Sacks
Projected (13g)
34Tackles
6.0Tackles for loss
2.2Sacks
To hit 80-tackle season (currently 31): needs 49/game over remaining 1.
To hit 100-tackle season (currently 31): needs 69/game over remaining 1.
To hit 6-sack season (currently 2): needs 4/game over remaining 1.
To hit 10-sack season (currently 2): needs 8/game over remaining 1.
Why this is a rare defensive case
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Noah Arinze is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Coastal Carolina's defense, with 2.0 sacks, 5.5 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
DEF season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
High-disruption defender against FBS defenders.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Tackling & Disruption
TOT
31 74th
SOLO
22 80th
TFL
5.5 90th
SACK
2.0 90th
QBH
3 75th
Coverage & Takeaways
PD
1 43rd
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 12 games
| Wk | Opp | TKL | SOLO | TFL | SACK | INT | PD | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | L 7-48@ Virginia | 4 | 2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | — | 0 | Season-high 4 tackles |
| Wk 2 | W 13-0vs Charleston Southern | 3 | 1 | 0.5 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 3 | L 0-38vs East Carolina | 3 | 3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 4 | W 38-20@ South Alabama | 4 | 2 | 2.0 | 2.0 | — | 0 | 2 sacks |
| Wk 6 | L 7-47@ Old Dominion | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 7 | W 23-8vs UL Monroe | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 8 | W 45-37@ App State | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 1 | |
| Wk 11 | W 40-27vs Georgia State | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 12 | L 40-45@ Georgia Southern | 1 | 0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 13 | L 7-51@ South Carolina | 2 | 2 | 2.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 14 | L 10-59vs James Madison | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Bowl | L 14-23@ Louisiana Tech | 4 | 4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Total | 31 | 22 | 5.5 | 2.0 | — | 1 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2021Oklahoma10-2HC: Bob Stoops · Balanced
2022New Mexico State7-6HC: Jerry Kill · Run-leaning, slow tempo
2023New Mexico State10-5HC: Jerry Kill · Run-leaning, slow tempo
2025Coastal Carolina6-7HC: Tim Beck · Run-leaning
| Season | Team | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Coastal Carolina | 31 | 22 | 5.5 | 2.0 | 1 | -- | -- |
| 2023 | New Mexico State | 9 | 4 | 1.5 | 0.5 | -- | -- | -- |
| 2022 | New Mexico State | 8 | 4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -- | -- | -- |
| 2021 | Oklahoma | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -- | -- | -- |
| Career | 4 loaded seasons | 49 | 31 | 7.0 | 2.5 | 1 | -- | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.
Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Defense | Total tackles | 31 | #1302/4942 | 74th pct | Volumevs FBS DEF |
| Defense | TFL | 5.5 | #477/4972 | 90th pct | Disruptionvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Sacks | 2.0 | #491/4972 | 90th pct | Disruptionvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Pass breakups | 1 | #1241/2184 | 43rd pct | Coveragevs FBS DEF |
| Defense | QB hurries | 3 | #462/1878 | 75th pct | Disruptionvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Solo tackles | 22 | #902/4584 | 80th pct | Volumevs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Fumbles recovered | 1 | #103/736 | 86th pct | Takeawaysvs FBS DEF |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 0 | #1/773 | 100th pct | Turnoversvs FBS DEF |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
The Lombardi award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 12 games
Home vs Road
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home5g | 2.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Road7g | 2.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
Win vs Loss
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins5g | 2.6 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Losses7g | 2.6 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-77g | 3.1 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.0 |
| Weeks 8+5g | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.2 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the DE cohort
68Solid starter
Elite: tackles for loss (82nd). Strength: qb hurries (81st).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · DE · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Noah ArinzeCoastal CarolinaAmare CampbellPenn State· 79% simJaxton EckNew Mexico· 78% simMaverick BaranowskiMinnesota· 78% sim
Tackles for loss
QB hurries
Sacks
Solo tackles
Tackles
Passes defended
Forced fumbles
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Versatile End
Holds up against run and pass without a single dominant trait.
EDGE
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Ali Gaye’s 2022 season.
Ali Gaye
86%match
#2
Tyler Batty
86%
#3
Noah Potter
85%
#4
Zion Young
NFL Rd 2 · Pk 13
80%
#5
Marcus Bragg
80%
Matches Ali on
Sack rate
TFL rate
Height
Differs from Ali on
Class year (higher)
Not enough data yet for this comparison.
As a graduate, his production profile tracks closest to Treven Ma'ae's graduate season at Baylor (2024).
Treven Ma'ae
76%match
#2
Deshawn Holt
74%
#3
Devean Deal
72%
#4
Kahlil Saunders
71%
#5
Rene Konga
69%
Matches Treven on
Class year
TFL rate
Sack rate
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Tim Beck
Pass share
46.3%
399 pass / 463 run
Plays / game
66.3
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
7.2%
290 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-leaning.
Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025
3 coaches2021
Jamey Chadwell
Coastal Carolina
2022era →
Chad Staggs
Coastal Carolina
2023era →
Tim Beck
Coastal Carolina
2025
Tim Beck
Coastal Carolina
Played under 3 different head coaches: Jamey Chadwell, Chad Staggs, and Tim Beck. Multi-era developmental context.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownSt. Louis, MO
Height6'6"
Weight270 lb
Class4
PositionDE
Jersey42
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamCoastal Carolina
ConferenceSun Belt
Joined2025
Career arc5 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | New Mexico State | DE4 | #15246 | #15397 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Conference USA |
| 2023 | New Mexico State | DE4 | #12513 | #12415 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Conference USA |
| 2022 | New Mexico State | DE4 | #11133 | #11012 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | FBS Independents |
| 2021 | Oklahoma | DE4 | #7163 | #7003 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Big 12 |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Coastal Carolina | Sun Belt | DE | 4 | No. 42 | 6-6 | 270 lb | St. Louis, MO |
| 2024 | New Mexico State | Conference USA | DE | 4 | No. 42 | 6-6 | 270 lb | St. Louis, MO |
| 2023 | New Mexico State | Conference USA | DE | 4 | No. 42 | 6-6 | 270 lb | St. Louis, MO |
| 2022 | New Mexico State | FBS Independents | DE | 4 | No. 42 | 6-6 | 270 lb | St. Louis, MO |
| 2021 | Oklahoma | Big 12 | DE | 4 | No. 42 | 6-6 | 270 lb | St. Louis, MO |