cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Myles Montgomery /UCF

Myles Montgomery

RB · UCF · Sr · #22

Filling the Shoesas of 2026-06-22

Myles Montgomery is a cornerstone for UCF — measured against the line he joined.

705RUSH YDS4RUSH TD143CARRIES

RUSHING VALUE · WEPA

+0.09

via your WEPA model · 2025 · 136 plays

Read the story so far

Myles Montgomery arrived as a 3-star prospect. He lines up at RB for UCF.

On the field, the headline is 705 rush yds, with 4 rush td.

He inherited the RB job from RJ Harvey (3-star).

The number to watch: +0.09 — rushing value · wepa.

RB successioncontinuity
  • Inherited fromRJ Harvey 3★
Why nowThe 2026 outlook is the live story — the offseason looks forward.
  • season totals
  • via your WEPA model · 2025 · 136 plays
  • throne-line + Filling-the-Shoes

AI narrative · updated 2026-06-22 · compiled from CFB Zeitgeist data

2026 RETURNINGReturning to UCF for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to UCF for 2026

Updated May 27

2026 Depth chart

Returning starter

Running back · UCF

Returning around him

  • 31% of 2024 offensive production back (Moderate turnover)
  • 1 UCF player drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -4 net (31 in / 35 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

UCF · Last season: 5-7 · Talent rank #43 · 2026 recruiting class #79

RB · UCF · BIG 12

Myles Montgomery

  • 4
  • #22
  • 5-11 | 205 lb
  • Jacksonville, FL

CFB Zeitgeist Score

62

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by rush yards at the 76th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#262

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · rushing yards

2022–2025
1202022
4282023
2932024
7052025

+488%

Up 488% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1031 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class4
Jersey22
Measurements5-11 | 205 lb
HometownJacksonville, FL
Primary teamUCF

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1031 recruit
Composite rating 0.8556 HighSchool
Signed with -- 2021
Origin Duncan U. Fletcher Neptune Beach, FL, USA
Class Profile Context
2021 3-star | 0.8556 No. 1031 recruit | HighSchool

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#262Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#348Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

Achievements

  • Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in rushing yards (705).

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to —

Composite

0.8556

#1031 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Myles Montgomery

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Myles Montgomery

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the rushing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 11g
705Rush yards
143Carries
4Rush TDs
Per game
64.1Rush yards
13Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
833.2Rush yards
169Carries
5Rush TDs

To hit 750-yard season (currently 705): needs 22.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 705): needs 147.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 705): needs 397.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 4): needs 3/game over remaining 2.

To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 4): needs 5.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 4): needs 8/game over remaining 2.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Myles Montgomery's story is about how role and output meet each other. For UCF, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #262 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 23.0% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 0 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 887 705 rush | 182 rec | #86/735 (88th pct)
Rush TD 4 143 carries | #154/739 (79th pct)
Yards/carry 4.9 Per-rush efficiency | #305/735 (59th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Workhorse | Passing-game back against FBS RB peers.

WorkhorsePassing-game back

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
143 90th
YDS
705 88th
YPC
4.9 59th
TD
4 79th

Receiving

REC
17 80th
YDS
182 87th
YPR
10.7 82nd
TD
0 70th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 11 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCARYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 17-10vs Jacksonville State21793.8013
Wk 2W 68-7vs North Carolina A&T8354.4015
Wk 4W 34-9vs North Carolina12352.916
Wk 5L 20-34@ Kansas State1011911.9045Season-high 119 yds
Wk 6L 20-27vs Kansas221105.0229
Wk 7L 11-20@ Cincinnati13564.3022
Wk 8W 45-13vs West Virginia14886.3039
Wk 10L 3-30@ Baylor12504.2017
Wk 11L 27-30vs Houston6233.8115
Wk 13W 17-14vs Oklahoma State18814.5031
Wk 14L 21-41@ BYU7294.1018
Total1437055.0445
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Cincinnati9-4HC: Luke Fickell · Balanced
2023Cincinnati3-9HC: Scott Satterfield · Run-leaning
2024UCF4-8HC: Gus Malzahn · Run-heavy
2025UCF5-7HC: Scott Frost · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025UCF1437054.94--
2024UCF512935.73--
2023Cincinnati664286.53--
2022Cincinnati141208.61--
Career4 loaded seasons2741,5465.611--
SeasonTeam
2025UCF1718210.70--
2024UCF36622.01--
2023Cincinnati551.00--
2022Cincinnati144.00--
Career4 loaded seasons262579.91--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work 17 182 rec yds | #111/552 (80th pct)
Usage 23.0% 40.9% rush share | #64/738 (91st pct)
Rushing WEPA +0.09 Opponent-adjusted rush value | #226/362 (38th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing yards 705 #86/735 88th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rush TD 4 #154/739 79th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing Yards / carry 4.9 #305/735 59th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receptions 17 #111/552 80th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving yards 182 #74/548 87th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.09 #226/362 38th pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 136 weighted playsvs FBS RB
Usage Role share 23.0% #64/738 91st pct Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 143 #76/739 90th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rushing LONG 45 #201/733 73rd pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving LONG 64 #23/540 96th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Yards / catch 10.7 #98/548 82nd pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving TD 0 #169/552 70th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Usage Rush share 40.9% #57/738 92nd pct Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage Standard-down usage 26.6% #66/738 91st pct Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage 1st-down usage 25.8% #73/738 90th pct Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 2nd-down usage 23.1% #62/738 92nd pct Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 3rd-down usage 18.7% #36/738 95th pct Money-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Passing-down usage 15.5% #55/738 93rd pct Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage Pass share 7.2% #77/738 90th pct Air-game usagevs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 11 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Home7g64.44.40.6
Road4g63.56.10.0

Win vs Loss

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Wins5g63.64.40.2
Losses6g64.55.50.5

First half vs Second half

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Weeks 1-76g72.35.40.5
Weeks 8+5g54.24.60.2

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort

62Solid starter
7 metrics · season cumulative

Production sits in the middle of the position cohort across the board.

Rec yards#70 / 338 · 79th pct
182rece
Carries#76 / 349 · 78th pct
143rush
Rush yards#86 / 349 · 76th pct
705rush
Receptions#103 / 338 · 67th pct
17rece
Rush TDs#153 / 349 · 50th pct
4rush
Long run#176 / 349 · 49th pct
45rush
Yards / carry#171 / 349 · 49th pct
4.9rush

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

wepa_rushing0.09Low (p25–p50) (n=178)

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Myles MontgomeryUCFRashod DubinionApp State· 91% simDominic RichardsonTulsa· 86% simKamari MoultonIowa· 86% sim
Rec yards
79
Montgomery
77
Dubinion
67
Richardson
53
Moulton
Carries
78
Montgomery
87
Dubinion
94
Richardson
86
Moulton
Rush yards
76
Montgomery
84
Dubinion
92
Richardson
84
Moulton
Receptions
67
Montgomery
86
Dubinion
78
Richardson
63
Moulton
Rush TDs
50
Montgomery
50
Dubinion
62
Richardson
62
Moulton
Long run
49
Montgomery
39
Dubinion
68
Richardson
33
Moulton
Yards / carry
49
Montgomery
53
Dubinion
53
Richardson
62
Moulton

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Balanced Back

Plays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension.

RB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Christian Turner’s 2023 season.

Christian Turner

81%match

Indiana · 2023

#2

Jalen Mitchell

Louisville · 2021

81%
#3

Roman Hemby

Indiana · 2025

All-Big Ten
80%
#4

Devin Mockobee

Purdue · 2023

79%
#5

Alex Fontenot

Colorado · 2022

79%

Matches Christian on

Yards / carry
Rush TD rate
Receiving share

Differs from Christian on

EPA / carry (adj) (lower)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Anthony Watkins's senior season at Tulsa (2024).

Anthony Watkins

82%match

Tulsa · 2024

All-AAC
#2

Coleman Bennett

Kennesaw State · 2025

All-Conference USA
79%
#3

Michel Dukes

South Florida · 2023

79%
#4

Larry McCammon III

Florida Atlantic · 2023

All-Conference USA
78%
#5

Nathaniel Peat

Missouri · 2023

76%

Matches Anthony on

Weight
Total rush EPA (college ability)
Yards / carry

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Scott Frost

Pass share

51.7%

403 pass / 377 run

Plays / game

65.0

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.5%

324 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

2 coaches
2022
Gus Malzahn
UCF
2023
Gus Malzahn
UCF
2024
Gus Malzahn
UCF
2025
Scott Frost
UCF
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Gus Malzahn → Scott Frost. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownJacksonville, FL
Height5'11"
Weight205 lb
Class4
PositionRB
Jersey22

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 UCF RB4 #262 #348 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big 12
2023 Cincinnati RB4 #996 #1410 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big 12
2022 Cincinnati RB4 #1549 #1483 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | American Athletic
2021 Cincinnati RB4 #1577 #1055 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | American Athletic

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 UCF Big 12 RB 4 No. 22 | 5-11 | 205 lb | Jacksonville, FL
2024 UCF Big 12 RB 4 No. 22 | 5-11 | 205 lb | Jacksonville, FL
2023 Cincinnati Big 12 RB 4 No. 22 | 5-11 | 205 lb | Jacksonville, FL
2022 Cincinnati American Athletic RB 4 No. 22 | 5-11 | 205 lb | Jacksonville, FL
2021 Cincinnati American Athletic RB 4 No. 22 | 5-11 | 205 lb | Jacksonville, FL