cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Myles Butler /Middle Tennessee

Myles Butler

WR · Middle Tennessee · Sr · #5

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

518 REC YDS · 52 REC · 2 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Middle Tennessee for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Middle Tennessee for 2026

Updated May 27

2026 Depth chart

Returning starter

Wide receiver · Middle Tennessee

Returning around him

  • 99% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
  • 1 Middle Tennessee player drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: +1 net (19 in / 18 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Middle Tennessee · Last season: 3-9 · Talent rank #110 · 2026 recruiting class #98

WR · MIDDLE TENNESSEE · CONFERENCE USA

Myles Butler

  • 4
  • #5
  • 6-2 | 205 lb
  • Montgomery, AL

CFB Zeitgeist Score

49

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by rec yards at the 63rd percentile.

Heisman Heat

#5352

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
Middle Tennessee
2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class4
Jersey5
Measurements6-2 | 205 lb
HometownMontgomery, AL
Primary teamMiddle Tennessee

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#5352Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#6132Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Myles Butler

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Myles Butler

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Receiving yards (total)

518

yds

All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions

National rank #200 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 62nd

Why it matters

#200 of 531 All FBS WRs in receiving yards — 518 yards on 52 receptions.

Vs cohort

This player 518 (62th)

HIGH · n=52 cohort 531

  • Also strong
  • Receiving TDs#302 / 531
  • Yards per reception#419 / 531

Signature Moment

Week 12 at Western Kentucky — 105 receiving_yards_total

Result L 26-42

The week the volume broke through — put up 105 yds at Western Kentucky.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 11g
518Rec yards
52Receptions
2Rec TDs
Per game
47.1Rec yards
5Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
612.2Rec yards
61Receptions
2Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 518): needs 91/game over remaining 2.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 518): needs 241/game over remaining 2.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 52): needs 4/game over remaining 2.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 52): needs 14/game over remaining 2.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 2): needs 3/game over remaining 2.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 2): needs 4/game over remaining 2.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Myles Butler's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Middle Tennessee, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #5352 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 9.4% Overall usage share
Profile quirk All-purpose load The card should explain why this profile stands out

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 52 2 rec TD | #109/1110 (90th pct)
Receiving yards 518 10.0 per catch | #205/1107 (82nd pct)
Scrimmage yards 497 Total offensive yardage | #205/1107 (82nd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Target magnet against FBS receiving peers.

Target magnet

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
52 90th
YDS
518 82nd
YPR
10.0 33rd
TD
2 75th

Rushing

CAR
2 53rd
YDS
-21 0th
YPC
-10.5 1st
TD
0 81st

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 11 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1L 14-34vs Austin Peay188.008
Wk 2L 10-42@ Wisconsin44310.8021
Wk 3W 14-13@ Nevada7659.3023
Wk 4L 28-42vs Marshall33612.0018
Wk 5L 16-24@ Kennesaw State4287.0020
Wk 7L 20-22vs Missouri State33712.3014
Wk 9L 28-31@ Delaware4317.8012
Wk 11L 30-56vs Florida International5316.2112
Wk 12L 26-42@ Western Kentucky710515.0152Season-high 105 yds
Wk 13W 31-17vs Sam Houston66510.8024
Wk 14W 31-24@ New Mexico State8698.6025
Total525189.8252
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2025Middle Tennessee3-9HC: Derek Mason · Pass-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Middle Tennessee5251810.02--
Career1 loaded season5251810.02--
SeasonTeam
2025Middle Tennessee2-21------
Career1 loaded season2-21------
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 9.4% 15.1% pass-game share | #240/1137 (79th pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 2 Across offense and returns | #281/1111 (75th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 52 #109/1110 90th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 518 #205/1107 82nd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 2 #281/1111 75th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 10.0 #746/1106 33rd pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 15.1% #240/1137 79th pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Rushing Carries 2 #194/407 53rd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Rush TD 0 #81/411 81st pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Rushing Yards / carry -10.5 #390/393 1st pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing yards -21 #397/397 0th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 52 #244/1105 78th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 13.0% #96/1137 92nd pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 10.7% #197/1137 83rd pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage Role share 9.4% #124/1137 89th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 8.9% #127/1137 89th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 8.7% #117/1137 90th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 7.4% #276/1137 76th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.0% #391/1137 66th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/302 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 11 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home5g3.635.49.90.2
Road6g5.756.89.80.2

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins3g7.066.39.60.0
Losses8g3.939.99.90.2

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-76g3.736.29.90.0
Weeks 8+5g6.060.29.70.4

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

49Mid-pack
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: fumbles lost (80th). Strength: receptions (80th). Concern: rush yards (0th).

Fumbles lost#1 / 218 · 81st pct
0fumb
Receptions#109 / 558 · 80th pct
52rece
Rec yards#205 / 558 · 63rd pct
518rece
Long catch#217 / 558 · 60th pct
52rece
Rec TDs#276 / 558 · 42nd pct
2rece
Rush TDs#67 / 287 · 39th pct
0rush
Yards / catch#462 / 558 · 17th pct
10.0rece
Rush yards#287 / 287 · 0th pct
-21rush

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Myles ButlerMiddle TennesseeDevin VoisinSouth Alabama· 81% simDonovan FaupelNew Mexico State· 78% simAsaad WaseemFlorida Atlantic· 77% sim
Fumbles lost
81
Butler
81
Voisin
81
Faupel
36
Waseem
Receptions
80
Butler
95
Voisin
90
Faupel
96
Waseem
Rec yards
63
Butler
87
Voisin
79
Faupel
84
Waseem
Long catch
60
Butler
78
Voisin
65
Faupel
42
Waseem
Rec TDs
42
Butler
68
Voisin
92
Faupel
78
Waseem
Rush TDs
39
Butler
39
Waseem
Yards / catch
17
Butler
35
Voisin
24
Faupel
21
Waseem
Rush yards
0
Butler
4
Waseem

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Possession Receiver

Reliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive.

WR

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Jalen Wayne’s 2021 season.

Jalen Wayne

88%match

South Alabama · 2021

#2

Daniel George

Akron · 2022

84%
#3

Jalil Farooq

Maryland · 2025

82%
#4

Jalen Wayne

South Alabama · 2020

77%
#5

Jaylen Johnson

East Carolina · 2023

81%

Matches Jalen on

Height
TD rate
Total EPA (college ability)

Differs from Jalen on

Class year (higher)

Through 3 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Levi Falck’s path through Nebraska.

Levi Falck

100%match

Nebraska · 2021

#2

Tray Eafford

Troy · 2020

98%
#3

Tony Poljan

Virginia · 2020

97%
#4

Connor Wedington

Stanford · 2020

96%
#5

Julian Ortega-Jones

Texas State · 2022

96%

Matches Levi on

Height
Weight
Yards per reception

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Jaylen Johnson's senior season at East Carolina (2023).

Jaylen Johnson

78%match

East Carolina · 2023

#2

Bralon Brown

Southern Miss · 2025

77%
#3

Sterling Berkhalter

Wake Forest · 2025

77%
#4

Boobie Curry

Buffalo · 2023

76%
#5

Jordan Whittington

Texas · 2023

NFL Rd 6
73%

Matches Jaylen on

Yards / reception
Reception volume
Total EPA (college ability)

Differs from Jaylen on

EPA / play (adj) (lower)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Derek Mason

Pass share

61.3%

495 pass / 313 run

Plays / game

67.3

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

8.6%

373 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Pass-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2025

1 coach
2025
Derek Mason
Middle Tennessee

Played his entire career under Derek Mason.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownMontgomery, AL
Height6'2"
Weight205 lb
Class4
PositionWR
Jersey5

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Middle Tennessee WR4 #5352 #6132 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Conference USA

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Middle Tennessee Conference USA WR 4 No. 5 | 6-2 | 205 lb | Montgomery, AL
2024 Middle Tennessee Conference USA WR 4 No. 5 | 6-2 | 205 lb | Montgomery, AL