cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Mike Wright /East Carolina

Mike Wright

QB · East Carolina · Sr · #11

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

13 PASS YDS · 0 PASS TD · 72 RUSH YDS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to East Carolina for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to East Carolina for 2026

Updated May 27

2026 Depth chart

Returning starter

Quarterback · East Carolina

Returning around him

  • 51% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
  • 1 East Carolina player drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -3 net (23 in / 26 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

East Carolina · Last season: 9-4 · Talent rank #78 · 2026 recruiting class #77

QB · EAST CAROLINA · AMERICAN ATHLETIC

Mike Wright

  • 4
  • #11
  • 6-4 | 195 lb
  • Atlanta, GA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

20

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by interceptions at the 99th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#563

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP QB AWARD

Davey O'Brien

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R05 · Part-time starter

Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · passing yards

2021–2025
1,0422021
9742022
4532023
3562024
13.02025

-99%

Sharp dropoff (-99%) — career inflection point.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
4 teams
2021–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionQB
Class4
Jersey11
Measurements6-4 | 195 lb
HometownAtlanta, GA
Primary teamEast Carolina

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#563Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#626Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Mike Wright

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Mike Wright

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the passing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 12g
13Pass yards
0Pass TDs
0INT
Per game
1.1Pass yards
0Pass TDs
0INT
Projected (13g)
14.1Pass yards
0Pass TDs
0INT

To hit 3,000-yard season (currently 13): needs 2,987/game over remaining 1.

To hit 4,000-yard season (currently 13): needs 3,987/game over remaining 1.

To hit 25 passing TDs (currently 0): needs 25/game over remaining 1.

To hit 30 passing TDs (currently 0): needs 30/game over remaining 1.

To hit 35 passing TDs (currently 0): needs 35/game over remaining 1.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Mike Wright's story is about how role and output meet each other. For East Carolina, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #563 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 3.8% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 0 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

QB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Pass yards 13 0 TD | 0 INT | #358/382 (7th pct)
Completion rate 42.9% 3/7 completions | #356/383 (7th pct)
Yards/attempt 1.9 Explosiveness through the air | #374/382 (2nd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Balanced quarterback against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Passing Efficiency

CMP
3 16th
ATT
7 24th
CMP%
42.9% 7th
Y/A
1.9 2nd

Passing Production

YDS
13 7th
TD
0 30th
INT
0 100th

Rushing

CAR
18 49th
YDS
72 60th
YPC
4.0 65th
TD
2 73rd

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCMP/ATTYDSTDINTYPAQBRNote
Wk 1L 17-24@ NC State
Wk 2W 56-3vs Campbell3/513002.64.5Season-high 13 yds
Wk 3W 38-0@ Coastal Carolina
Wk 5W 28-6vs Army
Wk 7L 19-26@ Tulane
Wk 8W 41-27vs Tulsa
Wk 10W 45-14@ Temple
Wk 11W 48-22vs Charlotte0/10000.01.0
Wk 12W 31-27vs Memphis
Wk 13L 24-58@ UTSA
Wk 14W 42-3@ Florida Atlantic0/10000.077.6
BowlW 23-17vs Pittsburgh
Total3/713000.927.7
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021Vanderbilt2-10HC: Clark Lea · Balanced
2022Vanderbilt5-7HC: Clark Lea · Run-leaning
2023Mississippi State5-7HC: Greg Knox · Run-leaning, slow tempo
2024Northwestern4-8HC: David Braun · Balanced, slow tempo
2025East Carolina9-4HC: Blake Harrell · Run-leaning, fast tempo
SeasonTeam
2025East Carolina3742.9%131.90058.5----
2024Northwestern396758.2%3565.30199.9----
2023Mississippi State488556.5%4535.333105.8----
2022Vanderbilt8514857.4%9746.6124134.1----
2021Vanderbilt9317553.1%1,0426.086111.4----
Career5 loaded seasons26848255.6%2,8385.92314115.0----
SeasonTeam
2025East Carolina18724.02--
2024Northwestern17824.81--
2023Mississippi State713244.63--
2022Vanderbilt715177.35--
2021Vanderbilt913764.11--
Career5 loaded seasons2681,3715.112--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Passing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.

Role share

How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Rush impact 72 2 rush TD | #166/408 (60th pct)
Usage 3.8% 3.8% pass share | 3.8% rush share | #363/428 (15th pct)
Passing WEPA +0.25 Opponent-adjusted passing value | #113/200 (44th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Passing Passing yards 13 #358/382 7th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Pass TD 0 #285/407 30th pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Passing Completions 3 #321/383 16th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Completion % 42.9% #356/383 7th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Passing Yards / attempt 1.9 #374/382 2nd pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing yards 72 #166/408 60th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Value Passing WEPA +0.25 #113/200 44th pct Opponent-adjusted passing value | 67 weighted playsvs FBS QB
Usage Role share 3.8% #363/428 15th pct Share of team offensevs FBS QB
Passing Attempts 7 #309/407 24th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Interceptions 0 #1/407 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS QB
Rushing Carries 18 #208/408 49th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing LONG 18 #192/391 51st pct Metricvs FBS QB
Rushing Yards / carry 4.0 #143/407 65th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Rushing Rush TD 2 #113/408 73rd pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Usage 1st-down usage 5.4% #318/428 26th pct Early-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Standard-down usage 4.4% #341/428 21st pct Base-situation sharevs FBS QB
Usage Pass share 3.8% #363/428 15th pct Air-game usagevs FBS QB
Usage Rush share 3.8% #305/428 29th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS QB
Usage 2nd-down usage 2.6% #377/428 12th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage 3rd-down usage 2.5% #392/428 9th pct Money-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Passing-down usage 2.0% #382/428 11th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS QB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Home6g2.20.01.30.0
Road6g0.00.00.00.0

Win vs Loss

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Wins9g1.40.00.90.0
Losses3g

First half vs Second half

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Weeks 1-76g2.20.02.60.0
Weeks 8+6g0.00.00.00.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort

20Below cohort
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: interceptions (99th). Concern: yards / att (0th).

Interceptions#1 / 183 · 99th pct
0pass
Rush TDs#101 / 183 · 39th pct
2rush
Rush yards#117 / 183 · 37th pct
72rush
Completion %#183 / 183 · 1st pct
42.9%pass
Pass yards#184 / 183 · 0th pct
13pass
Pass TDs#184 / 183 · 0th pct
0pass
Yards / att#184 / 183 · 0th pct
1.9pass

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · QB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Mike WrightEast CarolinaNick VattiatoMiddle Tennessee· 58% simRyan BrownePurdue· 56% simLogan FifeNew Mexico State· 53% sim
Interceptions
99
Wright
44
Vattiato
14
Browne
5
Fife
Rush TDs
39
Wright
39
Vattiato
59
Browne
26
Fife
Rush yards
37
Wright
27
Vattiato
61
Browne
20
Fife
Completion %
1
Wright
41
Vattiato
29
Browne
13
Fife
Pass yards
0
Wright
57
Vattiato
56
Browne
58
Fife
Pass TDs
0
Wright
64
Vattiato
33
Browne
45
Fife
Yards / att
0
Wright
13
Vattiato
23
Browne
19
Fife

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Blake Harrell

Pass share

44.5%

440 pass / 548 run

Plays / game

76.0

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

4.7%

343 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning, fast tempo.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025

2 coaches
2021
Mike Houston
East Carolina
2022
Mike Houston
East Carolina
2023
Mike Houston
East Carolina
2024
Mike Houston
East Carolina
2025
Blake Harrell
East Carolina
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Mike Houston → Blake Harrell. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownAtlanta, GA
Height6'4"
Weight195 lb
Class4
PositionQB
Jersey11

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Northwestern QB4 #563 #626 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big Ten
2023 Mississippi State QB4 #556 #652 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | SEC
2022 Vanderbilt QB4 #224 #379 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | SEC
2021 Vanderbilt QB4 #548 #797 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | SEC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 East Carolina American Athletic QB 4 No. 11 | 6-4 | 195 lb | Atlanta, GA
2024 Northwestern Big Ten QB 4 No. 11 | 6-4 | 195 lb | Atlanta, GA
2023 Mississippi State SEC QB 4 No. 11 | 6-4 | 195 lb | Atlanta, GA
2022 Vanderbilt SEC QB 4 No. 11 | 6-4 | 195 lb | Atlanta, GA
2021 Vanderbilt SEC QB 4 No. 11 | 6-4 | 195 lb | Atlanta, GA