CFB Zeitgeist QB Score
Awaiting
Michael Penix Jr.
Limited signal — not enough coverage for a story yet.
Where He Ended Up · NFL
AtlantaEntering 3rd NFL season
#8Rd 1 · Pick 8
AtlantaEntering 3rd NFL season
QB · WASHINGTON · PAC-12
Michael Penix Jr.
- 4
- #9
- 6-3 | 213 lb
- Tampa, FL
Heisman Heat
#17
1.8% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
1.8%
TOP QB AWARD
Davey O'Brien
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 5 · ApexR15 · POTY finalist
Position-of-the-Year finalist. Among the nation's elite at the position.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career arc · Season-by-season Standing
3 seasons on the ladder
2021
Indiana · QB
—
2022
Washington · QB
R08 · Watch-list name
Recognized
★
2023
Washington · QB
R12 · All-American
Elite
NFL Draft 2024 · Rd 1, Pick 8 · #8 overall · Atlanta
Development Trajectory · passing yards
2021–2023+422%
Up 422% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
2 teams
NFL
NFL Draft
R1 · #8
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 3-star | 0.8749 | No. 548 recruit | HighSchool | Indiana |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2023 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 19Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to Indiana
Composite
0.8749
#548 national
NFL Draft
2024 · Rd 1, Pick 8
#8 overall · Atlanta
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Michael Penix Jr.
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Michael Penix Jr.
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Scenario Explorer
Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.
Why the transfer arc matters
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Michael Penix Jr.'s card is compelling because the national relevance arrived fast after a change in surroundings. The transfer path matters: when a player changes programs and still rises into the #17 tier, it usually means the role, production, and team fit all clicked immediately.
2023 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
QB season snapshot
2023 season snapshot | final
2023 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
High-volume passer | Efficient | Vertical threat against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.
2023 Season · Final
2023 season snapshot | final
Passing Efficiency
CMP
363 100th
ATT
556 100th
CMP%
65.3% 67th
Y/A
8.8 86th
Passing Production
YDS
4,903 100th
TD
36 100th
INT
11 5th
Rushing
CAR
35 61st
YDS
8 28th
YPC
0.2 19th
TD
3 77th
Game Log
Week-by-week box
No per-game rows for this season yet — the table fills in as box scores arrive.
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2021Indiana2-10HC: Tom Allen · Pass-heavy, slow tempo
2022Washington11-2HC: Kalen DeBoer · Pass-leaning
2023Washington14-1HC: Kalen DeBoer · Pass-leaning
| Season | Team | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Washington | 363 | 556 | 65.3% | 4,903 | 8.8 | 36 | 11 | 156.8 | -- | -- |
| 2022 | Washington | 362 | 554 | 65.3% | 4,641 | 8.4 | 31 | 8 | 151.3 | -- | -- |
| 2021 | Indiana | 87 | 162 | 53.7% | 939 | 5.8 | 4 | 7 | 101.9 | -- | -- |
| Career | 3 loaded seasons | 812 | 1,272 | 63.8% | 10,483 | 8.2 | 71 | 26 | 147.4 | -- | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Washington | 35 | 8 | 0.2 | 3 | -- |
| 2022 | Washington | 35 | 92 | 2.6 | 4 | -- |
| 2021 | Indiana | 17 | -24 | -1.4 | 2 | -- |
| Career | 3 loaded seasons | 87 | 76 | 0.9 | 9 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.
How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing | Passing yards | 4,903 | #1/382 | 100th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Pass TD | 36 | #2/407 | 100th pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completions | 363 | #1/383 | 100th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completion % | 65.3% | #128/383 | 67th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Yards / attempt | 8.8 | #56/382 | 86th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 8 | #295/408 | 28th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Value | Passing WEPA | +0.26 | #109/200 | 46th pct | Opponent-adjusted passing value | 154 weighted playsvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Role share | 49.4% | #89/428 | 79th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Attempts | 556 | #1/407 | 100th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Interceptions | 11 | #386/407 | 5th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Carries | 35 | #161/408 | 61st pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 13 | #243/391 | 38th pct | Metricvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 3 | #94/408 | 77th pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 0.2 | #331/407 | 19th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Pass share | 89.9% | #62/428 | 86th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 69.9% | #46/428 | 89th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 60.5% | #98/428 | 77th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 53.0% | #58/428 | 87th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 40.8% | #103/428 | 76th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 40.0% | #108/428 | 75th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | Rush share | 4.7% | #282/428 | 34th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 1 | #69/258 | 74th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits
Per-game splits
Splits fill in once box scores from at least three games land for this season.
Advanced Savant · QB · 2023
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Jedd Fisch
Pass share
44.9%
370 pass / 454 run
Plays / game
63.4
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
9.3%
268 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-leaning.
Coaching Lineage · 2021–2023
2 coaches2021
Jimmy Lake
Washington
2022era →
Kalen DeBoer
Washington
2023
Kalen DeBoer
Washington
Coaching transition mid-career: Jimmy Lake → Kalen DeBoer. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownTampa, FL
Height6'3"
Weight213 lb
Class4
PositionQB
Jersey9
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamWashington
ConferencePac-12
Joined2023
Career arc3 season(s)
Trophy Case · Confirmed honors
What the selectors said
🥇
ALL-AMERICA
Named All-American (2023)
1 selectors honored him
🏅
POSITION AWARDS
Maxwell
2023 season
🎖
ALL-CONFERENCE
All-Conf mention (2020)
All-Big Ten
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
Best official finish: #2
Finished in the top end of the Heisman vote on a completed ballot, which is a cleaner historical signal than model-only attention.
1 finalist season
Invited into the official finalist tier in 2023. That belongs in the trophy case, not buried in a table.
1 All-America selection
National selector recognition is one of the strongest non-Heisman signals on a player card and should sit near the top of the showcase.
1 all-conference honor
Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.
Heisman votes in 1 season
Even lower-volume award recognition is worth preserving because it marks seasons where a player entered the national conversation.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Maxwell | position_award | Washington | Maxwell | winner | QB |
| 2023 | All-America (WCFF) | all_america | Washington | WCFF | first | QB |
| 2020 | All-Big Ten | all_conference | Indiana | Big Ten | QB |
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Washington | QB4 | #17 | #16 | 1.8% | 0.0% | #2 finish | 1701 | W19 snapshot | Pac-12 | Official finalist |
| 2022 | Washington | QB4 | #17 | #19 | 1.4% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Pac-12 |
| 2021 | Indiana | QB4 | #624 | #717 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Big Ten |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Washington | Pac-12 | QB | 4 | No. 9 | 6-3 | 213 lb | Tampa, FL |
| 2022 | Washington | Pac-12 | QB | 4 | No. 9 | 6-3 | 213 lb | Tampa, FL |
| 2021 | Indiana | Big Ten | QB | 4 | No. 9 | 6-3 | 213 lb | Tampa, FL |