cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Michael Molnar /Ohio

Michael Molnar

LB · Ohio · Jr · #25

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

62 TACKLES · 1.5 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Ohio for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Ohio for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Linebacker · Ohio

Returning around him

  • 65% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
  • Transfer portal: +2 net (18 in / 16 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Ohio · Last season: 9-4 · Talent rank #126 · 2026 recruiting class #121

LB · OHIO · MID-AMERICAN

Michael Molnar

  • 3
  • #25
  • 6-3 | 221 lb
  • Mason, OH

CFB Zeitgeist Score

77

All-Conference in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 74th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#11234

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP LB AWARD

Butkus

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
Ohio
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionLB
Class3
Jersey25
Measurements6-3 | 221 lb
HometownMason, OH
Primary teamOhio

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#11234Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#11265Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Michael Molnar

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Michael Molnar

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 8g
62Tackles
5Tackles for loss
1.5Sacks
Per game
8Tackles
0.6Tackles for loss
0.2Sacks
Projected (13g)
101Tackles
8.1Tackles for loss
2.4Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 62): needs 3.6/game over remaining 5.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 62): needs 7.6/game over remaining 5.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 1.5): needs 0.9/game over remaining 5.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 1.5): needs 1.7/game over remaining 5.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Michael Molnar is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Ohio's defense, with 1.5 sacks, 5.0 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #11234 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Defensive rarity 1.5 sacks | 5.0 TFL

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 62 24 solo | #373/4942 (92nd pct)
TFL 5.0 Backfield disruption | #553/4972 (89th pct)
Sacks 1.5 Pass-rush finish | #724/4972 (85th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender | High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defenderHigh-volume tackler

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
62 92nd
SOLO
24 83rd
TFL
5.0 89th
SACK
1.5 85th
QBH
2 66th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
3 76th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 8 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1L 31-34@ Rutgers711.00.00
Wk 2W 17-10vs West Virginia721.51.50
Wk 3L 9-37@ Ohio State630.00.00
Wk 4W 52-35vs Gardner-Webb1170.50.00Season-high 11 tackles
Wk 5W 35-20vs Bowling Green1061.00.01
Wk 6L 14-20@ Ball State1101.00.02
Wk 8W 48-21vs Northern Illinois640.00.00
Wk 9W 28-21@ Eastern Michigan410.00.00
Total62245.01.53
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Ohio10-3HC: Tim Albin · Run-leaning
2024Ohio11-3HC: Tim Albin · Run-heavy
2025Ohio9-4HC: Brian Smith · Run-heavy
SeasonTeam
2025Ohio62245.01.53----
2024Ohio2--0.50.0------
2023Ohio910.00.0------
Career3 loaded seasons73255.51.53----
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 3 Coverage disruption | #521/2184 (76th pct)
QB pressures 2 Quarterback hurries | #647/1878 (66th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 62 #373/4942 92nd pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 5.0 #553/4972 89th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 1.5 #724/4972 85th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 3 #521/2184 76th pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 2 #647/1878 66th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 24 #790/4584 83rd pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Butkus award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 8 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home4g8.50.80.40.2
Road4g7.00.50.00.5

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins5g7.60.60.30.2
Losses3g8.00.70.00.7

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-76g8.70.80.20.5
Weeks 8+2g5.00.00.00.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the LB cohort

77All-Conference
6 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: tackles (87th).

Tackles#373 / 2975 · 87th pct
62defe
Tackles for loss#553 / 2975 · 80th pct
5.0defe
Passes defended#517 / 2975 · 78th pct
3defe
Sacks#707 / 2975 · 74th pct
1.5defe
Solo tackles#790 / 2975 · 73rd pct
24defe
QB hurries#634 / 2975 · 72nd pct
2defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · LB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
Michael MolnarOhioMarsel McDuffieUNLV· 88% simColton PharesApp State· 88% simGavin MoulDelaware· 88% sim
Tackles
87
Molnar
99
McDuffie
98
Phares
99
Moul
Tackles for loss
80
Molnar
83
McDuffie
96
Phares
90
Moul
Passes defended
78
Molnar
78
McDuffie
78
Phares
78
Moul
Sacks
74
Molnar
80
McDuffie
80
Phares
80
Moul
Solo tackles
73
Molnar
99
McDuffie
95
Phares
98
Moul
QB hurries
72
Molnar
72
McDuffie
72
Phares
72
Moul

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Coverage 'Backer

Carries tight ends and patrols the middle of the field in coverage.

LB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Martavius French’s 2023 season.

Martavius French

84%match

UTSA · 2023

#2

Trevor Harmanson

UTSA · 2022

84%
#3

Max Tooley

BYU · 2021

83%
#4

Swayze Bozeman

Southern Miss · 2023

83%
#5

Myron Morrison

Rice · 2022

83%

Matches Martavius on

PD rate
Weight
TFL rate

Differs from Martavius on

Height (higher)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Xe'Ree Alexander's junior season at Washington (2025).

Xe'Ree Alexander

84%match

Washington · 2025

#2

Everett Roussaw Jr.

Memphis · 2025

83%
#3

Kamren Robinson

Virginia · 2025

82%
#4

Drayk Bowen

Notre Dame · 2025

81%
#5

Trenton Simpson

Clemson · 2022

NFL Rd 3 · Pk 23
80%

Matches Xe'Ree on

Weight
PD rate
Sack rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Brian Smith

Pass share

36.6%

311 pass / 539 run

Plays / game

65.4

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

9.4%

278 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-heavy.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

2 coaches
2023
Tim Albin
Ohio
2024
Tim Albin
Ohio
2025
Brian Smith
Ohio
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Tim Albin → Brian Smith. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownMason, OH
Height6'3"
Weight221 lb
Class3
PositionLB
Jersey25

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Ohio LB3 #11234 #11265 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Mid-American
2023 Ohio LB3 #9613 #9229 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Mid-American
2022 Ohio LB3 #13048 #12839 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Mid-American

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Ohio Mid-American LB 3 No. 25 | 6-3 | 221 lb | Mason, OH
2024 Ohio Mid-American LB 3 No. 25 | 6-3 | 221 lb | Mason, OH
2023 Ohio Mid-American LB 3 No. 25 | 6-3 | 221 lb | Mason, OH
2022 Ohio Mid-American LB 3 No. 25 | 6-3 | 221 lb | Mason, OH