cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Michael Masunas /Michigan State

Michael Masunas

TE · Michigan State · Jr · #81

On Trialas of 2026-06-22

Michael Masunas is on trial in Michigan State's fan jury — the eye test against the résumé.

232REC YDS19REC3REC TD

Michigan State fans are litigating his worthiness — the eye test against the résumé.

medium confidence3 sources

Minority viewA vocal minority sees it the other way.

Read the story so far

Michael Masunas arrived as a 3-star prospect. He lines up at TE for Michigan State.

On the field, the headline is 232 rec yds, with 19 rec.

Michigan State fans are litigating his worthiness — the eye test against the résumé.

Whatever the tape says, the room has already made up its mind.

Why nowHis 2026 case is being argued before a snap is played.
  • season totals
  • compiled from tagged fan discourse

AI narrative · updated 2026-06-22 · compiled from CFB Zeitgeist data

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Michigan State for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Michigan State for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Tight end · Michigan State

Returning around him

  • 69% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
  • 2 Michigan State players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -18 net (28 in / 46 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Michigan State · Last season: 4-8 · Talent rank #38 · 2026 recruiting class #57

TE · MICHIGAN STATE · BIG TEN

Michael Masunas

  • 3
  • #81
  • 6-5 | 259 lb
  • Chandler, AZ

CFB Zeitgeist Score

52

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by rec tds at the 66th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#3323

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP TE AWARD

Mackey

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2023–2025
1.02023
2322025

+23100%

Up 23100% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1046 national
CFB
College
Michigan State
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionTE
Class3
Jersey81
Measurements6-5 | 259 lb
HometownChandler, AZ
Primary teamMichigan State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1046 recruit
Composite rating 0.8585 HighSchool
Signed with -- 2022
Origin Hamilton Chandler, AZ, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 3-star | 0.8585 No. 1046 recruit | HighSchool

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#3323Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#3387Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to —

Composite

0.8585

#1046 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Michael Masunas

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

61

Mixed Sentiment

Sample 9 mentions
Confidence LOW

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 10 mentions · belief +11 · "Texas Longhorns' spring practice continues, and Steve Sarkisian talked about how"Own fansRivals: 2 mentions · belief +100 · "1. Of course, Laurence Seymour will have to win the starting position and he wil"Rivals
  • Own fans · n=10
  • Rivals · n=2

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Michael Masunas

Only 2 rival mention(s) — below the 4-mention floor for a defensible read.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 10g
232Rec yards
19Receptions
3Rec TDs
Per game
23.2Rec yards
2Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
301.6Rec yards
25Receptions
4Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 232): needs 156/game over remaining 3.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 232): needs 256/game over remaining 3.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 19): needs 13.7/game over remaining 3.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 19): needs 20.3/game over remaining 3.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 3): needs 1.7/game over remaining 3.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 3): needs 2.3/game over remaining 3.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Michael Masunas's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Michigan State, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #3323 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 3.6% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Development arc The card should explain why this profile stands out

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

TE season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 19 3 rec TD | #114/475 (76th pct)
Receiving yards 232 12.2 per catch | #91/475 (81st pct)
Scrimmage yards 232 Total offensive yardage | #91/475 (81st pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
19 76th
YDS
232 81st
YPR
12.2 76th
TD
3 91st

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 10 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 23-6vs Western Michigan22211.0014
Wk 2W 42-40vs Boston College33110.3119
Wk 3W 41-24vs Youngstown State12828.0128
Wk 4L 31-45@ USC11313.0013
Wk 7L 13-38vs UCLA2136.507
Wk 8L 13-38@ Indiana188.008
Wk 9L 20-31vs Michigan12121.0121
Wk 12L 10-28vs Penn State3299.7014
Wk 13L 17-20@ Iowa34715.7020Season-high 47 yds
Wk 14W 38-28vs Maryland22010.0014
Total1923213.3328
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Michigan State4-8HC: Mel Tucker · Balanced
2025Michigan State4-8HC: Jonathan Smith · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Michigan State1923212.23--
2023Michigan State111.00--
Career2 loaded seasons2023311.73--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The tight end's share of the passing offense, which helps distinguish a featured receiving tight end from a secondary option.

Role share

A blended usage view that shows how often the offense flows through the tight end compared with other same-level peers.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 3.6% 6.7% pass-game share | #198/468 (58th pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 3 Across offense and returns | #45/475 (91st pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 19 #114/475 76th pct Volumevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving yards 232 #91/475 81st pct Volumevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving TD 3 #45/475 91st pct Scoringvs FBS TE
Receiving Yards / catch 12.2 #114/475 76th pct Efficiencyvs FBS TE
Usage Pass share 6.7% #198/468 58th pct Air-game usagevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving LONG 28 #149/475 69th pct Metricvs FBS TE
Usage 2nd-down usage 5.7% #75/468 84th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage Role share 3.6% #159/468 66th pct Share of team offensevs FBS TE
Usage Standard-down usage 3.6% #157/468 67th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS TE
Usage Passing-down usage 3.5% #232/468 51st pct Known-passing sharevs FBS TE
Usage 1st-down usage 3.2% #198/468 58th pct Early-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage 3rd-down usage 2.0% #301/468 36th pct Money-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage Rush share 0.0% #58/468 88th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS TE

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Mackey award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 10 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home7g2.023.413.80.4
Road3g1.722.712.20.0

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins4g2.025.214.80.5
Losses6g1.821.812.30.2

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-75g1.821.413.80.4
Weeks 8+5g2.025.012.90.2

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the TE cohort

52Mid-pack
5 metrics · season cumulative

Production sits in the middle of the position cohort across the board.

Yards / catch#44 / 175 · 74th pct
12.2rece
Rec TDs#45 / 175 · 66th pct
3rece
Rec yards#91 / 175 · 48th pct
232rece
Receptions#114 / 175 · 33rd pct
19rece
Long catch#116 / 175 · 32nd pct
28rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · TE · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 5 metrics
Michael MasunasMichigan StateLuke LindenmeyerNebraska· 78% simDecker DeGraafWashington· 75% simEthan ConnerTroy· 74% sim
Yards / catch
74
Masunas
53
Lindenmeyer
62
DeGraaf
81
Conner
Rec TDs
66
Masunas
43
Lindenmeyer
43
DeGraaf
66
Conner
Rec yards
48
Masunas
63
Lindenmeyer
72
DeGraaf
79
Conner
Receptions
33
Masunas
66
Lindenmeyer
75
DeGraaf
72
Conner
Long catch
32
Masunas
23
Lindenmeyer
39
DeGraaf
61
Conner

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Red-Zone Weapon

The first name called near the goal line. Blocking is secondary.

TE

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Markeston Douglas’s 2022 season.

Markeston Douglas

76%match

Florida State · 2022

#2

Thomas Odukoya

Eastern Michigan · 2021

All-MAC
73%
#3

Markeston Douglas

Florida State · 2023

73%
#4

Easton Dean

Iowa State · 2022

73%
#5

Mason Williams

Ohio · 2025

72%

Matches Markeston on

Total EPA (college ability)
Yards / reception
TD rate

Differs from Markeston on

Weight (lower)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Tony Livingston's junior season at Florida (2025).

Tony Livingston

81%match

Florida · 2025

#2

Justyn Reid

Tulane · 2025

76%
#3

Mason Williams

Ohio · 2025

75%
#4

Matthew Hibner

SMU · 2024

NFL Rd 4
75%
#5

Thomas Yassmin

Utah · 2023

74%

Matches Tony on

Total EPA (college ability)
TD rate
Reception volume

Differs from Tony on

Recruiting rating (lower)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Jonathan Smith

Pass share

49.7%

378 pass / 382 run

Plays / game

63.3

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

11.2%

303 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

2 coaches
2023
Mel Tucker
Michigan State
2025
Jonathan Smith
Michigan State
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Mel Tucker → Jonathan Smith. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownChandler, AZ
Height6'5"
Weight259 lb
Class3
PositionTE
Jersey81

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Michigan State TE3 #3323 #3387 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big Ten
2023 Michigan State TE3 #4566 #4894 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big Ten
2022 Michigan State TE3 #3952 #4038 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big Ten

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Michigan State Big Ten TE 3 No. 81 | 6-5 | 259 lb | Chandler, AZ
2024 Michigan State Big Ten TE 3 No. 81 | 6-5 | 259 lb | Chandler, AZ
2023 Michigan State Big Ten TE 3 No. 81 | 6-5 | 259 lb | Chandler, AZ
2022 Michigan State Big Ten TE 3 No. 81 | 6-5 | 259 lb | Chandler, AZ