CFB Zeitgeist Score
29
Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by interceptions at the 99th percentile.
Michael Hawkins Jr.
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
167 PASS YDS · 3 PASS TD · 58 RUSH YDS
Where He Ended Up · Transfer
Transferred to West Virginia
2025Oklahoma
2026West Virginia
QB · OKLAHOMA · SEC
Michael Hawkins Jr.
- 2
- #3
- 6-1 | 206 lb
- Dallas, TX
Heisman Heat
#221
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP QB AWARD
Davey O'Brien
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR06 · Starter
Starter. A locked-in starting role.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · passing yards
2024–2025-79%
Sharp dropoff (-79%) — career inflection point.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★★
CFB
College
Oklahoma
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 4-star | 0.9073 | No. 297 recruit | HighSchool | Oklahoma |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Oklahoma -> West Virginia | 3-star | 0.8600 | Immediate |
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★★☆
to Oklahoma
Composite
0.9073
#297 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Michael Hawkins Jr.
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
50
Mixed Sentiment
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- Own fans · n=5
- National · n=12
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Michael Hawkins Jr.
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the passing totals stand
Through 2g
167Pass yards
3Pass TDs
0INT
Per game
83.5Pass yards
2Pass TDs
0INT
Projected (13g)
1,086Pass yards
20Pass TDs
0INT
To hit 3,000-yard season (currently 167): needs 257.5/game over remaining 11.
To hit 4,000-yard season (currently 167): needs 348.5/game over remaining 11.
To hit 25 passing TDs (currently 3): needs 2/game over remaining 11.
To hit 30 passing TDs (currently 3): needs 2.5/game over remaining 11.
To hit 35 passing TDs (currently 3): needs 2.9/game over remaining 11.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Michael Hawkins Jr.'s story is about how role and output meet each other. For Oklahoma, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
QB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Balanced quarterback against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Passing Efficiency
CMP
15 38th
ATT
27 42nd
CMP%
55.6% 28th
Y/A
6.2 35th
Passing Production
YDS
167 37th
TD
3 57th
INT
0 100th
Rushing
CAR
15 46th
YDS
58 57th
YPC
3.9 63rd
TD
1 63rd
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 2 games
| Wk | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA | QBR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | W 42-3@ Temple | 1/3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1.7 | 21.7 | |
| Wk 6 | W 44-0vs Kent State | 14/24 | 162 | 3 | 0 | 6.8 | 64.3 | Season-high 162 yds |
| Total | 15/27 | 167 | 3 | 0 | 4.2 | 43.0 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2024Oklahoma6-7HC: Brent Venables · Run-leaning
2025Oklahoma10-3HC: Brent Venables · Balanced
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.
How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing | Passing yards | 167 | #240/382 | 37th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Pass TD | 3 | #178/407 | 57th pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completions | 15 | #240/383 | 38th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completion % | 55.6% | #277/383 | 28th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Yards / attempt | 6.2 | #248/382 | 35th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 58 | #178/408 | 57th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Value | Passing WEPA | +0.37 | #34/200 | 84th pct | Opponent-adjusted passing value | 129 weighted playsvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Role share | 28.5% | #188/428 | 56th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Attempts | 27 | #237/407 | 42nd pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Interceptions | 0 | #1/407 | 100th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 27 | #122/391 | 69th pct | Metricvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Carries | 15 | #221/408 | 46th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 3.9 | #150/407 | 63rd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 1 | #151/408 | 63rd pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 51.3% | #144/428 | 67th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 44.0% | #169/428 | 61st pct | Money-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Pass share | 43.9% | #194/428 | 55th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 36.2% | #159/428 | 63rd pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 20.0% | #201/428 | 53rd pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 18.1% | #208/428 | 52nd pct | Early-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Rush share | 15.4% | #99/428 | 77th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.26 | #67/140 | 53rd pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 55 weighted playsvs FBS QB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 0 | #1/258 | 100th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 2 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home1g | 162 | 3.0 | 6.8 | 0.0 |
| Road1g | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 0.0 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins2g | 83.5 | 1.5 | 4.2 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-72g | 83.5 | 1.5 | 4.2 | 0.0 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort
29Below cohort
Elite: interceptions (99th). Strength: fumbles lost (91st). Concern: pass yards (0th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · QB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Michael Hawkins Jr.OklahomaNick VattiatoMiddle Tennessee· 62% simDrake LindseyMinnesota· 58% simAvery JohnsonKansas State· 54% sim
Interceptions
Fumbles lost
Rush yards
Rush TDs
Yards / att
Completion %
Pass TDs
Pass yards
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Brent Venables
Pass share
50.4%
429 pass / 423 run
Plays / game
65.5
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
7.0%
345 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2024–2025
1 coach2024
Brent Venables
Oklahoma
2025
Brent Venables
Oklahoma
Played his entire career under Brent Venables.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownDallas, TX
Height6'1"
Weight206 lb
Class2
PositionQB
Jersey3
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamOklahoma
ConferenceSEC
Joined2025
Career arc2 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Oklahoma | QB2 | #221 | #219 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | SEC |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.