cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Michael Dansby /Arizona

Michael Dansby

DB · Arizona · Sr · #25

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

19 TACKLES · 0 SACKS

2026 NFL DRAFTDrafted by Seattle — Rd 7, Pick 39, #255 overall

Where He Ended Up · NFL

Seattle2026 NFL rookie season

#255Rd 7 · Pick 39
Seattle2026 NFL rookie season

DB · ARIZONA · BIG 12

Michael Dansby

  • 4
  • #25
  • 5-11 | 181 lb
  • Oakland, CA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

45

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by passes defended at the 99th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#11509

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DB AWARD

Jim Thorpe

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R03 · Backup

Backup. On the two-deep, pushing for snaps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
2 teams
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
R7 &middot; #255
Seattle &middot; 2026

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionDB
Class4
Jersey25
Measurements5-11 | 181 lb
HometownOakland, CA
Primary teamArizona

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#11509Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#11384Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

NFL Draft

2026 · Rd 7, Pick 39

#255 overall · Seattle

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Michael Dansby

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Michael Dansby

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 9g
19Tackles
0.5Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Per game
2Tackles
0.1Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Projected (13g)
27Tackles
0.7Tackles for loss
0Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 19): needs 15.2/game over remaining 4.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 19): needs 20.2/game over remaining 4.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 0): needs 1.5/game over remaining 4.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 0): needs 2.5/game over remaining 4.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Michael Dansby is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Arizona's defense, with 0.0 sacks, 0.5 tackles for loss, and 2 interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #11509 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Transfer path 0 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 19 15 solo | #2072/4942 (58th pct)
TFL 0.5 Backfield disruption | #2658/4972 (47th pct)
Sacks 0.0 Pass-rush finish | #1762/4972 (65th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Coverage splash against FBS defenders.

Coverage splash

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
19 58th
SOLO
15 69th
TFL
0.5 47th
SACK
0.0 65th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
10 99th
INT
2 87th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 9 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 40-6vs Hawai'i320.00.01Season-high 3 tackles
Wk 2W 48-3vs Weber State220.00.01
Wk 3W 23-17vs Kansas State320.50.01
Wk 5L 14-39@ Iowa State330.00.00
Wk 7L 27-33vs BYU000.00.01
Wk 12W 30-24@ Cincinnati100.00.01
Wk 13W 41-17vs Baylor320.00.02
Wk 14W 23-7@ Arizona State220.00.011
BowlL 19-24@ SMU220.00.012
Total19150.50.0210
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022San José State7-5HC: Brent Brennan · Pass-leaning
2023San José State7-6HC: Brent Brennan · Balanced, slow tempo
2025Arizona9-4HC: Brent Brennan · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Arizona19150.50.0102--
2023San José State15101.00.041--
2022San José State1361.00.031--
Career3 loaded seasons47312.50.0174--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT 2 0 pick-six TD | #114/869 (87th pct)
Pass breakups 10 Coverage disruption | #20/2184 (99th pct)
QB pressures 0 Quarterback hurries
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 19 #2072/4942 58th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 0.5 #2658/4972 47th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 0.0 #1762/4972 65th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Interceptions 2 #114/869 87th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 10 #20/2184 99th pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 15 #1434/4584 69th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense Fumbles recovered 1 #103/736 86th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense INT return yards 1 #546/578 6th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense INT return avg 0.5 #557/578 4th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/773 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Thorpe award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 9 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home5g2.20.10.01.2
Road4g2.00.00.01.0

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins6g2.30.10.01.2
Losses3g1.70.00.01.0

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-76g2.20.10.01.0
Weeks 8+3g2.00.00.01.3

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the DB cohort

45Mid-pack
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: passes defended (99th). Concern: tackles for loss (18th).

Passes defended#20 / 2975 · 99th pct
10defe
Interceptions#114 / 817 · 75th pct
2inte
Solo tackles#1434 / 2975 · 50th pct
15defe
Forced fumbles#36 / 687 · 47th pct
0fumb
Tackles#2072 / 2975 · 29th pct
19defe
Sacks#1575 / 2975 · 24th pct
0.0defe
QB hurries#1662 / 2975 · 22nd pct
0defe
Tackles for loss#2332 / 2975 · 18th pct
0.5defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · DB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Michael DansbyArizonaDalton JohnsonArizona· 65% simTahj Ra-ElPurdue· 64% simTyler MartinMassachusetts· 63% sim
Passes defended
99
Dansby
96
Johnson
91
Ra-El
67
Martin
Interceptions
75
Dansby
95
Johnson
31
Martin
Solo tackles
50
Dansby
97
Johnson
100
Ra-El
87
Martin
Forced fumbles
47
Dansby
47
Johnson
47
Ra-El
47
Martin
Tackles
29
Dansby
98
Johnson
99
Ra-El
98
Martin
Sacks
24
Dansby
63
Johnson
24
Ra-El
24
Martin
QB hurries
22
Dansby
22
Johnson
22
Ra-El
22
Martin
Tackles for loss
18
Dansby
47
Johnson
56
Ra-El
63
Martin

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Centerfielder

Single-high range who erases the deep middle of the field.

S

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Andre Jordan’s 2025 season.

Andre Jordan

65%match

UCLA · 2025

#2

Mac McWilliams

UAB · 2022

NFL Rd 5
59%
#3

Alex Hogan

Houston · 2022

54%
#4

Jakorian Bennett

Maryland · 2021

NFL Rd 4
52%
#5

Kaleb Hayes

BYU · 2021

44%

Matches Andre on

PD rate
Tackle volume
Weight

Differs from Andre on

Height (lower)
Class year (higher)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Jordan Dunbar's senior season at Missouri State (2025).

Jordan Dunbar

87%match

Missouri State · 2025

#2

Colby Dempsey

UAB · 2024

67%
#3

Quinyon Mitchell

Toledo · 2023

1st-team All-AmericanNFL Rd 1 · Pk 22
21%
#4

Micah Abraham

Marshall · 2023

All-Sun BeltNFL Rd 6
18%
#5

Nicktroy Fortune

UTSA · 2023

8%

Matches Jordan on

Class year
PD rate
Tackle volume

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Brent Brennan

Pass share

49.7%

447 pass / 452 run

Plays / game

69.2

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.9%

340 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

2 coaches
2022
Jedd Fisch
Arizona
2023
Jedd Fisch
Arizona
2025
Brent Brennan
Arizona
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Jedd Fisch → Brent Brennan. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownOakland, CA
Height5'11"
Weight181 lb
Class4
PositionDB
Jersey25

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 San José State DB4 #11509 #11384 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Mountain West
2023 San José State DB4 #10409 #10454 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Mountain West
2022 San José State DB4 #10963 #10919 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Mountain West

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Arizona Big 12 DB 4 No. 25 | 5-11 | 181 lb | Oakland, CA
2024 San José State Mountain West DB 4 No. 25 | 5-11 | 181 lb | Oakland, CA
2023 San José State Mountain West DB 4 No. 25 | 5-11 | 181 lb | Oakland, CA
2022 San José State Mountain West DB 4 No. 25 | 5-11 | 181 lb | Oakland, CA