CFB Zeitgeist Score
37
Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by rush tds at the 50th percentile.
Micah Welch
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
384 RUSH YDS · 4 RUSH TD · 96 CARRIES
2026 Outlook
Returning to Colorado for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Running back · Colorado
Returning around him
- 7% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
- Transfer portal: +4 net (42 in / 38 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Colorado · Last season: 3-9 · Talent rank #30 · 2026 recruiting class #37
RB · COLORADO · BIG 12
Micah Welch
- 2
- #29
- 5-9 | 215 lb
- Milledgeville, GA
Heisman Heat
#223
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP RB AWARD
Doak Walker
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR06 · Starter
Starter. A locked-in starting role.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · rushing yards
2024–2025+106%
Up 106% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
Colorado
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 3-star | 0.8744 | No. 779 recruit | HighSchool | Colorado |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Achievements
- Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in rushing yards (384).
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to Colorado
Composite
0.8744
#779 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Micah Welch
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
100
Grounded Optimism
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- Own fans · n=1
- Rivals · n=2
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Micah Welch
Only 2 rival mention(s) — below the 4-mention floor for a defensible read.
2025 Signature · 2025 season
Yards per carry
4.0
yds
P4 + Notre Dame RBs, min 80 carries
National rank #64 of 69
Percentile vs P4 + Notre Dame RBs, min 80 carries 7th
Why it matters
#64 of 69 P4 + Notre Dame RBs at 4.0 yards per carry (96 carries).
Vs cohort
This player 4.0 (7th)
MODERATE · n=96 cohort 69
- Also strong
- Rushing WEPA per carry#64 / 66
- Rushing yards (total)#64 / 69
Signature Moment
Week 4 vs Wyoming — 67 ypc
Result W 37-20
The week the volume broke through — put up 67 yds vs Wyoming.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the rushing totals stand
Through 12g
384Rush yards
96Carries
4Rush TDs
Per game
32Rush yards
8Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
416Rush yards
104Carries
4Rush TDs
To hit 750-yard season (currently 384): needs 366/game over remaining 1.
To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 384): needs 616/game over remaining 1.
To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 384): needs 1,116/game over remaining 1.
To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 4): needs 6/game over remaining 1.
To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 4): needs 11/game over remaining 1.
To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 4): needs 16/game over remaining 1.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Micah Welch's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Colorado, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
RB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Backfield contributor against FBS RB peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Rushing
CAR
96 76th
YDS
384 71st
YPC
4.0 34th
TD
4 79th
Receiving
REC
11 65th
YDS
37 42nd
YPR
3.4 12th
TD
0 70th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 12 games
| Wk | Opp | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | L 20-27vs Georgia Tech | 11 | 64 | 5.8 | 0 | 22 | |
| Wk 2 | W 31-7vs Delaware | 7 | 14 | 2.0 | 1 | 10 | |
| Wk 3 | L 20-36@ Houston | 5 | -2 | -0.4 | 0 | 3 | |
| Wk 4 | W 37-20vs Wyoming | 6 | 67 | 11.2 | 0 | 44 | Season-high 67 yds |
| Wk 5 | L 21-24vs BYU | 11 | 67 | 6.1 | 0 | 27 | |
| Wk 6 | L 21-35@ TCU | 12 | 40 | 3.3 | 0 | 15 | |
| Wk 7 | W 24-17vs Iowa State | 10 | 27 | 2.7 | 1 | 8 | |
| Wk 9 | L 7-53@ Utah | 6 | 4 | 0.7 | 0 | 2 | |
| Wk 10 | L 17-52vs Arizona | 10 | 32 | 3.2 | 0 | 8 | |
| Wk 11 | L 22-29@ West Virginia | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | |
| Wk 13 | L 17-42vs Arizona State | 5 | 51 | 10.2 | 0 | 39 | |
| Wk 14 | L 14-24@ Kansas State | 10 | 20 | 2.0 | 2 | 4 | |
| Total | 96 | 384 | 3.9 | 4 | 44 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2024Colorado9-4HC: Deion Sanders · Pass-leaning
2025Colorado3-9HC: Deion Sanders · Run-leaning
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.
How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 384 | #216/735 | 71st pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 4 | #154/739 | 79th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 4.0 | #489/735 | 34th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receptions | 11 | #195/552 | 65th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 37 | #317/548 | 42nd pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.03 | #325/362 | 10th pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 98 weighted playsvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Role share | 14.1% | #201/738 | 73rd pct | Share of team offensevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Carries | 96 | #180/739 | 76th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 44 | #207/733 | 72nd pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 25 | #166/540 | 69th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 3.4 | #484/548 | 12th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 0 | #169/552 | 70th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Rush share | 24.2% | #196/738 | 74th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 20.1% | #123/738 | 83rd pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 19.6% | #151/738 | 80th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 12.7% | #248/738 | 67th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 6.6% | #361/738 | 51st pct | Money-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Pass share | 4.2% | #215/738 | 71st pct | Air-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 4.0% | #520/738 | 30th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS RB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 1 | #78/256 | 70th pct | Turnoversvs FBS RB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 12 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home7g | 46.0 | 5.9 | 0.3 |
| Road5g | 12.4 | 1.1 | 0.4 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins3g | 36.0 | 5.3 | 0.7 |
| Losses9g | 30.7 | 3.4 | 0.2 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-77g | 39.6 | 4.4 | 0.3 |
| Weeks 8+5g | 21.4 | 3.2 | 0.4 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort
37Mid-pack
Concern: yards / carry (15th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · RB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
wepa_rushing0.03Below (<p25) (n=178)
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Micah WelchColoradoTae MeadowsTroy· 79% simChavon WrightNorthern Illinois· 76% simJordan GantAkron· 71% sim
Rush TDs
Fumbles lost
Long run
Carries
Receptions
Rush yards
Rec yards
Yards / carry
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Balanced Back
Plays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension.
RB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Kimani Vidal’s 2021 season.
Kimani Vidal
79%match
NFL Rd 6
#2
Daba Fofana
75%
#3
Rickey Hunt
76%
#4
Darrion Dupree
75%
#5
Nelson Smith
67%
Matches Kimani on
Total rush EPA (college ability)
Height
Rush TD rate
Differs from Kimani on
Yards / reception (lower)
Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Gerrid Doaks’s path through Cincinnati.
Gerrid Doaks
99%match
All-AACNFL Rd 7
#2
Rickey Hunt
92%
#3
Pat Garwo III
91%
#4
Arnold Barnes
90%
#5
Chavon Wright
All-MAC
87%
Matches Gerrid on
Yards per carry
As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Rickey Hunt's sophomore season at Ohio (2024).
Rickey Hunt
81%match
#2
Darrion Dupree
79%
#3
Makhi Frazier
77%
#4
Kimani Vidal
All-Sun BeltNFL Rd 6
77%
#5
Jaziun Patterson
76%
Matches Rickey on
Weight
Total rush EPA (college ability)
Receiving share
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Deion Sanders
Pass share
45.6%
356 pass / 424 run
Plays / game
65.0
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
12.5%
320 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-leaning.
Coaching Lineage · 2024–2025
1 coach2024
Deion Sanders
Colorado
2025
Deion Sanders
Colorado
Played his entire career under Deion Sanders.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownMilledgeville, GA
Height5'9"
Weight215 lb
Class2
PositionRB
Jersey29
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamColorado
ConferenceBig 12
Joined2025
Career arc2 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Colorado | RB2 | #223 | #220 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Big 12 |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.