cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Micah Ford /Stanford

Micah Ford

RB · Stanford · So · #20

Filling the Shoesas of 2026-06-22

Micah Ford is a cornerstone for Stanford — measured against the line he joined.

643RUSH YDS4RUSH TD145CARRIES

PERCEPTION ABOVE TAPE · PCTL GAP

-24

perception vs production percentile · 2025

Read the story so far

Micah Ford arrived as a 3-star prospect. He lines up at RB for Stanford.

On the field, the headline is 643 rush yds, with 4 rush td.

He inherited the RB job from Ashton Daniels (3-star).

The number to watch: -24 — perception above tape · pctl gap.

RB successioncontinuity
  • Inherited fromAshton Daniels 3★
Why nowThe 2026 outlook is the live story — the offseason looks forward.
  • season totals
  • perception vs production percentile · 2025
  • throne-line + Filling-the-Shoes

AI narrative · updated 2026-06-22 · compiled from CFB Zeitgeist data

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Stanford for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Stanford for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Running back · Stanford

Returning around him

  • 19% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
  • 2 Stanford players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -6 net (6 in / 12 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Stanford · Last season: 4-8 · Talent rank #46 · 2026 recruiting class #56

RB · STANFORD · ACC

Micah Ford

  • 2
  • #20
  • 6-0 | 220 lb
  • Toms River, NJ

CFB Zeitgeist Score

60

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by rush yards at the 70th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#753

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · rushing yards

2024–2025
3092024
6432025

+108%

Up 108% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#861 national
CFB
College
Stanford
2024–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class2
Jersey20
Measurements6-0 | 220 lb
HometownToms River, NJ
Primary teamStanford

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 861 recruit
Composite rating 0.8719 HighSchool
Signed with -- 2024
Origin Toms River North Toms River, NJ, USA
Class Profile Context
2024 3-star | 0.8719 No. 861 recruit | HighSchool

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#753Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#964Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

Achievements

  • Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in rushing yards (643).

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to —

Composite

0.8719

#861 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Micah Ford

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

50

Mixed Sentiment

Sample 1 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 1 mentions · belief +0 · "Stanford Football Weekly Press Conference | Notre Dame Week - Matt Rose and Mica"Own fansNational: 3 mentions · belief +0 · "The cumulative link to the preseason rankings can be found [here]( https://www.r"National
  • Own fans · n=1
  • National · n=3

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Micah Ford

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the rushing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 9g
643Rush yards
145Carries
4Rush TDs
Per game
71.4Rush yards
16Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
928.8Rush yards
209Carries
6Rush TDs

To hit 750-yard season (currently 643): needs 26.8/game over remaining 4.

To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 643): needs 89.2/game over remaining 4.

To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 643): needs 214.2/game over remaining 4.

To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 4): needs 1.5/game over remaining 4.

To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 4): needs 2.8/game over remaining 4.

To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 4): needs 4/game over remaining 4.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Micah Ford's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Stanford, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #753 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 26.8% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Development arc The card should explain why this profile stands out

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 762 643 rush | 119 rec | #105/735 (86th pct)
Rush TD 4 145 carries | #154/739 (79th pct)
Yards/carry 4.4 Per-rush efficiency | #409/735 (44th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Workhorse against FBS RB peers.

Workhorse

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
145 90th
YDS
643 86th
YPC
4.4 44th
TD
4 79th

Receiving

REC
11 65th
YDS
119 76th
YPR
10.8 83rd
TD
0 70th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 9 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCARYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1L 20-23@ Hawai'i261134.3117
Wk 2L 3-27@ BYU12211.809
Wk 3W 30-20vs Boston College171579.2175Season-high 157 yds
Wk 4L 20-48@ Virginia13443.4111
Wk 5W 30-29vs San José State7121.708
Wk 7L 10-34@ SMU16533.3013
Wk 8W 20-13vs Florida State8253.105
Wk 11L 15-20@ North Carolina17684.008
Wk 13W 31-10vs California291505.2129150-yard day
Total1456434.0475
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2024Stanford3-9HC: Troy Taylor · Run-leaning
2025Stanford4-8HC: Frank Reich · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Stanford1456434.44--
2024Stanford763094.10--
Career2 loaded seasons2219524.34--
SeasonTeam
2025Stanford1111910.80--
2024Stanford15845.60--
Career2 loaded seasons262037.80--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work 11 119 rec yds | #195/552 (65th pct)
Usage 26.8% 51.4% rush share | #29/738 (96th pct)
Rushing WEPA +0.11 Opponent-adjusted rush value | #192/362 (47th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing yards 643 #105/735 86th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rush TD 4 #154/739 79th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing Yards / carry 4.4 #409/735 44th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receptions 11 #195/552 65th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving yards 119 #132/548 76th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.11 #192/362 47th pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 148 weighted playsvs FBS RB
Usage Role share 26.8% #29/738 96th pct Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 145 #73/739 90th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rushing LONG 75 #36/733 95th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving LONG 54 #36/540 94th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Yards / catch 10.8 #96/548 83rd pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving TD 0 #169/552 70th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Usage Rush share 51.4% #12/738 99th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage Standard-down usage 34.0% #17/738 98th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage 1st-down usage 31.1% #33/738 96th pct Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 2nd-down usage 29.0% #23/738 97th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 3rd-down usage 14.0% #94/738 87th pct Money-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Passing-down usage 11.2% #153/738 79th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage Pass share 4.9% #165/738 78th pct Air-game usagevs FBS RB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/256 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 9 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Home4g86.04.80.5
Road5g59.83.40.4

Win vs Loss

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Wins4g86.04.80.5
Losses5g59.83.40.4

First half vs Second half

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Weeks 1-76g66.73.90.5
Weeks 8+3g81.04.10.3

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort

60Solid starter
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: long run (89th). Strength: fumbles lost (86th). Concern: yards / carry (28th).

Long run#33 / 349 · 90th pct
75rush
Fumbles lost#1 / 201 · 87th pct
0fumb
Carries#73 / 349 · 79th pct
145rush
Rush yards#105 / 349 · 70th pct
643rush
Rec yards#123 / 338 · 63rd pct
119rece
Rush TDs#153 / 349 · 50th pct
4rush
Receptions#179 / 338 · 45th pct
11rece
Yards / carry#241 / 349 · 29th pct
4.4rush

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

wepa_rushing0.11Low (p25–p50) (n=178)

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Micah FordStanfordBill DavisLouisiana· 87% simRoman HembyIndiana· 81% simCarson HansenIowa State· 81% sim
Long run
90
Ford
91
Davis
94
Hemby
78
Hansen
Fumbles lost
87
Ford
87
Hemby
87
Hansen
Carries
79
Ford
83
Davis
97
Hemby
91
Hansen
Rush yards
70
Ford
80
Davis
94
Hemby
87
Hansen
Rec yards
63
Ford
45
Davis
77
Hemby
70
Hansen
Rush TDs
50
Ford
72
Davis
80
Hemby
72
Hansen
Receptions
45
Ford
39
Davis
67
Hemby
75
Hansen
Yards / carry
29
Ford
45
Davis
49
Hemby
58
Hansen

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Workhorse

Built to take 20+ carries per game. Volume is the value.

RB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Carson Steele’s 2021 season.

Carson Steele

83%match

Ball State · 2021

#2

Samuel Brown V

Rutgers · 2022

78%
#3

Darwin Barlow

USC · 2021

79%
#4

Deion Hankins

UTEP · 2022

All-Conference USA
78%
#5

Brenden Knox

Marshall · 2020

All-Conference USA
75%

Matches Carson on

Yards / carry
Weight
EPA / carry (adj)

Differs from Carson on

Yards / reception (lower)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Lamar Radcliffe's sophomore season at San José State (2025).

Lamar Radcliffe

82%match

San José State · 2025

#2

Ari Broussard

Rice · 2021

74%
#3

Kevin Harris

South Carolina · 2021

75%
#4

Darwin Barlow

USC · 2021

74%
#5

Hayden Reed

Army · 2023

74%

Matches Lamar on

Total rush EPA (college ability)
Receiving share
Yards / carry

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Frank Reich

Pass share

50.4%

391 pass / 385 run

Plays / game

64.7

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

12.5%

337 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2024–2025

2 coaches
2024
Troy Taylor
Stanford
2025
Frank Reich
Stanford
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Troy Taylor → Frank Reich. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownToms River, NJ
Height6'0"
Weight220 lb
Class2
PositionRB
Jersey20

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Stanford RB2 #753 #964 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | ACC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Stanford ACC RB 2 No. 20 | 6-0 | 220 lb | Toms River, NJ
2024 Stanford ACC RB 2 No. 20 | 6-0 | 220 lb | Toms River, NJ