cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Micah Barnett /Rice

Micah Barnett

TE · Rice · Sr · #49

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

33 REC YDS · 2 REC · 0 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Rice for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Rice for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Tight end · Rice

Returning around him

  • 75% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
  • Transfer portal: -2 net (20 in / 22 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Rice · Last season: 5-8 · Talent rank #106 · 2026 recruiting class #100

TE · RICE · AMERICAN ATHLETIC

Micah Barnett

  • 4
  • #49
  • 6-2 | 234 lb
  • Dickinson, TX

CFB Zeitgeist Score

26

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by yards / catch at the 99th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#4398

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP TE AWARD

Mackey

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2022–2025
5.02022
14.02024
33.02025

+560%

Up 560% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
Rice
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionTE
Class4
Jersey49
Measurements6-2 | 234 lb
HometownDickinson, TX
Primary teamRice

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#4398Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#5014Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Micah Barnett

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Micah Barnett

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 2g
33Rec yards
2Receptions
0Rec TDs
Per game
16.5Rec yards
1Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
214.5Rec yards
13Receptions
0Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 33): needs 60.6/game over remaining 11.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 33): needs 87.9/game over remaining 11.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 2): needs 5.3/game over remaining 11.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 2): needs 7.1/game over remaining 11.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 0): needs 0.7/game over remaining 11.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 0): needs 0.9/game over remaining 11.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Micah Barnett's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Rice, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #4398 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 5.3% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Development arc The card should explain why this profile stands out

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

TE season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 2 0 rec TD | #349/475 (27th pct)
Receiving yards 33 16.5 per catch | #316/475 (34th pct)
Scrimmage yards 33 Total offensive yardage | #316/475 (34th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Big-play receiver against FBS receiving peers.

Big-play receiver

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
2 27th
YDS
33 34th
YPR
16.5 93rd
TD
0 46th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 2 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 9W 37-34vs UConn12828.0028Season-high 28 yds
Wk 13L 24-56vs North Texas155.005
Total23316.5028
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Rice5-8HC: Mike Bloomgren · Run-leaning
2023Rice6-7HC: Mike Bloomgren · Balanced, slow tempo
2024Rice4-8HC: Mike Bloomgren · Pass-leaning
2025Rice5-8HC: Scott Abell · Run-heavy
SeasonTeam
2025Rice23316.50--
2024Rice3144.70--
2023Rice----------
2022Rice252.50--
Career4 loaded seasons7527.40--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The tight end's share of the passing offense, which helps distinguish a featured receiving tight end from a secondary option.

Role share

A blended usage view that shows how often the offense flows through the tight end compared with other same-level peers.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 5.3% 18.2% pass-game share | #10/468 (98th pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 0 Across offense and returns | #257/475 (46th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 2 #349/475 27th pct Volumevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving yards 33 #316/475 34th pct Volumevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving TD 0 #257/475 46th pct Scoringvs FBS TE
Receiving Yards / catch 16.5 #33/475 93rd pct Efficiencyvs FBS TE
Usage Pass share 18.2% #10/468 98th pct Air-game usagevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving LONG 28 #149/475 69th pct Metricvs FBS TE
Usage Passing-down usage 10.0% #22/468 96th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS TE
Usage 3rd-down usage 7.1% #73/468 85th pct Money-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage 1st-down usage 6.1% #40/468 92nd pct Early-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage Role share 5.3% #71/468 85th pct Share of team offensevs FBS TE
Usage 2nd-down usage 3.7% #211/468 55th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage Standard-down usage 3.6% #157/468 67th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS TE
Usage Rush share 0.0% #58/468 88th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS TE

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Mackey award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 2 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home2g1.016.516.50.0

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins1g1.028.028.00.0
Losses1g1.05.05.00.0

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 8+2g1.016.516.50.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the TE cohort

26Below cohort
5 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: yards / catch (98th). Concern: receptions (0th).

Yards / catch#3 / 175 · 99th pct
16.5rece
Long catch#116 / 175 · 32nd pct
28rece
Rec TDs#152 / 175 · 7th pct
0rece
Rec yards#176 / 175 · 0th pct
33rece
Receptions#176 / 175 · 0th pct
2rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · TE · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 5 metrics
Micah BarnettRiceLuke LindenmeyerNebraska· 51% simDecker DeGraafWashington· 48% simRiley NowakowskiIndiana· 45% sim
Yards / catch
99
Barnett
53
Lindenmeyer
62
DeGraaf
71
Nowakowski
Long catch
32
Barnett
23
Lindenmeyer
39
DeGraaf
69
Nowakowski
Rec TDs
7
Barnett
43
Lindenmeyer
43
DeGraaf
43
Nowakowski
Rec yards
0
Barnett
63
Lindenmeyer
72
DeGraaf
77
Nowakowski
Receptions
0
Barnett
66
Lindenmeyer
75
DeGraaf
75
Nowakowski

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Scott Abell

Pass share

26.0%

224 pass / 636 run

Plays / game

66.2

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

11.6%

147 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-heavy.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

2 coaches
2022
Mike Bloomgren
Rice
2023
Mike Bloomgren
Rice
2024
Mike Bloomgren
Rice
2025
Scott Abell
Rice
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Mike Bloomgren → Scott Abell. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownDickinson, TX
Height6'2"
Weight234 lb
Class4
PositionTE
Jersey49

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Rice TE4 #4398 #5014 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | American Athletic
2023 Rice TE4 #4310 #4266 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | American Athletic
2022 Rice TE4 #5007 #5486 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Conference USA

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Rice American Athletic TE 4 No. 49 | 6-2 | 234 lb | Dickinson, TX
2024 Rice American Athletic TE 4 No. 49 | 6-2 | 234 lb | Dickinson, TX
2023 Rice American Athletic TE 4 No. 49 | 6-2 | 234 lb | Dickinson, TX
2022 Rice Conference USA TE 4 No. 49 | 6-2 | 234 lb | Dickinson, TX