CFB Zeitgeist QB Score
Awaiting
Max Duggan
Limited signal — not enough coverage for a story yet.
Where He Ended Up · NFL
Los AngelesEntering 4th NFL season
QB · TCU · BIG 12
CFB Zeitgeist QB Score
Awaiting
Heisman Heat
#2
8.9% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
8.9%
TOP QB AWARD
Davey O'Brien
In contention
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 5 · ApexPosition-of-the-Year finalist. Among the nation's elite at the position.
Career arc · Season-by-season Standing
2 seasons on the ladder
2021
TCU · QB
—
2022
TCU · QB
R15 · POTY finalist
Apex
Development Trajectory · passing yards
2021–2022Up 81% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 4-star | 0.9169 | No. 211 recruit | HighSchool | TCU |
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 20Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Selector Grid · 2025
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★★☆
to TCU
Composite
0.9169
#211 national
NFL Draft
2023 · Rd 7, Pick 22
#239 overall · Los Angeles
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Scenario Explorer
Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
The unusual part of Max Duggan's case is that the production comes in two channels, not one. For TCU, he has 3,698 passing yards and 32 touchdown passes, but he also adds 423 rushing yards and 9 rushing scores. That kind of dual-threat load tends to create a more resilient Heisman case because the offense can tilt the game in multiple ways.
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
2022 season snapshot | final
30-second read
High-volume passer | Vertical threat | Dual-threat against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.
2022 season snapshot | final
Passing Efficiency
Passing Production
Rushing
Game Log
Week-by-week box
No per-game rows for this season yet — the table fills in as box scores arrive.
Traditional history
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
Advanced metrics second
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.
How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing | Passing yards | 3,698 | #6/382 | 99th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Pass TD | 32 | #4/407 | 99th pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completions | 267 | #27/383 | 93rd pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completion % | 63.7% | #150/383 | 61st pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Yards / attempt | 8.8 | #56/382 | 86th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 423 | #45/408 | 89th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Value | Passing WEPA | +0.62 | #1/200 | 100th pct | Opponent-adjusted passing value | 216 weighted playsvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Role share | 52.2% | #60/428 | 86th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Attempts | 419 | #16/407 | 96th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Interceptions | 8 | #339/407 | 17th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Carries | 137 | #27/408 | 94th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 67 | #13/391 | 97th pct | Metricvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 9 | #23/408 | 95th pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 3.1 | #180/407 | 56th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Pass share | 96.9% | #10/428 | 98th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 65.9% | #71/428 | 84th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 65.6% | #65/428 | 85th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 48.9% | #43/428 | 90th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 47.5% | #98/428 | 77th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 46.3% | #57/428 | 87th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | Rush share | 23.8% | #41/428 | 91st pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.33 | #32/140 | 78th pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 85 weighted playsvs FBS QB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 1 | #69/258 | 74th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits
Per-game splits
Splits fill in once box scores from at least three games land for this season.
Advanced Savant · QB · 2022
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Sonny Dykes
Pass share
51.9%
460 pass / 426 run
Plays / game
68.2
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
5.6%
340 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2021–2022
2 coachesCoaching transition mid-career: Gary Patterson → Sonny Dykes. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Trophy Case · Confirmed honors
What the selectors said
POSITION AWARDS
Unitas Golden Arm, Davey O'Brien
2022 season
ALL-CONFERENCE
All-Conf mention (2022)
All-Big 12
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
Finished in the top end of the Heisman vote on a completed ballot, which is a cleaner historical signal than model-only attention.
Invited into the official finalist tier in 2022. That belongs in the trophy case, not buried in a table.
Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.
Even lower-volume award recognition is worth preserving because it marks seasons where a player entered the national conversation.
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | Unitas Golden Arm | position_award | TCU | Unitas Golden Arm | winner | QB |
| 2022 | Davey O'Brien | position_award | TCU | Davey O'Brien | winner | QB |
| 2022 | All-Big 12 | all_conference | TCU | Big 12 | QB |
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
Team, conference, and class by season.