cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Max Bredeson /Michigan

Max Bredeson

TE · Michigan · Sr · #44

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

11 REC YDS · 2 REC · 0 REC TD

2026 NFL DRAFTDrafted by Minnesota — Rd 5, Pick 19, #159 overall

Where He Ended Up · NFL

Minnesota2026 NFL rookie season

#159Rd 5 · Pick 19
Minnesota2026 NFL rookie season

TE · MICHIGAN · BIG TEN

Max Bredeson

  • 4
  • #44
  • 6-2 | 250 lb
  • Hartland, WI

CFB Zeitgeist Score

2

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by rec tds at the 7th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#1663

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP TE AWARD

Mackey

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career arc · Season-by-season Standing

4 seasons on the ladder

Peak: R09 All-Conference HM / 2nd team · 2025

2022

Michigan · TE

2023

Michigan · TE

2024

Michigan · TE

2025

Michigan · TE

R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team

Recognized

NFL Draft 2026 · Rd 5, Pick 19 · #159 overall · Minnesota

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2022–2025
78.02022
19.02023
24.02024
11.02025

-86%

Sharp dropoff (-86%) — career inflection point.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
Michigan
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
R5 &middot; #159
Minnesota &middot; 2026

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionTE
Class4
Jersey44
Measurements6-2 | 250 lb
HometownHartland, WI
Primary teamMichigan

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#1663Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#1773Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

NFL Draft

2026 · Rd 5, Pick 19

#159 overall · Minnesota

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Max Bredeson

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Max Bredeson

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 2g
11Rec yards
2Receptions
0Rec TDs
Per game
5.5Rec yards
1Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
71.5Rec yards
13Receptions
0Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 11): needs 62.6/game over remaining 11.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 11): needs 89.9/game over remaining 11.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 2): needs 5.3/game over remaining 11.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 2): needs 7.1/game over remaining 11.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 0): needs 0.7/game over remaining 11.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 0): needs 0.9/game over remaining 11.

Why the honors trail matters

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

The useful clue on this card is not just the Heisman rank, but the broader honors spine. Max Bredeson already has 1 loaded recognition item, which helps distinguish a player who is merely productive from one who is already earning selector-level validation.

Current place #1663 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 1.4% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Honors spine 1 honors loaded

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

TE season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 2 0 rec TD | #349/475 (27th pct)
Receiving yards 11 5.5 per catch | #400/475 (16th pct)
Scrimmage yards 11 Total offensive yardage | #400/475 (16th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
2 27th
YDS
11 16th
YPR
5.5 13th
TD
0 46th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 2 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 34-17vs New Mexico144.004
Wk 13W 45-20@ Maryland177.007Season-high 7 yds
Total2115.507
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Michigan13-1HC: Jim Harbaugh · Run-heavy
2023Michigan15-0HC: Jim Harbaugh · Run-heavy, slow tempo
2024Michigan8-5HC: Sherrone Moore · Run-heavy
2025Michigan9-4HC: Sherrone Moore · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Michigan2115.50--
2024Michigan3248.00--
2023Michigan2199.50--
2022Michigan57815.60--
Career4 loaded seasons1213211.00--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The tight end's share of the passing offense, which helps distinguish a featured receiving tight end from a secondary option.

Role share

A blended usage view that shows how often the offense flows through the tight end compared with other same-level peers.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 1.4% 3.4% pass-game share | #379/468 (19th pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 0 Across offense and returns | #257/475 (46th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 2 #349/475 27th pct Volumevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving yards 11 #400/475 16th pct Volumevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving TD 0 #257/475 46th pct Scoringvs FBS TE
Receiving Yards / catch 5.5 #414/475 13th pct Efficiencyvs FBS TE
Usage Pass share 3.4% #379/468 19th pct Air-game usagevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving LONG 7 #410/475 14th pct Metricvs FBS TE
Usage 3rd-down usage 3.7% #203/468 57th pct Money-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage 2nd-down usage 2.1% #331/468 29th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage Standard-down usage 1.9% #348/468 26th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS TE
Usage Role share 1.4% #438/468 7th pct Share of team offensevs FBS TE
Usage 1st-down usage 0.0% #401/468 15th pct Early-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage Passing-down usage 0.0% #382/468 19th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS TE
Usage Rush share 0.0% #58/468 88th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS TE

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

ALL-CONF HM

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

ALL-CONF HM · Rung 9 of 16

Why he’s here

All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started.

What moves him up

A best-at-position run lifts to 1st team.

What moves him down

A back-end conference finish drops out of the honor list.

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Mackey award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 2 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home1g1.04.04.00.0
Road1g1.07.07.00.0

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins2g1.05.55.50.0

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-71g1.04.04.00.0
Weeks 8+1g1.07.07.00.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the TE cohort

2Below cohort
5 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: long catch (0th).

Rec TDs#152 / 175 · 7th pct
0rece
Yards / catch#175 / 175 · 1st pct
5.5rece
Rec yards#176 / 175 · 0th pct
11rece
Receptions#176 / 175 · 0th pct
2rece
Long catch#176 / 175 · 0th pct
7rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · TE · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 5 metrics
Max BredesonMichiganBryce CaufieldOregon State· 60% simHayden HansenFlorida· 55% simTyler FortenberryArkansas State· 51% sim
Rec TDs
7
Bredeson
21
Caufield
43
Hansen
43
Fortenberry
Yards / catch
1
Bredeson
7
Caufield
16
Hansen
26
Fortenberry
Rec yards
0
Bredeson
44
Caufield
54
Hansen
58
Fortenberry
Receptions
0
Bredeson
66
Caufield
69
Hansen
75
Fortenberry
Long catch
0
Bredeson
39
Caufield
32
Hansen
32
Fortenberry

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Sherrone Moore

Pass share

40.9%

340 pass / 492 run

Plays / game

64.0

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.4%

256 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

2 coaches
2022
Jim Harbaugh
Michigan
2023
Jim Harbaugh
Michigan
2024
Sherrone Moore
Michigan
era →
2025
Sherrone Moore
Michigan

Coaching transition mid-career: Jim Harbaugh → Sherrone Moore. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownHartland, WI
Height6'2"
Weight250 lb
Class4
PositionTE
Jersey44

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

1 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2025)

All-Big Ten

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

1 all-conference honor

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2025 All-Big Ten all_conference Michigan | Big Ten TE

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Michigan TE4 #1663 #1773 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big Ten
2023 Michigan TE4 #1650 #1133 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big Ten
2022 Michigan TE4 #910 #606 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big Ten

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Michigan Big Ten TE 4 No. 44 | 6-2 | 250 lb | Hartland, WI
2024 Michigan Big Ten TE 4 No. 44 | 6-2 | 250 lb | Hartland, WI
2023 Michigan Big Ten TE 4 No. 44 | 6-2 | 250 lb | Hartland, WI
2022 Michigan Big Ten TE 4 No. 44 | 6-2 | 250 lb | Hartland, WI