CFB Zeitgeist Score
33
Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by yards / catch at the 92nd percentile.
Mavin Anderson
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
155 REC YDS · 9 REC · 1 REC TD
2026 Outlook
Returning to Texas State for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Returning starter
Wide receiver · Texas State
Returning around him
- 93% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
- Transfer portal: -4 net (17 in / 21 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Texas State · Last season: 7-6 · Talent rank #76 · 2026 recruiting class #101
WR · TEXAS STATE · SUN BELT
Mavin Anderson
- 4
- #3
- 6-0 | 200 lb
- Mission Viejo, CA
Heisman Heat
#1304
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP WR AWARD
Biletnikoff
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 1 · 2-deepR04 · Rotational
Rotational. Earning real snaps in the rotation.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · receiving yards
2022–2025-58%
Sharp dropoff (-58%) — career inflection point.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★★
CFB
College
2 teams
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 4-star | 0.9031 | No. 292 recruit | HighSchool | California |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | California -> Texas State | 3-star | 0.8200 | Immediate |
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★★☆
to California
Composite
0.9031
#292 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Mavin Anderson
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Mavin Anderson
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the receiving totals stand
Through 5g
155Rec yards
9Receptions
1Rec TDs
Per game
31Rec yards
2Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
403Rec yards
23Receptions
3Rec TDs
To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 155): needs 68.1/game over remaining 8.
To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 155): needs 105.6/game over remaining 8.
To hit 60-catch season (currently 9): needs 6.4/game over remaining 8.
To hit 80-catch season (currently 9): needs 8.9/game over remaining 8.
To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 1): needs 0.9/game over remaining 8.
To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 1): needs 1.1/game over remaining 8.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Mavin Anderson's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Texas State, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
WR season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Big-play receiver against FBS receiving peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Receiving
REC
9 46th
YDS
155 52nd
YPR
17.2 87th
TD
1 64th
Returns
KR YDS
28 32nd
KR AVG
28.0 91st
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 5 games
| Wk | Opp | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 4 | W 35-3vs Nicholls | 2 | 30 | 15.0 | 0 | 16 | |
| Wk 6 | L 30-31@ Arkansas State | 1 | 18 | 18.0 | 0 | 18 | |
| Wk 8 | L 37-40@ Marshall | 1 | 11 | 11.0 | 0 | 11 | |
| Wk 10 | L 20-52vs James Madison | 5 | 96 | 19.2 | 1 | 48 | Season-high 96 yds |
| Wk 11 | L 39-42@ Louisiana | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Total | 9 | 155 | 15.8 | 1 | 48 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2022California4-8HC: Justin Wilcox · Pass-leaning
2023California6-7HC: Justin Wilcox · Run-leaning
2024California6-7HC: Justin Wilcox · Balanced
2025Texas State7-6HC: G.J. Kinne · Run-heavy
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Texas State | 9 | 155 | 17.2 | 1 | -- |
| 2024 | California | 14 | 99 | 7.1 | 0 | -- |
| 2023 | California | 8 | 87 | 10.9 | 0 | -- |
| 2022 | California | 37 | 372 | 10.1 | 3 | -- |
| Career | 4 loaded seasons | 68 | 713 | 10.5 | 4 | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Texas State | -- | -- | 28 | -- | -- |
| 2024 | California | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| 2023 | California | 1 | 6 | 122 | -- | -- |
| 2022 | California | 2 | -2 | 101 | -- | -- |
| Career | 4 loaded seasons | 3 | 4 | 251 | -- | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.
A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving | Receptions | 9 | #604/1110 | 46th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 155 | #533/1107 | 52nd pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 1 | #396/1111 | 64th pct | Scoringvs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 17.2 | #141/1106 | 87th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Returns | Kick return yards | 28 | #164/238 | 32nd pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Pass share | 7.1% | #679/1137 | 40th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 48 | #298/1105 | 73rd pct | Metricvs FBS WR |
| Returns | Kick return avg | 28.0 | #23/236 | 91st pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Returns | Kick returns | 1 | #169/243 | 31st pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 6.7% | #491/1137 | 57th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 4.5% | #575/1137 | 50th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 4.2% | #713/1137 | 37th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Role share | 3.2% | #727/1137 | 36th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 1.6% | #982/1137 | 14th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 1.2% | #987/1137 | 13th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Rush share | 0.0% | #391/1137 | 66th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS WR |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 5 games
Home vs Road
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home2g | 3.5 | 63.0 | 17.1 | 0.5 |
| Road3g | 0.7 | 9.7 | 14.5 | 0.0 |
Win vs Loss
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins1g | 2.0 | 30.0 | 15.0 | 0.0 |
| Losses4g | 1.8 | 31.2 | 16.1 | 0.2 |
First half vs Second half
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-72g | 1.5 | 24.0 | 16.5 | 0.0 |
| Weeks 8+3g | 2.0 | 35.7 | 15.1 | 0.3 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort
33Below cohort
Elite: yards / catch (91st). Concern: receptions (0th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · WR · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Mavin AndersonTexas StateNik McMillanBuffalo· 41% simHarrison Wallace IIIOle Miss· 40% simKevin Coleman Jr.Missouri· 39% sim
Yards / catch
Long catch
Rec TDs
Rec yards
Receptions
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
G.J. Kinne
Pass share
39.5%
358 pass / 549 run
Plays / game
69.8
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
9.4%
267 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-heavy.
Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025
2 coaches2022
Jake Spavital
Texas State
2023era →
G.J. Kinne
Texas State
2024
G.J. Kinne
Texas State
2025
G.J. Kinne
Texas State
Coaching transition mid-career: Jake Spavital → G.J. Kinne. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownMission Viejo, CA
Height6'0"
Weight200 lb
Class4
PositionWR
Jersey3
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamTexas State
ConferenceSun Belt
Joined2025
Career arc5 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | California | WR4 | #1304 | #1496 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | ACC |
| 2023 | California | WR4 | #2259 | #2483 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Pac-12 |
| 2022 | California | WR4 | #1274 | #1764 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Pac-12 |
| 2021 | California | WR4 | #4104 | #4216 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Pac-12 |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Texas State | Sun Belt | WR | 4 | No. 3 | 6-0 | 200 lb | Mission Viejo, CA |
| 2024 | California | ACC | WR | 4 | No. 3 | 6-0 | 200 lb | Mission Viejo, CA |
| 2023 | California | Pac-12 | WR | 4 | No. 3 | 6-0 | 200 lb | Mission Viejo, CA |
| 2022 | California | Pac-12 | WR | 4 | No. 3 | 6-0 | 200 lb | Mission Viejo, CA |
| 2021 | California | Pac-12 | WR | 4 | No. 3 | 6-0 | 200 lb | Mission Viejo, CA |