cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Marvin Burks Jr. /Missouri

Marvin Burks Jr.

S · Missouri · Jr · #1

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

49 TACKLES · 0 SACKS

2026 TRANSFERTransferred Missouri → Wisconsin for 2026

Where He Ended Up · Transfer

Transferred to Wisconsin

2025Missouri
2026Wisconsin

S · MISSOURI · SEC

Marvin Burks Jr.

  • 3
  • #1
  • 6-1 | 204 lb
  • Saint Louis, MO

CFB Zeitgeist Score

42

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by tackles at the 79th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#8140

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DB AWARD

Jim Thorpe

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#327 national
CFB
College
Missouri
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionS
Class3
Jersey1
Measurements6-1 | 204 lb
HometownSaint Louis, MO
Primary teamMissouri

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 327 recruit
Composite rating 0.9009 HighSchool
Signed with Missouri 2023
Origin Cardinal Ritter College Prep St. Louis, MO, USA
Class Profile Context
2023 4-star | 0.9009 No. 327 recruit | HighSchool | Missouri

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Wisconsin 2026
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 8, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 Missouri -> Wisconsin 3-star | 0.8700 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#8140Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#8099Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to Missouri

Composite

0.9009

#327 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Marvin Burks Jr.

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Marvin Burks Jr.

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 12g
49Tackles
1.5Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Per game
4Tackles
0.1Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Projected (13g)
53Tackles
1.6Tackles for loss
0Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 49): needs 31/game over remaining 1.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 49): needs 51/game over remaining 1.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 0): needs 6/game over remaining 1.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 0): needs 10/game over remaining 1.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Marvin Burks Jr. is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Missouri's defense, with 0.0 sacks, 1.5 tackles for loss, and 1 interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #8140 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 327 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 49 27 solo | #628/4942 (87th pct)
TFL 1.5 Backfield disruption | #1771/4972 (64th pct)
Sacks 0.0 Pass-rush finish | #1762/4972 (65th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.

High-volume tackler

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
49 87th
SOLO
27 86th
TFL
1.5 64th
SACK
0.0 65th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
1 43rd
INT
1 65th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 61-6vs Central Arkansas210.00.00
Wk 2W 42-31vs Kansas310.50.01
Wk 3W 52-10vs Louisiana210.00.00
Wk 4W 29-20vs South Carolina530.00.00
Wk 5W 42-6vs Massachusetts110.00.00
Wk 8W 23-17@ Auburn540.00.00
Wk 9L 10-17@ Vanderbilt310.00.00
Wk 11L 17-38vs Texas A&M630.00.00
Wk 12W 49-27vs Mississippi State1250.00.010Season-high 12 tackles
Wk 13L 6-17@ Oklahoma320.00.00
Wk 14W 31-17@ Arkansas441.00.00
BowlL 7-13vs Virginia310.00.00
Total49271.50.011
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Missouri11-2HC: Eli Drinkwitz · Run-leaning
2024Missouri10-3HC: Eli Drinkwitz · Run-leaning, fast tempo
2025Missouri8-5HC: Eli Drinkwitz · Run-heavy
SeasonTeam
2025Missouri49271.50.011--
2024Missouri66341.50.021--
2023Missouri1691.01.0------
Career3 loaded seasons131704.01.032--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT 1 1 pick-six TD | #308/869 (65th pct)
Pass breakups 1 Coverage disruption | #1241/2184 (43rd pct)
QB pressures 0 Quarterback hurries
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 49 #628/4942 87th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 1.5 #1771/4972 64th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 0.0 #1762/4972 65th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Interceptions 1 #308/869 65th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 1 #1241/2184 43rd pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense INT return avg 28.0 #113/578 81st pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense INT return yards 28 #232/578 60th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 27 #649/4584 86th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense Defensive TD 1 #23/200 89th pct Scoringvs FBS DEF
Defense Fumbles recovered 1 #103/736 86th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense Pick-six TD 1 #13/119 90th pct Scoringvs FBS DEF
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/773 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Thorpe award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home8g4.20.10.00.1
Road4g3.80.20.00.0

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins8g4.20.20.00.1
Losses4g3.80.00.00.0

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-76g2.70.10.00.2
Weeks 8+6g5.50.20.00.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the S cohort

42Mid-pack
8 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: qb hurries (22nd).

Tackles#628 / 2975 · 79th pct
49defe
Solo tackles#649 / 2975 · 77th pct
27defe
Passes defended#1191 / 2975 · 48th pct
1defe
Forced fumbles#36 / 687 · 47th pct
0fumb
Tackles for loss#1711 / 2975 · 39th pct
1.5defe
Interceptions#304 / 817 · 31st pct
1inte
Sacks#1575 / 2975 · 24th pct
0.0defe
QB hurries#1662 / 2975 · 22nd pct
0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · S · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Marvin Burks Jr.MissouriTyler MartinMassachusetts· 87% simTahj Ra-ElPurdue· 79% simJonJon VaughnsUCLA· 75% sim
Tackles
79
Jr.
98
Martin
99
Ra-El
99
Vaughns
Solo tackles
77
Jr.
87
Martin
100
Ra-El
96
Vaughns
Passes defended
48
Jr.
67
Martin
91
Ra-El
48
Vaughns
Forced fumbles
47
Jr.
47
Martin
47
Ra-El
47
Vaughns
Tackles for loss
39
Jr.
63
Martin
56
Ra-El
85
Vaughns
Interceptions
31
Jr.
31
Martin
Sacks
24
Jr.
24
Martin
24
Ra-El
63
Vaughns
QB hurries
22
Jr.
22
Martin
22
Ra-El
22
Vaughns

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Hybrid Nickel

Moves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB.

S

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Jabari Tiller’s 2025 season.

Jabari Tiller

90%match

UL Monroe · 2025

#2

Malcolm Jones

Jacksonville State · 2025

88%
#3

Yamarus Banks

South Alabama · 2021

87%
#4

Kahlil Ali

Delaware · 2025

88%
#5

Mitch Leigber

Stanford · 2023

85%

Matches Jabari on

Class year
Height
PD rate

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Antwan Peek Jr.'s junior season at Cincinnati (2025).

Antwan Peek Jr.

94%match

Cincinnati · 2025

#2

Kahlil Ali

Delaware · 2025

90%
#3

Caleb Ransaw

Troy · 2023

All-AACNFL Rd 3 · Pk 24
88%
#4

Abram Wright

Rutgers · 2025

85%
#5

Jaden Yates

Ole Miss · 2025

All-Sun Belt
84%

Matches Antwan on

Class year
Height
PD rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Eli Drinkwitz

Pass share

39.6%

360 pass / 550 run

Plays / game

70.0

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

8.4%

308 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-heavy.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

1 coach
2023
Eli Drinkwitz
Missouri
2024
Eli Drinkwitz
Missouri
2025
Eli Drinkwitz
Missouri

Played his entire career under Eli Drinkwitz.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownSaint Louis, MO
Height6'1"
Weight204 lb
Class3
PositionS
Jersey1

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Missouri S3 #8140 #8099 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | SEC
2023 Missouri S3 #7491 #7254 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | SEC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Missouri SEC S 3 No. 1 | 6-1 | 204 lb | Saint Louis, MO
2024 Missouri SEC S 3 No. 1 | 6-1 | 204 lb | Saint Louis, MO
2023 Missouri SEC S 3 No. 1 | 6-1 | 204 lb | Saint Louis, MO