cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Martin Owusu /Fresno State

Martin Owusu

DL · Fresno State · So · #8

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

27 TACKLES · 0 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Fresno State for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Fresno State for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Defensive line · Fresno State

Returning around him

  • 17% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
  • Transfer portal: +3 net (13 in / 10 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Fresno State · Last season: 9-4 · Talent rank #90 · 2026 recruiting class #103

DL · FRESNO STATE · MOUNTAIN WEST

Martin Owusu

  • 2
  • #8
  • 6-3 | 306 lb
  • Prior Lake, MN

CFB Zeitgeist Score

36

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by tackles for loss at the 47th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#10963

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DEFENSE AWARD

Nagurski

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R05 · Part-time starter

Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#901 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2024–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionDL
Class2
Jersey8
Measurements6-3 | 306 lb
HometownPrior Lake, MN
Primary teamFresno State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 901 recruit
Composite rating 0.8672 HighSchool
Signed with Minnesota 2023
Origin Prior Lake Prior Lake, MN, USA
Class Profile Context
2023 3-star | 0.8672 No. 901 recruit | HighSchool | Minnesota

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Fresno State 2025
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 12, 2025
Season Move Context
2025 Minnesota -> Fresno State 3-star | 0.8300 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#10963Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#10968Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Minnesota

Composite

0.8672

#901 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Martin Owusu

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Martin Owusu

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 8g
27Tackles
2Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Per game
3Tackles
0.2Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Projected (13g)
44Tackles
3.2Tackles for loss
0Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 27): needs 10.6/game over remaining 5.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 27): needs 14.6/game over remaining 5.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 0): needs 1.2/game over remaining 5.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 0): needs 2/game over remaining 5.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Martin Owusu is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Fresno State's defense, with 0.0 sacks, 2.0 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #10963 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Transfer path 1 portal move

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 27 7 solo | #1543/4942 (69th pct)
TFL 2.0 Backfield disruption | #1443/4972 (71st pct)
Sacks 0.0 Pass-rush finish | #1762/4972 (65th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Defensive contributor against FBS defenders.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
27 69th
SOLO
7 48th
TFL
2.0 71st
SACK
0.0 65th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
1 43rd

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 8 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1L 7-31@ Kansas321.00.00
Wk 1W 42-14vs Georgia Southern200.00.01
Wk 2W 36-27@ Oregon State420.00.00
Wk 3W 56-7vs Southern400.50.00
Wk 4W 23-21@ Hawai'i310.00.00
Wk 6W 20-17vs Nevada300.00.00
Wk 7L 21-49@ Colorado State510.00.00Season-high 5 tackles
Wk 9L 0-23vs San Diego State310.50.00
Total2772.00.01
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2024Minnesota8-5HC: P.J. Fleck · Balanced
2025Fresno State9-4HC: Matt Entz · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Fresno State2772.00.01----
2024Minnesota1--0.00.0------
Career2 loaded seasons2872.00.01----
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 1 Coverage disruption | #1241/2184 (43rd pct)
QB pressures 0 Quarterback hurries
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 27 #1543/4942 69th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 2.0 #1443/4972 71st pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 0.0 #1762/4972 65th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 1 #1241/2184 43rd pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 7 #2403/4584 48th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense Fumbles recovered 1 #103/736 86th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/773 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Lombardi award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 8 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home4g3.00.20.00.2
Road4g3.80.20.00.0

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins5g3.20.10.00.2
Losses3g3.70.50.00.0

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-77g3.40.20.00.1
Weeks 8+1g3.00.50.00.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the DL cohort

36Mid-pack
7 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: solo tackles (16th).

Passes defended#1191 / 2975 · 48th pct
1defe
Forced fumbles#36 / 687 · 47th pct
0fumb
Tackles for loss#1424 / 2975 · 47th pct
2.0defe
Tackles#1543 / 2975 · 47th pct
27defe
Sacks#1575 / 2975 · 24th pct
0.0defe
QB hurries#1662 / 2975 · 22nd pct
0defe
Solo tackles#2397 / 2975 · 17th pct
7defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · DL · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Martin OwusuFresno StateTyler MartinMassachusetts· 66% simTahj Ra-ElPurdue· 60% simJonJon VaughnsUCLA· 59% sim
Passes defended
48
Owusu
67
Martin
91
Ra-El
48
Vaughns
Forced fumbles
47
Owusu
47
Martin
47
Ra-El
47
Vaughns
Tackles for loss
47
Owusu
63
Martin
56
Ra-El
85
Vaughns
Tackles
47
Owusu
98
Martin
99
Ra-El
99
Vaughns
Sacks
24
Owusu
24
Martin
24
Ra-El
63
Vaughns
QB hurries
22
Owusu
22
Martin
22
Ra-El
22
Vaughns
Solo tackles
17
Owusu
87
Martin
100
Ra-El
96
Vaughns

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Nose Anchor

Two-gap space-eater who occupies blockers and frees the linebackers.

IDL

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Garrett Bishop’s 2021 season.

Garrett Bishop

85%match

New Mexico State · 2021

#2

Eamon Smalls

UAB · 2025

84%
#3

Peter Woods

Clemson · 2023

NFL Rd 1 · Pk 29
84%
#4

D.K. Kalu

Baylor · 2025

84%
#5

Jaden Mckinney

Southern Miss · 2025

83%

Matches Garrett on

TFL rate
Sack rate
Height

Differs from Garrett on

Class year (higher)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Jayden Williams's sophomore season at Wyoming (2024).

Jayden Williams

90%match

Wyoming · 2024

#2

Nate Gabriel

West Virginia · 2025

88%
#3

D.K. Kalu

Baylor · 2025

86%
#4

Jordan Phillips

Maryland · 2023

NFL Rd 5
83%
#5

Esaias Carpenter

Marshall · 2021

81%

Matches Jayden on

Class year
Height
Sack rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Matt Entz

Pass share

44.2%

373 pass / 471 run

Plays / game

64.9

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.4%

282 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2024–2025

2 coaches
2024
Tim Skipper
Fresno State
2025
Matt Entz
Fresno State
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Tim Skipper → Matt Entz. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownPrior Lake, MN
Height6'3"
Weight306 lb
Class2
PositionDL
Jersey8

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Minnesota DL2 #10963 #10968 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big Ten
2023 Minnesota DL2 #14468 #14448 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big Ten

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Fresno State Mountain West DL 2 No. 8 | 6-3 | 306 lb | Prior Lake, MN
2024 Minnesota Big Ten DL 2 No. 8 | 6-3 | 306 lb | Prior Lake, MN
2023 Minnesota Big Ten DL 2 No. 8 | 6-3 | 306 lb | Prior Lake, MN