cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Marcello Bussey /Memphis

Marcello Bussey

WR · Memphis · Sr · #6

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

287 REC YDS · 27 REC · 0 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Memphis for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Memphis for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Wide receiver · Memphis

Returning around him

  • 12% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
  • 1 Memphis player drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: +4 net (51 in / 47 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Memphis · Last season: 8-5 (AP #22) · Talent rank #59 · 2026 recruiting class #60

WR · MEMPHIS · AMERICAN ATHLETIC

Marcello Bussey

  • 4
  • #6
  • 5-11 | 175 lb
  • Junction City, KS

CFB Zeitgeist Score

26

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by rec yards at the 34th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#1055

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2023–2025
4.02023
1472024
2872025

+7075%

Up 7075% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#129 national
CFB
College
Memphis
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class4
Jersey6
Measurements5-11 | 175 lb
HometownJunction City, KS
Primary teamMemphis

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 129 recruit
Composite rating 0.8306 JUCO
Signed with Memphis 2023
Origin Hutchinson C.C. Hutchinson, KS, USA
Class Profile Context
2023 3-star | 0.8306 No. 129 recruit | JUCO | Memphis

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#1055Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#1128Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Memphis

Composite

0.8306

#129 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Marcello Bussey

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Marcello Bussey

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Yards per reception

10.6

yds

All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions

National rank #384 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 28th

Why it matters

#384 of 531 All FBS WRs at 10.6 yards per reception (27 catches).

Vs cohort

This player 10.6 (28th)

MODERATE · n=27 cohort 531

  • Also strong
  • Receiving yards (total)#403 / 531
  • Receiving TDs#476 / 531

Signature Moment

Week 6 vs Tulsa — 68 ypr

Result W 45-7

The week the volume broke through — put up 68 yds vs Tulsa.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 12g
287Rec yards
27Receptions
0Rec TDs
Per game
23.9Rec yards
2Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
310.9Rec yards
29Receptions
0Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 287): needs 413/game over remaining 1.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 287): needs 713/game over remaining 1.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 27): needs 33/game over remaining 1.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 27): needs 53/game over remaining 1.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 0): needs 8/game over remaining 1.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 0): needs 10/game over remaining 1.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Marcello Bussey's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Memphis, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #1055 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 4.1% Overall usage share
Profile quirk All-purpose load The card should explain why this profile stands out

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 27 0 rec TD | #320/1110 (71st pct)
Receiving yards 287 10.6 per catch | #367/1107 (67th pct)
Scrimmage yards 287 Total offensive yardage | #367/1107 (67th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
27 71st
YDS
287 67th
YPR
10.6 38th
TD
0 45th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 45-10vs Chattanooga23015.0017
Wk 2W 38-16@ Georgia State1-1-1.000
Wk 4W 32-31vs Arkansas14040.0040
Wk 5W 55-26@ Florida Atlantic2126.006
Wk 6W 45-7vs Tulsa46817.0029Season-high 68 yds
Wk 8L 24-31@ UAB3279.0013
Wk 9W 34-31vs South Florida3258.3019
Wk 10W 38-14@ Rice3175.7012
Wk 11L 32-38vs Tulane166.006
Wk 12L 27-31@ East Carolina263.004
Wk 14L 17-28vs Navy22311.5013
BowlL 7-31@ NC State33411.3024
Total2728711.0040
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Memphis10-3HC: Ryan Silverfield · Balanced
2024Memphis11-2HC: Ryan Silverfield · Balanced, fast tempo
2025Memphis8-5HC: Ryan Silverfield · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Memphis2728710.60--
2024Memphis1014714.71--
2023Memphis144.00--
Career3 loaded seasons3843811.51--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 4.1% 8.4% pass-game share | #575/1137 (50th pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 0 Across offense and returns | #615/1111 (45th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 27 #320/1110 71st pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 287 #367/1107 67th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 0 #615/1111 45th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 10.6 #691/1106 38th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 8.4% #575/1137 50th pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 40 #450/1105 59th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 4.6% #753/1137 34th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 4.5% #478/1137 58th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 4.5% #575/1137 50th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Role share 4.1% #596/1137 48th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 3.9% #543/1137 52nd pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 3.5% #774/1137 32nd pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.0% #391/1137 66th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home6g2.232.016.30.0
Road6g2.315.85.70.0

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins7g2.327.313.00.0
Losses5g2.219.28.20.0

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-76g2.230.514.70.0
Weeks 8+6g2.317.37.20.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

26Below cohort
5 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: rec tds (6th).

Receptions#320 / 558 · 41st pct
27rece
Rec yards#367 / 558 · 34th pct
287rece
Long catch#378 / 558 · 31st pct
40rece
Yards / catch#435 / 558 · 22nd pct
10.6rece
Rec TDs#482 / 558 · 7th pct
0rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 5 metrics
Marcello BusseyMemphisMichael Jackson IIIPurdue· 70% simJacquon GibsonMassachusetts· 69% simKevin Coleman Jr.Missouri· 65% sim
Receptions
41
Bussey
92
III
92
Gibson
94
Jr.
Rec yards
34
Bussey
70
III
74
Gibson
84
Jr.
Long catch
31
Bussey
16
III
56
Gibson
56
Jr.
Yards / catch
22
Bussey
9
III
15
Gibson
28
Jr.
Rec TDs
7
Bussey
24
III
7
Gibson
24
Jr.

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Possession Receiver

Reliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive.

WR

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Corey Crooms’s 2023 season.

Corey Crooms

82%match

Minnesota · 2023

#2

Tanner Knue

Eastern Michigan · 2021

81%
#3

Trey Goodman

UTEP · 2024

80%
#4

Eric Rivers

Florida International · 2023

79%
#5

Ryan O'Keefe

Boston College · 2023

78%

Matches Corey on

Total EPA (college ability)
Weight
EPA / play (adj)

Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Max Tomczak’s path through Youngstown State.

Max Tomczak

100%match

Youngstown State · 2025

#2

Leroy Thomas

Western Michigan · 2023

97%
#3

LaJohntay Wester

Colorado · 2024

1st-team All-AmericanNFL Rd 6
95%
#4

Trey Goodman

UTEP · 2024

94%
#5

Antwan Davis

Ball State · 2020

93%

Matches Max on

Yards per reception

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Jehlani Galloway's junior season at Western Michigan (2022).

Jehlani Galloway

86%match

Western Michigan · 2022

#2

Jamaal Bell

Nevada · 2022

83%
#3

Peyton Higgins

Troy · 2024

83%
#4

Sahmir Hagans

Duke · 2023

All-ACC
81%
#5

Sterling Galban

Massachusetts · 2024

81%

Matches Jehlani on

Reception volume
Yards / reception
Total EPA (college ability)

Differs from Jehlani on

EPA / play (adj) (higher)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Ryan Silverfield

Pass share

46.9%

412 pass / 466 run

Plays / game

67.5

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

11.2%

285 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

1 coach
2023
Ryan Silverfield
Memphis
2024
Ryan Silverfield
Memphis
2025
Ryan Silverfield
Memphis

Played his entire career under Ryan Silverfield.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownJunction City, KS
Height5'11"
Weight175 lb
Class4
PositionWR
Jersey6

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Memphis WR4 #1055 #1128 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | American Athletic
2023 Memphis WR4 #3809 #3465 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | American Athletic

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Memphis American Athletic WR 4 No. 6 | 5-11 | 175 lb | Junction City, KS
2024 Memphis American Athletic WR 4 No. 6 | 5-11 | 175 lb | Junction City, KS
2023 Memphis American Athletic WR 4 No. 6 | 5-11 | 175 lb | Junction City, KS