CFB Zeitgeist
MRMarcel Reed

Marcel Reed

Marcel Reed ran and gunned Texas A&M to its first College Football Playoff. Then, before the bracket even started, he announced he was coming back. He's one cleaner season from the Heisman race -- if he can stop giving the ball away.

QB · Texas A&M · Cl 2 · #10

CFB Zeitgeist 65

Marcel Reed ran and gunned Texas A&M to its first College Football Playoff. Then, before the bracket even started, he announced he was coming back. He's one cleaner season from the Heisman race -- if he can stop giving the ball away.

Aura™ · Him Watch the full board →
Hype = tape -14aura tax
Fans rank this player in the 82nd percentile of QBs; the tape says 96th — the discourse is fair.
Aura — fan perception82nd pctl
Production — on-field96th pctl
n=32 mentions · cohort: QBs · 160 qualified · perception = conversation volume, production = wepa_passing

In 2025 he threw for 3,169 yards and 25 touchdowns, ran for 493 more and six scores, and carried the Aggies to an 11-0 start and their first Playoff berth. He's a true dual-threat -- 6-1, 185, a problem with his legs and a gunslinger with his arm -- and the same aggression that produced the highlights produced 12 interceptions. He bet on himself, announcing his return before the Playoff began. The forward stakes are the tightrope every aggressive young quarterback walks: cut the giveaways without dulling the edge that makes him dangerous. Do that on a roster built for a Playoff run, and he's in the Heisman conversation. For Reed, 2026 is the year the boom-or-bust quarterback decides which one he is.

PLAY STYLE

Reed plays fast and fearless, and the data is a portrait of aggression. As a runner he's genuinely elite -- our play-by-play grades his rushing success rate in the 95th percentile and his EPA per carry in the 86th. As a passer he pushes the ball harder than almost anyone: a 97th-percentile average depth of target, which fuels both an 87th-percentile EPA per dropback and the interceptions (a 72nd-percentile, i.e. fairly high, pick rate). The one number that lags is accuracy -- a 38th-percentile completion rate, the cost of all that downfield ambition. He's a shot-taker who runs like a back, the kind of quarterback who wins games in chunks and loses them in turnovers. The development is the trade: keep the aggression, sharpen the touch.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#296 national
CFB
College
Texas A&M
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

2 coaches
2023
Elijah Robinson
Texas A&M
2025
Mike Elko
Texas A&M
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Elijah Robinson → Mike Elko. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

2025 snapshot

Season context · Team result + system

2023Texas A&M7-6HC: Elijah Robinson · Balanced
2025Texas A&M11-2HC: Mike Elko · Run-leaning

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort

65Solid starter
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: pass tds (88th). Strength: pass yards (86th). Concern: interceptions (4th).

Pass TDs#19 / 183 · 89th pct
25pass
Pass yards#25 / 183 · 87th pct
3169pass
Yards / att#24 / 183 · 87th pct
8.4pass
Rush yards#36 / 183 · 81st pct
493rush
Rush TDs#43 / 183 · 74th pct
6rush
Completion %#96 / 183 · 47th pct
62.1%pass
Fumbles lost#87 / 174 · 38th pct
2fumb
Interceptions#171 / 183 · 5th pct
12pass

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Career stats

Passing

Season-by-season quarterback passing line in a familiar scoreboard layout.

Season Team CMPATTCMP%YDSY/ATDINTRATELNGSACK
2025 Texas A&MFinal snapshot 23437762.1%3,1698.42512148.2----
2023 Texas A&MFinal snapshot 213658.3%37410.411149.2----
Career 2 loaded seasonsCareer row reflects the stat seasons currently loaded in this database. 25541361.7%3,5438.62613148.3----

Rushing

Ground contribution that rounds out the quarterback profile.

Season Team CARYDSAVGTDLNG
2025 Texas A&MFinal snapshot 1044934.76--
2023 Texas A&MFinal snapshot 13453.51--
Career 2 loaded seasonsCareer row reflects the stat seasons currently loaded in this database. 1175384.67--

Signature game

SIGNATURE GAME · Week 3 · 2025

W 41–40

at Notre Dame

360 yds · 2 TD · 1 INT  ·  QBR 75.3  ·  37 rush yds (7 car)

Edged out Notre Dame on the road in a shootout.

Game log

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 13 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCMP/ATTYDSTDINTYPAQBRNote
Wk 1W 42-24vs UTSA22/34289408.579.74 TD passes
Wk 2W 44-22vs Utah State19/28220307.966.03 TD passes
Wk 3W 41-40@ Notre Dame17/37360219.775.3
Wk 5W 16-10vs Auburn15/22207019.435.1
Wk 6W 31-9vs Mississippi State13/23180217.856.7
Wk 7W 34-17vs Florida16/26234119.080.3
Wk 8W 45-42@ Arkansas23/32280308.883.53 TD passes
Wk 9W 49-25@ LSU12/21202229.692.4
Wk 11W 38-17@ Missouri20/29221207.690.1
Wk 12W 31-30vs South Carolina22/394393211.379.8Season-high 439 yds
Wk 13W 48-0vs Samford10/15120308.065.03 TD passes
Wk 14L 17-27@ Texas20/32180025.665.4
BowlL 3-10vs Miami25/39237026.158.6
Total234/377316925128.471.4

How he plays

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort

65Solid starter
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: pass tds (88th). Strength: pass yards (86th). Concern: interceptions (4th).

Pass TDs#19 / 183 · 89th pct
25pass
Pass yards#25 / 183 · 87th pct
3169pass
Yards / att#24 / 183 · 87th pct
8.4pass
Rush yards#36 / 183 · 81st pct
493rush
Rush TDs#43 / 183 · 74th pct
6rush
Completion %#96 / 183 · 47th pct
62.1%pass
Fumbles lost#87 / 174 · 38th pct
2fumb
Interceptions#171 / 183 · 5th pct
12pass

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

PLAY STYLE

Reed plays fast and fearless, and the data is a portrait of aggression. As a runner he's genuinely elite -- our play-by-play grades his rushing success rate in the 95th percentile and his EPA per carry in the 86th. As a passer he pushes the ball harder than almost anyone: a 97th-percentile average depth of target, which fuels both an 87th-percentile EPA per dropback and the interceptions (a 72nd-percentile, i.e. fairly high, pick rate). The one number that lags is accuracy -- a 38th-percentile completion rate, the cost of all that downfield ambition. He's a shot-taker who runs like a back, the kind of quarterback who wins games in chunks and loses them in turnovers. The development is the trade: keep the aggression, sharpen the touch.

2026 Outlook

Returning to Texas A&M for 2026

Updated May 27

2026 Depth chart

Returning starter

Quarterback · Texas A&M · editorial

Returning around him

  • 75% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
  • 10 Texas A&M players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -2 net (19 in / 21 out)

2026 Award watch

  • Davey O'Brien
  • Heisman Watch

Texas A&M · Last season: 11-2 (AP #7) · Talent rank #8 · 2026 recruiting class #9

Perception vs tape

Marcel Reed ran and gunned Texas A&M to its first College Football Playoff. Then, before the bracket even started, he announced he was coming back. He's one cleaner season from the Heisman race — if he can stop giving the ball away.

In 2025 he threw for 3,169 yards and 25 touchdowns, ran for 493 more and six scores, and carried the Aggies to an 11-0 start and their first Playoff berth. He's a true dual-threat — 6-1, 185, a problem with his legs and a gunslinger with his arm — and the same aggression that produced the highlights produced 12 interceptions. He bet on himself, announcing his return before the Playoff began. The forward stakes are the tightrope every aggressive young quarterback walks: cut the giveaways without dulling the edge that makes him dangerous. Do that on a roster built for a Playoff run, and he's in the Heisman conversation. For Reed, 2026 is the year the boom-or-bust quarterback decides which one he is.

How he plays

Reed plays fast and fearless, and the data is a portrait of aggression. As a runner he's genuinely elite — our play-by-play grades his rushing success rate in the 95th percentile and his EPA per carry in the 86th. As a passer he pushes the ball harder than almost anyone: a 97th-percentile average depth of target, which fuels both an 87th-percentile EPA per dropback and the interceptions (a 72nd-percentile, i.e. fairly high, pick rate). The one number that lags is accuracy — a 38th-percentile completion rate, the cost of all that downfield ambition. He's a shot-taker who runs like a back, the kind of quarterback who wins games in chunks and loses them in turnovers. The development is the trade: keep the aggression, sharpen the touch.

2026 outlook · as of 2026-06-13

DNA match

Player DNA

The Dual Threat

Dangerous with both arm and legs — defenses can't just pin the ears back.

QB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Kevin Jennings’s 2024 season.

Kevin Jennings

71%match

SMU · 2024

All-ACC
#2

Payton Thorne

Michigan State · 2021

67%
#3

John Rhys Plumlee

UCF · 2023

66%
#4

Payton Thorne

Auburn · 2024

64%
#5

Dequan Finn

Toledo · 2023

All-MAC
63%

Matches Kevin on

Yards / attempt
Completion %

Differs from Kevin on

Recruiting rating (higher)
TD rate (higher)
Height (higher)

Through 3 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Diego Pavia’s path through Vanderbilt.

Diego Pavia

86%match

Vanderbilt · 2025

Unitas Golden ArmAll-Conference USA
#2

Tanner Morgan

Minnesota · 2022

86%
#3

Malik Cunningham

Louisville · 2022

85%
#4

Jaren Hall

BYU · 2022

NFL Rd 5
82%
#5

John Rhys Plumlee

UCF · 2023

79%

Matches Diego on

Completion %
Yards per attempt
Height

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Kevin Jennings's junior season at SMU (2024).

Kevin Jennings

65%match

SMU · 2024

All-ACC
#2

Anthony Colandrea

UNLV · 2025

All-Mountain West
53%
#3

Jake Retzlaff

Tulane · 2025

48%
#4

Byron Young

Alabama · 2022

All-SECNFL Rd 3 · Pk 7
48%
#5

Jayden de Laura

Arizona · 2022

48%

Matches Kevin on

Height
Total pass EPA (college ability)

Differs from Kevin on

Class year (lower)
Recruiting rating (higher)
EPA / dropback (adj) (lower)

Peer comparator

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Marcel ReedTexas A&MAnthony ColandreaUNLV· 84% simAlonza BarnettJames Madison· 83% simJC FrenchGeorgia Southern· 82% sim
Pass TDs
89
Reed
82
Colandrea
82
Barnett
77
French
Pass yards
87
Reed
91
Colandrea
75
Barnett
77
French
Yards / att
87
Reed
84
Colandrea
68
Barnett
63
French
Rush yards
81
Reed
90
Colandrea
87
Barnett
72
French
Rush TDs
74
Reed
91
Colandrea
97
Barnett
74
French
Completion %
47
Reed
77
Colandrea
25
Barnett
62
French
Fumbles lost
38
Reed
18
Colandrea
38
Barnett
66
French
Interceptions
5
Reed
22
Colandrea
32
Barnett
32
French

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Heisman trajectory

Heisman futures · live sportsbook odds

#12 in market ▼ from #11 · 6 books

+17005.6% implied▼ lengthened from +1600

Development

Development Trajectory · passing yards

2023–2025
3742023
3,1692025

+747%

Up 747% from first season to most-recent.