cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Marc Stampley II /Houston

Marc Stampley II

DB · Houston · Sr · #22

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

28 TACKLES · 1 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Houston for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Houston for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Defensive back · Houston

Returning around him

  • 105% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
  • 1 Houston player drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: +2 net (18 in / 16 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Houston · Last season: 10-3 (AP #25) · Talent rank #66 · 2026 recruiting class #52

DB · HOUSTON · BIG 12

Marc Stampley II

  • 4
  • #22
  • 5-11 | 185 lb
  • Peachtree City, GA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

57

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by interceptions at the 75th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#14053

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DB AWARD

Jim Thorpe

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R03 · Backup

Backup. On the two-deep, pushing for snaps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#2015 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionDB
Class4
Jersey22
Measurements5-11 | 185 lb
HometownPeachtree City, GA
Primary teamHouston

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 2015 recruit
Composite rating 0.8107 HighSchool
Signed with Georgia Southern 2022
Origin Starrs Mill Fayetteville, GA, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 3-star | 0.8107 No. 2015 recruit | HighSchool | Georgia Southern

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#14053Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#13955Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Georgia Southern

Composite

0.8107

#2015 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Marc Stampley II

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Marc Stampley II

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 12g
28Tackles
2Tackles for loss
1Sacks
Per game
2Tackles
0.2Tackles for loss
0.1Sacks
Projected (13g)
30Tackles
2.2Tackles for loss
1.1Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 28): needs 52/game over remaining 1.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 28): needs 72/game over remaining 1.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 1): needs 5/game over remaining 1.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 1): needs 9/game over remaining 1.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Marc Stampley II is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Houston's defense, with 1.0 sacks, 2.0 tackles for loss, and 2 interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #14053 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Transfer path 0 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 28 15 solo | #1469/4942 (70th pct)
TFL 2.0 Backfield disruption | #1443/4972 (71st pct)
Sacks 1.0 Pass-rush finish | #872/4972 (82nd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Coverage splash against FBS defenders.

Coverage splash

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
28 70th
SOLO
15 69th
TFL
2.0 71st
SACK
1.0 82nd

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
3 76th
INT
2 87th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 27-0vs Stephen F. Austin000.00.011
Wk 2W 35-9@ Rice310.00.00
Wk 3W 36-20vs Colorado311.00.00
Wk 5W 27-24@ Oregon State210.00.01
Wk 6L 11-35vs Texas Tech871.01.00Season-high 8 tackles
Wk 7W 39-17@ Oklahoma State530.00.00
Wk 8W 31-28vs Arizona100.00.00
Wk 9W 24-16@ Arizona State000.00.01
Wk 11W 30-27@ UCF310.00.00
Wk 13L 14-17vs TCU200.00.00
Wk 14W 31-24@ Baylor1
BowlW 38-35vs LSU110.00.00
Total28152.01.023
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Georgia Southern6-7HC: Clay Helton · Pass-heavy, fast tempo
2023Georgia Southern6-7HC: Clay Helton · Pass-leaning
2025Houston10-3HC: Willie Fritz · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Houston28152.01.032--
2023Georgia Southern56362.51.031--
2022Georgia Southern21170.00.031--
Career3 loaded seasons105684.52.094--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT 2 0 pick-six TD | #114/869 (87th pct)
Pass breakups 3 Coverage disruption | #521/2184 (76th pct)
QB pressures 0 Quarterback hurries
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 28 #1469/4942 70th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 2.0 #1443/4972 71st pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 1.0 #872/4972 82nd pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Interceptions 2 #114/869 87th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 3 #521/2184 76th pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense INT return yards 17 #340/578 41st pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 15 #1434/4584 69th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense INT return avg 8.5 #392/578 32nd pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Thorpe award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home6g2.50.30.20.2
Road6g2.20.00.00.3

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins10g1.80.10.00.3
Losses2g5.00.50.50.0

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-77g3.10.30.10.3
Weeks 8+5g1.20.00.00.2

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the DB cohort

57Solid starter
7 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: qb hurries (22nd).

Passes defended#517 / 2975 · 78th pct
3defe
Interceptions#114 / 817 · 75th pct
2inte
Sacks#847 / 2975 · 63rd pct
1.0defe
Solo tackles#1434 / 2975 · 50th pct
15defe
Tackles#1469 / 2975 · 49th pct
28defe
Tackles for loss#1424 / 2975 · 47th pct
2.0defe
QB hurries#1662 / 2975 · 22nd pct
0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · DB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Marc Stampley IIHoustonDevin LafayetteTroy· 73% simDalton JohnsonArizona· 73% simMichael MontgomerySouthern Miss· 72% sim
Passes defended
78
II
91
Lafayette
96
Johnson
67
Montgomery
Interceptions
75
II
75
Lafayette
95
Johnson
75
Montgomery
Sacks
63
II
63
Lafayette
63
Johnson
89
Montgomery
Solo tackles
50
II
98
Lafayette
97
Johnson
82
Montgomery
Tackles
49
II
99
Lafayette
98
Johnson
99
Montgomery
Tackles for loss
47
II
56
Lafayette
47
Johnson
85
Montgomery
QB hurries
22
II
22
Lafayette
22
Johnson
22
Montgomery

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Hybrid Nickel

Moves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB.

S

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Caine Savage’s 2023 season.

Caine Savage

91%match

Nevada · 2023

#2

Kevin Knowles II

Florida State · 2023

89%
#3

Demarko Williams

Western Kentucky · 2025

84%
#4

Derrick Edwards

Charlotte · 2025

83%
#5

Camron Harrell

Southern Miss · 2020

83%

Matches Caine on

PD rate
Height
Weight

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Caine Savage's senior season at Nevada (2023).

Caine Savage

94%match

Nevada · 2023

#2

Donte Thompson

UTEP · 2025

90%
#3

Demarko Williams

Western Kentucky · 2025

86%
#4

Noah Pierre

Indiana · 2023

86%
#5

Jaden Dedman

Nevada · 2023

85%

Matches Caine on

Class year
Height
Weight

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Willie Fritz

Pass share

41.4%

377 pass / 534 run

Plays / game

70.1

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.5%

262 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

2 coaches
2022
Dana Holgorsen
Houston
2023
Dana Holgorsen
Houston
2025
Willie Fritz
Houston
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Dana Holgorsen → Willie Fritz. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownPeachtree City, GA
Height5'11"
Weight185 lb
Class4
PositionDB
Jersey22

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

1 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2024)

All-Sun Belt

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

1 all-conference honor

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2024 All-Sun Belt all_conference Georgia Southern | Sun Belt DB

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Georgia Southern DB4 #14053 #13955 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Sun Belt
2023 Georgia Southern DB4 #12692 #13011 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Sun Belt
2022 Georgia Southern DB4 #12873 #13191 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Sun Belt

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Houston Big 12 DB 4 No. 22 | 5-11 | 185 lb | Peachtree City, GA
2024 Georgia Southern Sun Belt DB 4 No. 22 | 5-11 | 185 lb | Peachtree City, GA
2023 Georgia Southern Sun Belt DB 4 No. 22 | 5-11 | 185 lb | Peachtree City, GA
2022 Georgia Southern Sun Belt DB 4 No. 22 | 5-11 | 185 lb | Peachtree City, GA