CFB Zeitgeist Score
34
Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by yards / carry at the 98th percentile.
Manny Covey
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
194 RUSH YDS · 1 RUSH TD · 27 CARRIES
Where He Ended Up · Transfer
Transferred to Memphis
2025Cincinnati
2026Memphis
RB · CINCINNATI · BIG 12
Manny Covey
- 2
- #29
- 5-11 | 192 lb
- Starke, FL
Heisman Heat
#703
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP RB AWARD
Doak Walker
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR06 · Starter
Starter. A locked-in starting role.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · rushing yards
2024–2025+213%
Up 213% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
Cincinnati
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 3-star | 0.8772 | No. 667 recruit | HighSchool |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Cincinnati -> Memphis | 3-star | 0.8500 | Immediate |
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to —
Composite
0.8772
#667 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Manny Covey
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
—
Awaiting per-cohort signal
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- Rivals · n=2
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Manny Covey
Only 2 rival mention(s) — below the 4-mention floor for a defensible read.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the rushing totals stand
Through 12g
194Rush yards
27Carries
1Rush TDs
Per game
16.2Rush yards
2Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
210.2Rush yards
29Carries
1Rush TDs
To hit 750-yard season (currently 194): needs 556/game over remaining 1.
To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 194): needs 806/game over remaining 1.
To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 194): needs 1,306/game over remaining 1.
To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 1): needs 9/game over remaining 1.
To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 1): needs 14/game over remaining 1.
To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 1): needs 19/game over remaining 1.
Why this is more than a rushing profile
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Manny Covey is not a one-lane back. The profile is interesting because the workload spills beyond pure rushing volume: 194 rushing yards, 8 catches, and 156 return yards for Cincinnati. That kind of all-purpose footprint gives the card a much richer story than a basic carry total.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
RB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Efficient runner against FBS RB peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Rushing
CAR
27 46th
YDS
194 53rd
YPC
7.2 93rd
TD
1 56th
Receiving
REC
8 55th
YDS
82 64th
YPR
10.3 79th
TD
0 70th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 12 games
| Wk | Opp | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | L 17-20vs Nebraska | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 | Season-high 78 yds |
| Wk 2 | W 34-20vs Bowling Green | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Wk 3 | W 70-0vs Northwestern State | 4 | 43 | 10.8 | 0 | 24 | |
| Wk 5 | W 37-34@ Kansas | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Wk 7 | W 20-11vs UCF | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Wk 8 | W 49-17@ Oklahoma State | 5 | 24 | 4.8 | 1 | 9 | |
| Wk 9 | W 41-20vs Baylor | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Wk 10 | L 14-45@ Utah | 5 | 47 | 9.4 | 0 | 19 | |
| Wk 12 | L 24-30vs Arizona | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Wk 13 | L 14-26vs BYU | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 | |
| Wk 14 | L 23-45@ TCU | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Bowl | L 13-35vs Navy | 11 | 78 | 7.1 | 0 | 36 | |
| Total | 27 | 194 | 5.7 | 1 | 36 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2024Cincinnati5-7HC: Scott Satterfield · Balanced
2025Cincinnati7-6HC: Scott Satterfield · Balanced, slow tempo
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Cincinnati | 27 | 194 | 7.2 | 1 | -- |
| 2024 | Cincinnati | 17 | 62 | 3.6 | 0 | -- |
| Career | 2 loaded seasons | 44 | 256 | 5.8 | 1 | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Cincinnati | 8 | 82 | 10.2 | 0 | -- |
| 2024 | Cincinnati | 8 | 119 | 14.9 | 2 | -- |
| Career | 2 loaded seasons | 16 | 201 | 12.6 | 2 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.
How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 194 | #346/735 | 53rd pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 1 | #323/739 | 56th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 7.2 | #49/735 | 93rd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receptions | 8 | #248/552 | 55th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 82 | #201/548 | 64th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Role share | 8.7% | #364/738 | 51st pct | Share of team offensevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 36 | #264/733 | 64th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Carries | 27 | #398/739 | 46th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 37 | #87/540 | 84th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 10.3 | #114/548 | 79th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 0 | #169/552 | 70th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Returns | Punt return yards | 156 | #4/27 | 89th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Returns | Punt returns | 16 | #3/29 | 93rd pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Returns | Punt return avg | 9.8 | #12/27 | 59th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Rush share | 12.7% | #405/738 | 45th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 10.2% | #334/738 | 55th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 9.9% | #206/738 | 72nd pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 8.9% | #246/738 | 67th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 8.1% | #424/738 | 43rd pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 7.7% | #431/738 | 42nd pct | Early-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Pass share | 5.1% | #150/738 | 80th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 2 | #205/256 | 20th pct | Turnoversvs FBS RB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 12 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home8g | 15.4 | 5.0 | 0.0 |
| Road4g | 17.8 | 7.1 | 0.2 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins6g | 11.2 | 7.8 | 0.2 |
| Losses6g | 21.2 | 4.6 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-76g | 20.3 | 6.3 | 0.0 |
| Weeks 8+6g | 12.0 | 5.1 | 0.2 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort
34Below cohort
Elite: yards / carry (97th). Concern: carries (0th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · RB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Manny CoveyCincinnatiSire GainesBoise State· 50% simJeremiah CobbAuburn· 49% simKamari MoultonIowa· 49% sim
Yards / carry
Rec yards
Long run
Receptions
Fumbles lost
Rush TDs
Rush yards
Carries
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Scott Satterfield
Pass share
47.8%
363 pass / 396 run
Plays / game
58.4
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
2.6%
266 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced, slow tempo.
Coaching Lineage · 2024–2025
1 coach2024
Scott Satterfield
Cincinnati
2025
Scott Satterfield
Cincinnati
Played his entire career under Scott Satterfield.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownStarke, FL
Height5'11"
Weight192 lb
Class2
PositionRB
Jersey29
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamCincinnati
ConferenceBig 12
Joined2025
Career arc3 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Cincinnati | RB2 | #703 | #756 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Big 12 |
| 2023 | Cincinnati | RB2 | #3947 | #4247 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Big 12 |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Cincinnati | Big 12 | RB | 2 | No. 29 | 5-11 | 192 lb | Starke, FL |
| 2024 | Cincinnati | Big 12 | RB | 2 | No. 29 | 5-11 | 192 lb | Starke, FL |
| 2023 | Cincinnati | Big 12 | RB | 2 | No. 29 | 5-11 | 192 lb | Starke, FL |