cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Mani Powell /Purdue

Mani Powell

LB · Purdue · Sr · #16

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

110 TACKLES · 5 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Purdue for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Purdue for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Linebacker · Purdue

Returning around him

  • 54% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
  • Transfer portal: +5 net (29 in / 24 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Purdue · Last season: 2-10 · Talent rank #54 · 2026 recruiting class #99

LB · PURDUE · BIG TEN

Mani Powell

  • 4
  • #16
  • 6-2 | 230 lb
  • Columbus, OH

CFB Zeitgeist Score

90

Elite in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 96th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#4827

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP LB AWARD

Butkus

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career arc · Season-by-season Standing

3 seasons on the ladder

Peak: R09 All-Conference HM / 2nd team · 2025

2023

Arkansas · LB

2024

UNLV · LB

2025

Purdue · LB

R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team

Recognized

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#560 national
CFB
College
3 teams
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionLB
Class4
Jersey16
Measurements6-2 | 230 lb
HometownColumbus, OH
Primary teamPurdue

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 560 recruit
Composite rating 0.8807 HighSchool
Signed with -- 2022
Origin Fayetteville Fayetteville, AR, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 3-star | 0.8807 No. 560 recruit | HighSchool

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 2 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Purdue 2025
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 3, 2025
Season Move Context
2025 UNLV -> Purdue 3-star | 0.8400 | Immediate
2024 Arkansas -> UNLV 3-star | 0.8400 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#4827Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#5690Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to —

Composite

0.8807

#560 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Mani Powell

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Mani Powell

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 12g
110Tackles
12Tackles for loss
5Sacks
Per game
9Tackles
1Tackles for loss
0.4Sacks
Projected (13g)
119Tackles
13Tackles for loss
5.4Sacks

✓ Hit 80-tackle season · finished with 110.

✓ Hit 100-tackle season · finished with 110.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 5): needs 1/game over remaining 1.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 5): needs 5/game over remaining 1.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Mani Powell is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Purdue's defense, with 5.0 sacks, 12.0 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #4827 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Transfer path 2 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 110 57 solo | #26/4942 (99th pct)
TFL 12.0 Backfield disruption | #51/4972 (99th pct)
Sacks 5.0 Pass-rush finish | #102/4972 (98th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender | High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defenderHigh-volume tackler

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
110 99th
SOLO
57 99th
TFL
12.0 99th
SACK
5.0 98th
QBH
3 75th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
2 64th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 31-0vs Ball State541.01.00
Wk 2W 34-17vs Southern Illinois540.00.00
Wk 3L 17-33vs USC751.00.01
Wk 4L 30-56@ Notre Dame761.00.00
Wk 6L 27-43vs Illinois1440.50.00
Wk 7L 20-27@ Minnesota761.00.00
Wk 8L 0-19@ Northwestern2041.50.00Season-high 20 tackles
Wk 9L 24-27vs Rutgers1131.00.51
Wk 10L 16-21@ Michigan541.51.50
Wk 11L 10-34vs Ohio State1361.51.00
Wk 12L 13-49@ Washington971.01.00
Wk 14L 3-56vs Indiana741.00.00
Total1105712.05.02
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Arkansas4-8HC: Sam Pittman · Run-leaning
2024UNLV11-3HC: Barry Odom · Run-heavy
2025Purdue2-10HC: Barry Odom · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Purdue1105712.05.02----
2024UNLV58298.53.5------
2023Arkansas530.00.0------
Career3 loaded seasons1738920.58.52----
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 2 Coverage disruption | #792/2184 (64th pct)
QB pressures 3 Quarterback hurries | #462/1878 (75th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 110 #26/4942 99th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 12.0 #51/4972 99th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 5.0 #102/4972 98th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 2 #792/2184 64th pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 3 #462/1878 75th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 57 #35/4584 99th pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

ALL-CONF HM

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

ALL-CONF HM · Rung 9 of 16

Why he’s here

All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started.

What moves him up

A best-at-position run lifts to 1st team.

What moves him down

A back-end conference finish drops out of the honor list.

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Butkus award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home7g8.90.90.40.3
Road5g9.61.20.50.0

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins2g5.00.50.50.0
Losses10g10.01.10.40.2

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-76g7.50.80.20.2
Weeks 8+6g10.81.20.70.2

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the LB cohort

90Elite
6 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: tackles (99th). Strength: solo tackles (98th).

Tackles#26 / 2975 · 99th pct
110defe
Solo tackles#35 / 2975 · 99th pct
57defe
Tackles for loss#51 / 2975 · 98th pct
12.0defe
Sacks#102 / 2975 · 96th pct
5.0defe
QB hurries#457 / 2975 · 82nd pct
3defe
Passes defended#777 / 2975 · 67th pct
2defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · LB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
Mani PowellPurdueKeyshaun ElliottArizona State· 97% simKaleb Elarms-OrrTCU· 94% simCaden FordhamNC State· 94% sim
Tackles
99
Powell
98
Elliott
100
Elarms-Orr
100
Fordham
Solo tackles
99
Powell
98
Elliott
99
Elarms-Orr
99
Fordham
Tackles for loss
98
Powell
99
Elliott
97
Elarms-Orr
96
Fordham
Sacks
96
Powell
98
Elliott
93
Elarms-Orr
91
Fordham
QB hurries
82
Powell
88
Elliott
95
Elarms-Orr
88
Fordham
Passes defended
67
Powell
67
Elliott
67
Elarms-Orr
78
Fordham

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Every-Down Linebacker

Leads the team in tackles and rarely leaves the field.

LB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Daiyan Henley’s 2022 season.

Daiyan Henley

86%match

Washington State · 2022

NFL Rd 3 · Pk 22
#2

Teddye Buchanan

California · 2024

NFL Rd 4
84%
#3

Marlowe Wax

Syracuse · 2023

81%
#4

Joel Dublanko

Cincinnati · 2021

All-AAC
81%
#5

Abraham Beauplan

Marshall · 2021

All-Conference USA
80%

Matches Daiyan on

TFL rate
Tackle volume
Sack rate

Differs from Daiyan on

Class year (higher)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Daiyan Henley's junior season at Washington State (2022).

Daiyan Henley

93%match

Washington State · 2022

All-Mountain WestNFL Rd 3 · Pk 22
#2

Nathaniel Watson

Mississippi State · 2022

88%
#3

Xander Mueller

Northwestern · 2023

All-Big Ten
84%
#4

Matt Rose

Stanford · 2025

84%
#5

Jaylan Ford

Texas · 2022

All-Big 12NFL Rd 5
82%

Matches Daiyan on

TFL rate
Weight
PD rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Barry Odom

Pass share

52.0%

404 pass / 373 run

Plays / game

64.8

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

4.9%

348 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

2 coaches
2023
Ryan Walters
Purdue
2024
Ryan Walters
Purdue
2025
Barry Odom
Purdue
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Ryan Walters → Barry Odom. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownColumbus, OH
Height6'2"
Weight230 lb
Class4
PositionLB
Jersey16

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

1 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2025)

All-Big Ten

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

1 all-conference honor

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2025 All-Big Ten all_conference Purdue | Big Ten LB

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 UNLV LB4 #4827 #5690 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Mountain West
2023 Arkansas LB4 #11592 #11599 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | SEC
2022 Arkansas LB4 #12233 #12063 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | SEC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Purdue Big Ten LB 4 No. 16 | 6-2 | 230 lb | Columbus, OH
2024 UNLV Mountain West LB 4 No. 16 | 6-2 | 230 lb | Columbus, OH
2023 Arkansas SEC LB 4 No. 16 | 6-2 | 230 lb | Columbus, OH
2022 Arkansas SEC LB 4 No. 16 | 6-2 | 230 lb | Columbus, OH