cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Malik Rutherford /Georgia Tech

Malik Rutherford

WR · Georgia Tech · Sr · #8

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

523 REC YDS · 46 REC · 3 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Georgia Tech for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Georgia Tech for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Wide receiver · Georgia Tech

Returning around him

  • 81% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
  • 2 Georgia Tech players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -1 net (19 in / 20 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Georgia Tech · Last season: 9-4 (AP #24) · Talent rank #39 · 2026 recruiting class #21

WR · GEORGIA TECH · ACC

Malik Rutherford

  • 4
  • #8
  • 5-9 | 170 lb
  • Miami, FL

CFB Zeitgeist Score

61

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by rec yards at the 64th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#3001

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2021–2025
62.02021
2252022
5022023
5232025

+744%

Up 744% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#635 national
CFB
College
Georgia Tech
2021–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class4
Jersey8
Measurements5-9 | 170 lb
HometownMiami, FL
Primary teamGeorgia Tech

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 635 recruit
Composite rating 0.8726 HighSchool
Signed with -- 2021
Origin Champagnat Catholic - Hialeah Hialeah, FL, USA
Class Profile Context
2021 3-star | 0.8726 No. 635 recruit | HighSchool

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination -- 2025
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Withdrawn Dec 23, 2024
Season Move Context
2025 Georgia Tech -> -- 3-star | Withdrawn

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#3001Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#3014Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to —

Composite

0.8726

#635 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Malik Rutherford

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Malik Rutherford

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Receiving yards (total)

523

yds

All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions

National rank #195 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 63rd

Why it matters

#195 of 531 All FBS WRs in receiving yards — 523 yards on 46 receptions.

Vs cohort

This player 523 (63th)

HIGH · n=46 cohort 531

  • Also strong
  • Yards per reception#322 / 531
  • Receiving TDs#222 / 531

Signature Moment

Week 12 at Boston College — 121 receiving_yards_total

Result W 36-34

The week the volume broke through — put up 121 yds at Boston College.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 11g
523Rec yards
46Receptions
3Rec TDs
Per game
47.5Rec yards
4Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
618.1Rec yards
54Receptions
4Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 523): needs 88.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 523): needs 238.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 46): needs 7/game over remaining 2.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 46): needs 17/game over remaining 2.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 3): needs 2.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 3): needs 3.5/game over remaining 2.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Malik Rutherford's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Georgia Tech, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #3001 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 7.4% Overall usage share
Profile quirk All-purpose load The card should explain why this profile stands out

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 46 3 rec TD | #137/1110 (88th pct)
Receiving yards 523 11.4 per catch | #200/1107 (82nd pct)
Scrimmage yards 568 Total offensive yardage | #200/1107 (82nd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Target magnet against FBS receiving peers.

Target magnet

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
46 88th
YDS
523 82nd
YPR
11.4 46th
TD
3 82nd

Rushing

CAR
7 84th
YDS
45 83rd
YPC
6.4 71st
TD
0 81st

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 11 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 27-20@ Colorado
Wk 2W 59-12vs Gardner-Webb56212.4026
Wk 3W 24-21vs Clemson4225.509
Wk 4W 45-24vs Temple23316.5124
Wk 5W 30-29@ Wake Forest5387.6019
Wk 7W 35-20vs Virginia Tech6498.2116
Wk 8W 27-18@ Duke1-2-2.00-2
Wk 12W 36-34@ Boston College512124.2171Season-high 121 yds
Wk 13L 28-42vs Pittsburgh66811.3020
Wk 14L 9-16vs Georgia4276.809
BowlL 21-25@ BYU810513.1028
Total4652310.4371
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021Georgia Tech3-9HC: Geoff Collins · Run-leaning
2022Georgia Tech5-7HC: Brent Key · Balanced
2023Georgia Tech7-6HC: Brent Key · Run-leaning
2025Georgia Tech9-4HC: Brent Key · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Georgia Tech4652311.43--
2023Georgia Tech4650210.94--
2022Georgia Tech232259.80--
2021Georgia Tech56212.40--
Career4 loaded seasons1201,31210.97--
SeasonTeam
2025Georgia Tech745------
2023Georgia Tech317------
2022Georgia Tech1439----
2021Georgia Tech----------
Career4 loaded seasons116639----
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 7.4% 14.1% pass-game share | #276/1137 (76th pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 3 Across offense and returns | #206/1111 (82nd pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 46 #137/1110 88th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 523 #200/1107 82nd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 3 #206/1111 82nd pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 11.4 #597/1106 46th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 14.1% #276/1137 76th pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing yards 45 #67/397 83rd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing LONG 13 #134/346 62nd pct Metricvs FBS WR
Rushing Carries 7 #65/407 84th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Yards / carry 6.4 #115/393 71st pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Rushing Rush TD 0 #81/411 81st pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 71 #89/1105 92nd pct Metricvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 8.8% #326/1137 71st pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 8.2% #174/1137 85th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 7.7% #243/1137 79th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Role share 7.4% #246/1137 78th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 6.9% #226/1137 80th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 5.7% #572/1137 50th pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 2.0% #101/1137 91st pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 11 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home6g4.543.510.10.3
Road5g3.852.410.70.2

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins8g3.540.410.30.4
Losses3g6.066.710.40.0

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-77g4.344.110.50.3
Weeks 8+4g4.053.510.10.2

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

61Solid starter
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: long catch (84th).

Long catch#83 / 558 · 85th pct
71rece
Rush yards#61 / 287 · 79th pct
45rush
Receptions#137 / 558 · 75th pct
46rece
Rec yards#200 / 558 · 64th pct
523rece
Rec TDs#205 / 558 · 57th pct
3rece
Rush TDs#67 / 287 · 39th pct
0rush
Yards / catch#374 / 558 · 33rd pct
11.4rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Malik RutherfordGeorgia TechRyan DavisUtah· 85% simDevin VoisinSouth Alabama· 85% simAnthony Evans IIIMississippi State· 85% sim
Long catch
85
Rutherford
67
Davis
78
Voisin
68
III
Rush yards
79
Rutherford
80
III
Receptions
75
Rutherford
91
Davis
95
Voisin
95
III
Rec yards
64
Rutherford
83
Davis
87
Voisin
90
III
Rec TDs
57
Rutherford
68
Davis
68
Voisin
68
III
Rush TDs
39
Rutherford
39
III
Yards / catch
33
Rutherford
36
Davis
35
Voisin
44
III

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Slot Technician

Runs precise routes in tight quarters. Volume player who keeps chains moving.

WR

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Raylen Sharpe’s 2025 season.

Raylen Sharpe

83%match

Arkansas · 2025

#2

Yusuf Ali

Middle Tennessee · 2020

79%
#3

Myles Price

Indiana · 2024

80%
#4

Elijah Metcalf

Middle Tennessee · 2023

All-Conference USA
78%
#5

Phillip Brooks III

Kansas State · 2022

78%

Matches Raylen on

Total EPA (college ability)
EPA / play (adj)
Weight

Differs from Raylen on

Recruiting rating (higher)

Through 5 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Antwan Davis’s path through Ball State.

Antwan Davis

99%match

Ball State · 2020

#2

Neno Lemay

Nicholls · 2023

97%
#3

Khalil McClain

Troy · 2020

96%
#4

Jovanni Bermudez

Temple · 2025

95%
#5

Max Tomczak

Youngstown State · 2025

94%

Matches Antwan on

Yards per reception

As a graduate, his production profile tracks closest to Elijah Metcalf's graduate season at Southern Miss (2025).

Elijah Metcalf

78%match

Southern Miss · 2025

All-Conference USA
#2

Cam Ross

Virginia · 2025

76%
#3

Ashtyn Hawkins

Baylor · 2025

73%
#4

TJ Sheffield

UConn · 2024

72%
#5

Justin Williams

Indiana · 2024

71%

Matches Elijah on

Total EPA (college ability)
TD rate
Yards / reception

Differs from Elijah on

EPA / play (adj) (higher)
Recruiting rating (higher)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Brent Key

Pass share

46.1%

391 pass / 457 run

Plays / game

65.2

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

5.0%

221 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025

2 coaches
2021
Geoff Collins
Georgia Tech
2022
Brent Key
Georgia Tech
era →
2023
Brent Key
Georgia Tech
2025
Brent Key
Georgia Tech

Coaching transition mid-career: Geoff Collins → Brent Key. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownMiami, FL
Height5'9"
Weight170 lb
Class4
PositionWR
Jersey8

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Georgia Tech WR4 #3001 #3014 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | ACC
2023 Georgia Tech WR4 #645 #796 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | ACC
2022 Georgia Tech WR4 #2272 #2757 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | ACC
2021 Georgia Tech WR4 #1908 #2034 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | ACC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Georgia Tech ACC WR 4 No. 8 | 5-9 | 170 lb | Miami, FL
2024 Georgia Tech ACC WR 4 No. 8 | 5-9 | 170 lb | Miami, FL
2023 Georgia Tech ACC WR 4 No. 8 | 5-9 | 170 lb | Miami, FL
2022 Georgia Tech ACC WR 4 No. 8 | 5-9 | 170 lb | Miami, FL
2021 Georgia Tech ACC WR 4 No. 8 | 5-9 | 170 lb | Miami, FL