CFB Zeitgeist Score
54
Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 85th percentile.
Malakai Williams
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
11 TACKLES · 2.5 SACKS
2026 Outlook
Returning to Boise State for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Edge · Boise State
Returning around him
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Boise State · Last season: 9-5 (AP #25) · Talent rank #81 · 2026 recruiting class #62
EDGE · BOISE STATE · MOUNTAIN WEST
CFB Zeitgeist Score
54
Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 85th percentile.
Heisman Heat
Awaiting
Not on the live Heisman board this week.
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
—
TOP DEFENSE AWARD
Nagurski
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterStarter. A locked-in starting role.
Career Arc
Heisman futures · live sportsbook odds
#21 in market ▼ from #18 · 6 books
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 2-star | 0.7733 | No. 2675 recruit | HighSchool | Idaho |
| 2020 | 3-star | 0.8100 | No. 2503 recruit | HighSchool | Idaho |
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Idaho -> Boise State | 3-star | Immediate |
Where the model places this player relative to the rest of the Heisman field.
Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Selector Grid · 2025
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★☆☆☆
to Idaho
Composite
0.7733
#2675 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the defensive totals stand
To hit 80-tackle season (currently 11): needs 17.2/game over remaining 4.
To hit 100-tackle season (currently 11): needs 22.2/game over remaining 4.
To hit 6-sack season (currently 2.5): needs 0.9/game over remaining 4.
To hit 10-sack season (currently 2.5): needs 1.9/game over remaining 4.
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Malakai Williams is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Boise State's defense, with 2.5 sacks, 4.0 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
2025 season snapshot | final
30-second read
High-disruption defender against FBS defenders.
2025 season snapshot | final
Tackling & Disruption
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 9 games
| Wk | Opp | TKL | SOLO | TFL | SACK | INT | PD | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 2 | W 51-14vs Eastern Washington | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 4 | W 49-37@ Air Force | 3 | 2 | 1.0 | 1.0 | — | 0 | Season-high 3 tackles |
| Wk 5 | W 47-14vs App State | 2 | 1 | 1.0 | 1.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 7 | W 41-25vs New Mexico | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 8 | W 56-31vs UNLV | 2 | 0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 9 | W 24-3@ Nevada | 1 | 0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 10 | L 7-30vs Fresno State | 2 | 2 | 1.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 14 | W 25-24@ Utah State | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Bowl | L 10-38@ Washington | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Total | 11 | 5 | 4.0 | 2.5 | — | 0 |
Traditional history
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
| Season | Team | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Boise State | 11 | 5 | 4.0 | 2.5 | -- | -- | -- |
| Career | 1 loaded season | 11 | 5 | 4.0 | 2.5 | -- | -- | -- |
Advanced metrics second
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.
Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Defense | Total tackles | 11 | #2749/4942 | 44th pct | Volumevs FBS DEF |
| Defense | TFL | 4.0 | #738/4972 | 85th pct | Disruptionvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Sacks | 2.5 | #393/4972 | 92nd pct | Disruptionvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | QB hurries | 7 | #69/1878 | 96th pct | Disruptionvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Solo tackles | 5 | #2793/4584 | 39th pct | Volumevs FBS DEF |
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 9 games
Home vs Road
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home5g | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Road4g | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 |
Win vs Loss
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins7g | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Losses2g | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-75g | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Weeks 8+4g | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the EDGE cohort
Elite: qb hurries (96th). Strength: sacks (85th). Concern: tackles (5th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · EDGE · 2025
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
Bends the edge and wins with first-step quickness. Lighter frame, relentless motor.
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Malachi Lawrence’s 2023 season.
Malachi Lawrence
Vincent Anthony
KJ Henry
Malachi Lawrence
Jaylen Harrell
Matches Malachi on
Not enough data yet for this comparison.
As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Tyler Baron's senior season at Tennessee (2023).
Tyler Baron
Max Llewellyn
Kenyatta Jackson
Vincent Anthony
Jordan Strachan
Matches Tyler on
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Spencer Danielson
Pass share
46.6%
472 pass / 540 run
Plays / game
72.3
14 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
6.4%
358 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-leaning.
Coaching Lineage · 2025
1 coachPlayed his entire career under Spencer Danielson.
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This player hasn’t appeared on a Heisman ballot tracked by the model. | |||||||||
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Boise State | Mountain West | EDGE | 4 | No. 15 | 6-5 | 245 lb | Chandler, AZ |