cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Malachi Thomas /Purdue

Malachi Thomas

RB · Purdue · Sr · #24

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

243 RUSH YDS · 0 RUSH TD · 53 CARRIES

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Purdue for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Purdue for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Running back · Purdue

Returning around him

  • 54% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
  • Transfer portal: +5 net (29 in / 24 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Purdue · Last season: 2-10 · Talent rank #54 · 2026 recruiting class #99

RB · PURDUE · BIG TEN

Malachi Thomas

  • 4
  • #24
  • 6-0 | 220 lb
  • Hartwell, GA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

30

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by long run at the 68th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#1959

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R05 · Part-time starter

Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · rushing yards

2021–2025
4402021
1462022
3812023
2432025

-45%

Sharp dropoff (-45%) — career inflection point.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
2 teams
2021–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class4
Jersey24
Measurements6-0 | 220 lb
HometownHartwell, GA
Primary teamPurdue

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#1959Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#2014Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Malachi Thomas

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Malachi Thomas

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the rushing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 11g
243Rush yards
53Carries
0Rush TDs
Per game
22.1Rush yards
5Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
287.2Rush yards
63Carries
0Rush TDs

To hit 750-yard season (currently 243): needs 253.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 243): needs 378.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 243): needs 628.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 0): needs 5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 0): needs 7.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 0): needs 10/game over remaining 2.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Malachi Thomas's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Purdue, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #1959 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 9.2% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 0 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 342 243 rush | 99 rec | #307/735 (58th pct)
Rush TD 0 53 carries | #447/739 (40th pct)
Yards/carry 4.6 Per-rush efficiency | #364/735 (51st pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Backfield contributor against FBS RB peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
53 59th
YDS
243 58th
YPC
4.6 51st
TD
0 40th

Receiving

REC
11 65th
YDS
99 69th
YPR
9.0 71st
TD
2 97th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 11 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCARYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 31-0vs Ball State221.002
Wk 2W 34-17vs Southern Illinois6142.307
Wk 3L 17-33vs USC252.505
Wk 6L 27-43vs Illinois
Wk 7L 20-27@ Minnesota4215.3014
Wk 8L 0-19@ Northwestern7344.9010
Wk 9L 24-27vs Rutgers36220.7057
Wk 10L 16-21@ Michigan15684.5014Season-high 68 yds
Wk 11L 10-34vs Ohio State4153.8012
Wk 12L 13-49@ Washington6162.706
Wk 14L 3-56vs Indiana461.502
Total532434.9057
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021Virginia Tech6-6HC: J.C. Price · Run-heavy
2022Virginia Tech3-8HC: Brent Pry · Balanced
2023Virginia Tech7-6HC: Brent Pry · Run-leaning
2025Purdue2-10HC: Barry Odom · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Purdue532434.60--
2023Virginia Tech833814.62--
2022Virginia Tech371463.91--
2021Virginia Tech934404.73--
Career4 loaded seasons2661,2104.56--
SeasonTeam
2025Purdue11999.02--
2023Virginia Tech9495.40--
2022Virginia Tech13917.01--
2021Virginia Tech23316.50--
Career4 loaded seasons352727.83--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work 11 99 rec yds | #195/552 (65th pct)
Usage 9.2% 16.3% rush share | #342/738 (54th pct)
Rushing WEPA +0.11 Opponent-adjusted rush value | #192/362 (47th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing yards 243 #307/735 58th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rush TD 0 #447/739 40th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing Yards / carry 4.6 #364/735 51st pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receptions 11 #195/552 65th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving yards 99 #169/548 69th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.11 #192/362 47th pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 47 weighted playsvs FBS RB
Usage Role share 9.2% #342/738 54th pct Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing Rushing LONG 57 #118/733 84th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 53 #302/739 59th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving LONG 44 #57/540 90th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Yards / catch 9.0 #159/548 71st pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving TD 2 #20/552 97th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Returns Kick return yards 40 #110/200 46th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Returns Kick return avg 20.0 #79/199 61st pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Returns Kick returns 2 #109/206 48th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Usage Rush share 16.3% #322/738 57th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage 1st-down usage 12.7% #283/738 62nd pct Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Standard-down usage 10.6% #332/738 55th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage 2nd-down usage 7.6% #445/738 40th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Passing-down usage 6.0% #401/738 46th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage 3rd-down usage 5.9% #402/738 46th pct Money-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Pass share 3.1% #298/738 60th pct Air-game usagevs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 11 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Home7g14.95.30.0
Road4g34.84.30.0

Win vs Loss

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Wins2g8.01.60.0
Losses9g25.25.70.0

First half vs Second half

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Weeks 1-75g8.42.80.0
Weeks 8+6g33.56.40.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort

30Below cohort
7 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: rush tds (3rd).

Long run#107 / 349 · 68th pct
57rush
Rec yards#154 / 338 · 54th pct
99rece
Receptions#179 / 338 · 45th pct
11rece
Yards / carry#213 / 349 · 37th pct
4.6rush
Carries#302 / 349 · 13th pct
53rush
Rush yards#306 / 349 · 12th pct
243rush
Rush TDs#326 / 349 · 3rd pct
0rush

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

wepa_rushing0.11Low (p25–p50) (n=178)

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Malachi ThomasPurdueTae MeadowsTroy· 55% simBill DavisLouisiana· 54% simJevon JacksonUAB· 52% sim
Long run
68
Thomas
53
Meadows
91
Davis
70
Jackson
Rec yards
54
Thomas
38
Meadows
45
Davis
61
Jackson
Receptions
45
Thomas
45
Meadows
39
Davis
75
Jackson
Yards / carry
37
Thomas
29
Meadows
45
Davis
68
Jackson
Carries
13
Thomas
84
Meadows
83
Davis
85
Jackson
Rush yards
12
Thomas
74
Meadows
80
Davis
85
Jackson
Rush TDs
3
Thomas
72
Meadows
72
Davis
62
Jackson

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Workhorse

Built to take 20+ carries per game. Volume is the value.

RB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Omar Fattah’s 2021 season.

Omar Fattah

78%match

Air Force · 2021

#2

Trey Cornist

Central Michigan · 2025

74%
#3

Keyvone Lee

Penn State · 2021

76%
#4

Ari Broussard

Rice · 2021

72%
#5

Marcus Major

Oklahoma · 2023

74%

Matches Omar on

Total rush EPA (college ability)
Yards / carry
Weight

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a graduate, his production profile tracks closest to Jalen Berger's graduate season at UCLA (2024).

Jalen Berger

79%match

UCLA · 2024

#2

Oscar Adaway III

South Carolina · 2025

75%
#3

Kenny Tracy

Miami (OH) · 2025

75%
#4

Rashad Amos

Georgia State · 2025

All-MAC
70%
#5

Marcus Major

Minnesota · 2024

67%

Matches Jalen on

EPA / carry (adj)
Yards / carry
Weight

Differs from Jalen on

Yards / reception (higher)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Barry Odom

Pass share

52.0%

404 pass / 373 run

Plays / game

64.8

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

4.9%

348 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025

3 coaches
2021
Jeff Brohm
Purdue
2022
Jeff Brohm
Purdue
2023
Ryan Walters
Purdue
era →
2025
Barry Odom
Purdue
era →

Played under 3 different head coaches: Jeff Brohm, Ryan Walters, and Barry Odom. Multi-era developmental context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownHartwell, GA
Height6'0"
Weight220 lb
Class4
PositionRB
Jersey24

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Virginia Tech RB4 #1959 #2014 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | ACC
2023 Virginia Tech RB4 #657 #709 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | ACC
2022 Virginia Tech RB4 #1470 #1880 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | ACC
2021 Virginia Tech RB4 #411 #450 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | ACC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Purdue Big Ten RB 4 No. 24 | 6-0 | 220 lb | Hartwell, GA
2024 Virginia Tech ACC RB 4 No. 24 | 6-0 | 220 lb | Hartwell, GA
2023 Virginia Tech ACC RB 4 No. 24 | 6-0 | 220 lb | Hartwell, GA
2022 Virginia Tech ACC RB 4 No. 24 | 6-0 | 220 lb | Hartwell, GA
2021 Virginia Tech ACC RB 4 No. 24 | 6-0 | 220 lb | Hartwell, GA