CFB Zeitgeist Score
80
All-Conference in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 97th percentile.
Malachi Davis
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
35 TACKLES · 5.5 SACKS
2026 Outlook
Returning to Toledo for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Defensive end · Toledo
Returning around him
- 68% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
- 2 Toledo players drafted to NFL
- Transfer portal: -5 net (33 in / 38 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Toledo · Last season: 8-5 · Talent rank #75 · 2026 recruiting class #73
DE · TOLEDO · MID-AMERICAN
Malachi Davis
- 3
- #93
- 6-4 | 255 lb
- Holt, MI
Heisman Heat
#6874
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP DEFENSE AWARD
Nagurski
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career arc · Season-by-season Standing
3 seasons on the ladder
2023
Toledo · DE
—
2024
Toledo · DE
—
★
2025
Toledo · DE
R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team
Recognized
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
Toledo
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 3-star | 0.8456 | No. 1385 recruit | HighSchool | Toledo |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to Toledo
Composite
0.8456
#1385 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Malachi Davis
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Malachi Davis
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the defensive totals stand
Through 10g
35Tackles
9.5Tackles for loss
5.5Sacks
Per game
4Tackles
0.9Tackles for loss
0.6Sacks
Projected (13g)
46Tackles
12.3Tackles for loss
7.2Sacks
To hit 80-tackle season (currently 35): needs 15/game over remaining 3.
To hit 100-tackle season (currently 35): needs 21.7/game over remaining 3.
To hit 6-sack season (currently 5.5): needs 0.2/game over remaining 3.
To hit 10-sack season (currently 5.5): needs 1.5/game over remaining 3.
Why this is a rare defensive case
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Malachi Davis is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Toledo's defense, with 5.5 sacks, 9.5 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
DEF season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
High-disruption defender against FBS defenders.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Tackling & Disruption
TOT
35 78th
SOLO
19 76th
TFL
9.5 97th
SACK
5.5 98th
QBH
8 98th
Coverage & Takeaways
PD
1 43rd
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 10 games
| Wk | Opp | TKL | SOLO | TFL | SACK | INT | PD | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | L 16-24@ Kentucky | 3 | 2 | 1.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 2 | W 45-21vs Western Kentucky | 7 | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | Season-high 7 tackles |
| Wk 4 | L 13-14@ Western Michigan | 3 | 3 | 2.0 | 2.0 | — | 0 | 2 sacks |
| Wk 5 | W 45-3vs Akron | 4 | 2 | 2.5 | 0.5 | — | 0 | 2.5 TFL |
| Wk 7 | L 23-28@ Bowling Green | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 8 | W 45-10vs Kent State | 2 | 1 | 1.0 | 1.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 9 | L 7-28@ Washington State | 4 | 4 | 2.0 | 1.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 12 | W 24-3@ Miami (OH) | 3 | 2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 13 | W 38-9vs Ball State | 2 | 1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 14 | W 21-3@ Central Michigan | 5 | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 1 | |
| Total | 35 | 19 | 9.5 | 5.5 | — | 1 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2023Toledo11-3HC: Jason Candle · Run-leaning
2024Toledo8-5HC: Jason Candle · Balanced
2025Toledo8-5HC: Jason Candle · Run-leaning
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.
Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Defense | Total tackles | 35 | #1098/4942 | 78th pct | Volumevs FBS DEF |
| Defense | TFL | 9.5 | #126/4972 | 97th pct | Disruptionvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Sacks | 5.5 | #90/4972 | 98th pct | Disruptionvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Pass breakups | 1 | #1241/2184 | 43rd pct | Coveragevs FBS DEF |
| Defense | QB hurries | 8 | #41/1878 | 98th pct | Disruptionvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Solo tackles | 19 | #1095/4584 | 76th pct | Volumevs FBS DEF |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
ALL-CONF HM
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
ALL-CONF HM · Rung 9 of 16
Why he’s here
All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started.
What moves him up
A best-at-position run lifts to 1st team.
What moves him down
A back-end conference finish drops out of the honor list.
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
The Lombardi award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 10 games
Home vs Road
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home4g | 3.8 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 |
| Road6g | 3.3 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
Win vs Loss
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins6g | 3.8 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Losses4g | 3.0 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-75g | 3.8 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.0 |
| Weeks 8+5g | 3.2 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the DE cohort
80All-Conference
Elite: qb hurries (98th). Strength: sacks (96th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · DE · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Malachi DavisToledoOumar DiomandeUConn· 78% simAmare CampbellPenn State· 78% simMaverick BaranowskiMinnesota· 78% sim
QB hurries
Sacks
Tackles for loss
Tackles
Solo tackles
Passes defended
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Versatile End
Holds up against run and pass without a single dominant trait.
EDGE
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Kameron Butler’s 2021 season.
Kameron Butler
88%match
All-MAC
#2
Anthony Dunn
86%
#3
Arnold Ebiketie
All-Big TenNFL Rd 2 · Pk 6
86%
#4
Johnny Walker
85%
#5
Keyron Crawford
NFL Rd 3 · Pk 3
85%
Matches Kameron on
TFL rate
Sack rate
Weight
Not enough data yet for this comparison.
As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Viliami Fehoko's junior season at San José State (2022).
Viliami Fehoko
92%match
All-Mountain WestNFL Rd 4
#2
Emar'Rion Winston
88%
#3
Bralen Trice
NFL Rd 3 · Pk 10
79%
#4
Matayo Uiagalelei
All-Big Ten
79%
#5
Rueben Bain Jr.
HendricksConsensus All-AmericanNFL Rd 1 · Pk 15
78%
Matches Viliami on
Class year
Height
Sack rate
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Jason Candle
Pass share
45.9%
397 pass / 467 run
Plays / game
66.5
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
4.5%
290 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-leaning.
Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025
1 coach2023
Jason Candle
Toledo
2024
Jason Candle
Toledo
2025
Jason Candle
Toledo
Played his entire career under Jason Candle.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownHolt, MI
Height6'4"
Weight255 lb
Class3
PositionDE
Jersey93
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamToledo
ConferenceMid-American
Joined2025
Career arc4 season(s)
Trophy Case · Confirmed honors
What the selectors said
🎖
ALL-CONFERENCE
All-Conf mention (2025)
All-MAC
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
1 all-conference honor
Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | All-MAC | all_conference | Toledo | MAC | DL |
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Toledo | DE3 | #6874 | #7392 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Mid-American |
| 2023 | Toledo | DE3 | #10090 | #9662 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Mid-American |
| 2022 | Toledo | DE3 | #11590 | #11294 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Mid-American |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.