cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Mack Moeller /Kansas

Mack Moeller

WR · Kansas · Sr · #80

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

8 REC YDS · 1 REC · 0 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Kansas for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Kansas for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Wide receiver · Kansas

Returning around him

  • 41% of 2024 offensive production back (Moderate turnover)
  • 2 Kansas players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: +5 net (31 in / 26 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Kansas · Last season: 5-7 · Talent rank #48 · 2026 recruiting class #72

WR · KANSAS · BIG 12

Mack Moeller

  • 4
  • #80
  • 6-3 | 205 lb
  • Mission, KS

CFB Zeitgeist Score

2

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by rec tds at the 7th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#3356

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R03 · Backup

Backup. On the two-deep, pushing for snaps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2024–2025
7.02024
8.02025

+14%

Modest growth (14%) across the multi-season window.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
Kansas
2024–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class4
Jersey80
Measurements6-3 | 205 lb
HometownMission, KS
Primary teamKansas

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#3356Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#3600Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Mack Moeller

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Mack Moeller

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 2g
8Rec yards
1Receptions
0Rec TDs
Per game
4Rec yards
0Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
52Rec yards
6Receptions
0Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 8): needs 62.9/game over remaining 11.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 8): needs 90.2/game over remaining 11.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 1): needs 5.4/game over remaining 11.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 1): needs 7.2/game over remaining 11.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 0): needs 0.7/game over remaining 11.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 0): needs 0.9/game over remaining 11.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Mack Moeller's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Kansas, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #3356 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 1.3% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Development arc The card should explain why this profile stands out

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 1 0 rec TD | #973/1110 (12th pct)
Receiving yards 8 8.0 per catch | #1018/1107 (8th pct)
Scrimmage yards 8 Total offensive yardage | #1018/1107 (8th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
1 12th
YDS
8 8th
YPR
8.0 17th
TD
0 45th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 2 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 46-7vs Wagner188.008Season-high 8 yds
Wk 6W 27-20@ UCF
Total188.008
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2024Kansas5-7HC: Lance Leipold · Run-leaning
2025Kansas5-7HC: Lance Leipold · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Kansas188.00--
2024Kansas177.00--
Career2 loaded seasons2157.50--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 1.3% 3.1% pass-game share | #1018/1137 (11th pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 0 Across offense and returns | #615/1111 (45th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 1 #973/1110 12th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 8 #1018/1107 8th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 0 #615/1111 45th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 8.0 #918/1106 17th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 3.1% #1018/1137 11th pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 8 #1002/1105 9th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 2.6% #799/1137 30th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 1.5% #999/1137 12th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage Role share 1.3% #1096/1137 4th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 0.0% #993/1137 13th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 0.0% #937/1137 18th pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 0.0% #1009/1137 11th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.0% #391/1137 66th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 2 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home1g1.08.08.00.0
Road1g

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins2g0.54.08.00.0

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-72g0.54.08.00.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

2Below cohort
5 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: long catch (0th).

Rec TDs#482 / 558 · 7th pct
0rece
Yards / catch#537 / 558 · 4th pct
8.0rece
Rec yards#559 / 558 · 0th pct
8rece
Receptions#559 / 558 · 0th pct
1rece
Long catch#559 / 558 · 0th pct
8rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 5 metrics
Mack MoellerKansasMichael Jackson IIIPurdue· 47% simJacquon GibsonMassachusetts· 41% simAaron TurnerRice· 39% sim
Rec TDs
7
Moeller
24
III
7
Gibson
68
Turner
Yards / catch
4
Moeller
9
III
15
Gibson
1
Turner
Rec yards
0
Moeller
70
III
74
Gibson
48
Turner
Receptions
0
Moeller
92
III
92
Gibson
92
Turner
Long catch
0
Moeller
16
III
56
Gibson
65
Turner

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Lance Leipold

Pass share

45.1%

344 pass / 419 run

Plays / game

63.6

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.1%

293 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2024–2025

1 coach
2024
Lance Leipold
Kansas
2025
Lance Leipold
Kansas

Played his entire career under Lance Leipold.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownMission, KS
Height6'3"
Weight205 lb
Class4
PositionWR
Jersey80

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Kansas WR4 #3356 #3600 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big 12
2023 Kansas WR4 #2901 #2605 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big 12
2022 Kansas WR4 #3606 #3567 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big 12
2021 Kansas WR4 #4543 #5031 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big 12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Kansas Big 12 WR 4 No. 80 | 6-3 | 205 lb | Mission, KS
2024 Kansas Big 12 WR 4 No. 80 | 6-3 | 205 lb | Mission, KS
2023 Kansas Big 12 WR 4 No. 80 | 6-3 | 205 lb | Mission, KS
2022 Kansas Big 12 WR 4 No. 80 | 6-3 | 205 lb | Mission, KS
2021 Kansas Big 12 WR 4 No. 80 | 6-3 | 205 lb | Mission, KS