CFB Zeitgeist WR Score
Awaiting
Mac Dalena
Limited signal — not enough coverage for a story yet.
WR · FRESNO STATE · MOUNTAIN WEST
Mac Dalena
- 4
- 5-11 | 180 lb
- Fresno, CA
Heisman Heat
#4055
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP WR AWARD
Biletnikoff
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 1 · 2-deepR03 · Backup
Backup. On the two-deep, pushing for snaps.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · receiving yards
2022–2023+452%
Up 452% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
Fresno State
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 3-star | 0.8141 | No. 2379 recruit | HighSchool | Fresno State |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to Fresno State
Composite
0.8141
#2379 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Mac Dalena
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Mac Dalena
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Scenario Explorer
Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.
Why the honors trail matters
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
The useful clue on this card is not just the Heisman rank, but the broader honors spine. Mac Dalena already has 1 loaded recognition item, which helps distinguish a player who is merely productive from one who is already earning selector-level validation.
2023 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
WR season snapshot
2023 season snapshot | final
2023 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Target magnet against FBS receiving peers.
2023 Season · Final
2023 season snapshot | final
Receiving
REC
46 88th
YDS
508 81st
YPR
11.0 42nd
TD
3 82nd
Rushing
CAR
1 35th
YDS
33 77th
YPC
33.0 99th
TD
0 81st
Game Log
Week-by-week box
No per-game rows for this season yet — the table fills in as box scores arrive.
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2021Fresno State9-3HC: Lee Marks · Balanced, fast tempo
2022Fresno State10-4HC: Jeff Tedford · Balanced
2023Fresno State9-4HC: Jeff Tedford · Pass-leaning
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Fresno State | 46 | 508 | 11.0 | 3 | -- |
| 2022 | Fresno State | 10 | 92 | 9.2 | 1 | -- |
| 2021 | Fresno State | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Career | 3 loaded seasons | 56 | 600 | 10.7 | 4 | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Fresno State | 1 | 33 | -- | -- | -- |
| 2022 | Fresno State | 1 | 1 | -- | -- | -- |
| 2021 | Fresno State | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Career | 3 loaded seasons | 2 | 34 | -- | -- | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.
A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving | Receptions | 46 | #137/1110 | 88th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 508 | #215/1107 | 81st pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 3 | #206/1111 | 82nd pct | Scoringvs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 11.0 | #648/1106 | 42nd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 33 | #28/346 | 92nd pct | Metricvs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 33 | #94/397 | 77th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 33.0 | #5/393 | 99th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Carries | 1 | #264/407 | 35th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 0 | #81/411 | 81st pct | Scoringvs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 39 | #472/1105 | 57th pct | Metricvs FBS WR |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits
Per-game splits
Splits fill in once box scores from at least three games land for this season.
Advanced Savant · WR · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Matt Entz
Pass share
44.2%
373 pass / 471 run
Plays / game
64.9
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
6.4%
282 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-leaning.
Coaching Lineage · 2021–2023
2 coaches2021
Lee Marks
Fresno State
2022era →
Jeff Tedford
Fresno State
2023
Jeff Tedford
Fresno State
Coaching transition mid-career: Lee Marks → Jeff Tedford. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownFresno, CA
Height5'11"
Weight180 lb
Class4
PositionWR
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamFresno State
ConferenceMountain West
Joined2024
Career arc4 season(s)
Trophy Case · Confirmed honors
What the selectors said
🎖
ALL-CONFERENCE
All-Conf mention (2024)
All-Mountain West
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
1 all-conference honor
Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | All-Mountain West | all_conference | Fresno State | Mountain West | WR |
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Fresno State | WR4 | #4055 | #4003 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Mountain West |
| 2023 | Fresno State | WR4 | #878 | #977 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Mountain West |
| 2022 | Fresno State | WR4 | #1489 | #1288 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Mountain West |
| 2021 | Fresno State | WR4 | #3940 | #3664 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Mountain West |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Fresno State | Mountain West | WR | 4 | 5-11 | 180 lb | Fresno, CA |
| 2023 | Fresno State | Mountain West | WR | 4 | 5-11 | 180 lb | Fresno, CA |
| 2022 | Fresno State | Mountain West | WR | 4 | 5-11 | 180 lb | Fresno, CA |
| 2021 | Fresno State | Mountain West | WR | 4 | 5-11 | 180 lb | Fresno, CA |