cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Luther Burden III /Missouri

Luther Burden III

WR · Missouri · Jr · #3

Limited signal — not enough coverage for a story yet.

NOW IN NFLChicago — drafted 2025, Rd 2, Pick 7, #39 overall

Where He Ended Up · NFL

ChicagoEntering 2nd NFL season

#39Rd 2 · Pick 7
ChicagoEntering 2nd NFL season

WR · MISSOURI · SEC

Luther Burden III

  • 3
  • #3
  • 5-11 | 208 lb
  • Saint Louis, MO

CFB Zeitgeist WR Score

Awaiting

Heisman Heat

#146

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 0 · Not on team

R01 · Scout team / redshirt

Scout team / redshirt. Developing behind the depth chart.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career arc · Season-by-season Standing

3 seasons on the ladder

Peak: R09 All-Conference HM / 2nd team · 2023

2022

Missouri · WR

2023

Missouri · WR

R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team

Recognized

2024

Missouri · WR

R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team

Recognized

NFL Draft 2025 · Rd 2, Pick 7 · #39 overall · Chicago

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2022–2024
3772022
1,2052023
6662024

+77%

Up 77% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★★
#3 national
CFB
College
Missouri
2022–2024
NFL
NFL Draft
R2 &middot; #39
Chicago &middot; 2025

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class3
Jersey3
Measurements5-11 | 208 lb
HometownSaint Louis, MO
Primary teamMissouri

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 5-star No. 3 recruit
Composite rating 0.9974 HighSchool
Signed with Missouri 2022
Origin East St. Louis East St. Louis, IL, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 5-star | 0.9974 No. 3 recruit | HighSchool | Missouri

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#146Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#176Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★★

to Missouri

Composite

0.9974

#3 national

NFL Draft

2025 · Rd 2, Pick 7

#39 overall · Chicago

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Luther Burden III

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Luther Burden III

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Scenario Explorer

Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.

Why the honors trail matters

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

The useful clue on this card is not just the Heisman rank, but the broader honors spine. Luther Burden III already has 2 loaded recognition items, which helps distinguish a player who is merely productive from one who is already earning selector-level validation.

Current place #146 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 8.6% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 3 recruit

2024 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2024 season snapshot | final

2024 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 60 6 rec TD | #61/1110 (95th pct)
Receiving yards 666 11.1 per catch | #116/1107 (90th pct)
Scrimmage yards 791 Total offensive yardage | #116/1107 (90th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Target magnet against FBS receiving peers.

Target magnet

2024 Season · Final

2024 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
60 95th
YDS
666 90th
YPR
11.1 43rd
TD
6 95th

Rushing

CAR
10 88th
YDS
125 96th
YPC
12.5 93rd
TD
2 99th

Returns

PR YDS
31 43rd
PR AVG
7.8 50th
RET TD
1 89th

Game Log

Week-by-week box

No per-game rows for this season yet — the table fills in as box scores arrive.

Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Missouri6-7HC: Eli Drinkwitz · Run-leaning
2023Missouri11-2HC: Eli Drinkwitz · Run-leaning
2024Missouri10-3HC: Eli Drinkwitz · Run-leaning, fast tempo
SeasonTeam
2024Missouri6066611.16--
2023Missouri851,20514.29--
2022Missouri433778.85--
Career3 loaded seasons1882,24812.020--
SeasonTeam
2024Missouri10125--311
2023Missouri838--60--
2022Missouri1992--1511
Career3 loaded seasons37255--2422
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 8.6% 16.1% pass-game share | #197/1137 (83rd pct)
Return yards 31 1 return TD
Touchdowns 9 Across offense and returns | #56/1111 (95th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 60 #61/1110 95th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 666 #116/1107 90th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 6 #56/1111 95th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 11.1 #635/1106 43rd pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Punt return yards 31 #129/224 43rd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 16.1% #197/1137 83rd pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing yards 125 #15/397 96th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing LONG 61 #7/346 98th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Rushing Yards / carry 12.5 #29/393 93rd pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Rushing Carries 10 #48/407 88th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Rush TD 2 #7/411 99th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 44 #368/1105 67th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Returns Punt return avg 7.8 #111/222 50th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Punt returns 4 #129/237 46th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Returns Punt return TD 1 #4/27 89th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 9.4% #113/1137 90th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 8.9% #307/1137 73rd pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 8.9% #317/1137 72nd pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage Role share 8.6% #168/1137 85th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 8.5% #123/1137 89th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 6.6% #338/1137 70th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 2.4% #77/1137 93rd pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR
Ball Security Fumbles lost 1 #131/302 57th pct Turnoversvs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits

Per-game splits

Splits fill in once box scores from at least three games land for this season.

Box-score Savant card waits for a season-stat snapshot above the cohort floor. Returns once enough box-score volume lands.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator returns once this player clears the Savant metric floor (4+ scored bars).
DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Eli Drinkwitz

Pass share

39.6%

360 pass / 550 run

Plays / game

70.0

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

8.4%

308 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-heavy.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2024

1 coach
2022
Eli Drinkwitz
Missouri
2023
Eli Drinkwitz
Missouri
2024
Eli Drinkwitz
Missouri

Played his entire career under Eli Drinkwitz.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownSaint Louis, MO
Height5'11"
Weight208 lb
Class3
PositionWR
Jersey3

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

2 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2024)

All-SEC

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

2 all-conference honors

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2024 All-SEC all_conference Missouri | SEC WR
2023 All-SEC all_conference SEC WR

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Missouri WR3 #146 #176 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | SEC
2023 Missouri WR3 #131 #121 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | SEC
2022 Missouri WR3 #470 #614 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | SEC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2024 Missouri SEC WR 3 No. 3 | 5-11 | 208 lb | Saint Louis, MO
2023 Missouri SEC WR 3 No. 3 | 5-11 | 208 lb | Saint Louis, MO
2022 Missouri SEC WR 3 No. 3 | 5-11 | 208 lb | Saint Louis, MO