cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Lewis Bond /Boston College

Lewis Bond

WR · Boston College · Sr · #11

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

1,010 REC YDS · 89 REC · 1 REC TD

2026 NFL DRAFTDrafted by Houston — Rd 6, Pick 23, #204 overall

Where He Ended Up · NFL

Houston2026 NFL rookie season

#204Rd 6 · Pick 23
Houston2026 NFL rookie season

WR · BOSTON COLLEGE · ACC

Lewis Bond

  • 4
  • #11
  • 5-11 | 190 lb
  • Chicago, IL

CFB Zeitgeist Score

57

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by rec yards at the 97th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#2553

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2021–2025
6.02021
51.02022
6462023
1,0102025

+16733%

Up 16733% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1157 national
CFB
College
Boston College
2021–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
R6 &middot; #204
Houston &middot; 2026

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class4
Jersey11
Measurements5-11 | 190 lb
HometownChicago, IL
Primary teamBoston College

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1157 recruit
Composite rating 0.8511 HighSchool
Signed with -- 2021
Origin Kenwood Academy Chicago, IL, USA
Class Profile Context
2021 3-star | 0.8511 No. 1157 recruit | HighSchool

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#2553Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#2368Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

Achievements

  • Volume King 1.3% Volume King 2,500+ passing yards, 1,200+ rushing yards, or 900+ receiving yards in a single season (position-appropriate threshold). Held by 1.3% of the 2025 pool. 1010 receiving yards — clears the 900-WR volume bar.
  • Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in receiving yards (1010).

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to —

Composite

0.8511

#1157 national

NFL Draft

2026 · Rd 6, Pick 23

#204 overall · Houston

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Lewis Bond

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

Awaiting per-cohort signal

Sample 0 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmNational: 2 mentions · belief +0 · "The cumulative link to the preseason rankings can be found [here]( https://www.r"National
  • National · n=2

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Lewis Bond

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Receiving yards (total)

1,010

yds

All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions

National rank #19 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 97th

Why it matters

#19 of 531 All FBS WRs in receiving yards — 1,010 yards on 89 receptions.

Vs cohort

This player 1,010 (97th)

HIGH · n=89 cohort 531

  • Also strong
  • Yards per reception#331 / 531
  • Receiving TDs#402 / 531

Signature Moment

Week 14 at Syracuse — 171 receiving_yards_total

Result W 34-12

The week the volume broke through — put up 171 yds at Syracuse.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 12g
1,010Rec yards
89Receptions
1Rec TDs
Per game
84.2Rec yards
7Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
1,094Rec yards
96Receptions
1Rec TDs

✓ Hit 700-yard receiver · finished with 1,010.

✓ Hit 1,000-yard receiver · finished with 1,010.

✓ Hit 60-catch season · finished with 89.

✓ Hit 80-catch season · finished with 89.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 1): needs 7/game over remaining 1.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 1): needs 9/game over remaining 1.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Lewis Bond's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Boston College, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #2553 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 14.3% Overall usage share
Profile quirk All-purpose load The card should explain why this profile stands out

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 89 1 rec TD | #5/1110 (100th pct)
Receiving yards 1,010 11.3 per catch | #20/1107 (98th pct)
Scrimmage yards 1,013 Total offensive yardage | #20/1107 (98th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Target magnet against FBS receiving peers.

Target magnet

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
89 100th
YDS
1,010 98th
YPR
11.3 45th
TD
1 64th

Rushing

CAR
4 74th
YDS
3 26th
YPC
0.8 19th
TD
0 81st

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 66-10vs Fordham1113812.5032138-yard receiving day
Wk 2L 40-42@ Michigan State11908.2019
Wk 3L 20-30@ Stanford7476.7011
Wk 5L 24-28vs California77711.0016
Wk 6L 7-48@ Pittsburgh2147.009
Wk 7L 10-41vs Clemson77010.0017
Wk 8L 23-38vs UConn56913.8027
Wk 9L 24-38@ Louisville6427.0110
Wk 10L 10-25vs Notre Dame89211.5022
Wk 11L 13-45vs SMU99410.4022
Wk 12L 34-36vs Georgia Tech810613.3032
Wk 14W 34-12@ Syracuse817121.4054Season-high 171 yds
Total89101011.1154
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021Boston College6-6HC: Jeff Hafley · Run-heavy
2022Boston College3-9HC: Jeff Hafley · Pass-leaning
2023Boston College7-6HC: Jeff Hafley · Run-leaning
2025Boston College2-10HC: Bill O'Brien · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Boston College891,01011.31--
2023Boston College5264612.47--
2022Boston College55110.20--
2021Boston College166.00--
Career4 loaded seasons1471,71311.78--
SeasonTeam
2025Boston College43------
2023Boston College127267--
2022Boston College----------
2021Boston College----------
Career4 loaded seasons557267--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 14.3% 23.5% pass-game share | #38/1137 (97th pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 1 Across offense and returns | #396/1111 (64th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 89 #5/1110 100th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 1,010 #20/1107 98th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 1 #396/1111 64th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 11.3 #609/1106 45th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 23.5% #38/1137 97th pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing LONG 7 #212/346 39th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Rushing Carries 4 #108/407 74th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing yards 3 #293/397 26th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Yards / carry 0.8 #320/393 19th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Rushing Rush TD 0 #81/411 81st pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 54 #228/1105 79th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 21.8% #9/1137 99th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 19.9% #9/1137 99th pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Role share 14.3% #15/1137 99th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 13.0% #35/1137 97th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 12.4% #35/1137 97th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 11.1% #45/1137 96th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 1.9% #108/1137 91st pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR
Ball Security Fumbles lost 1 #131/302 57th pct Turnoversvs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home7g7.992.311.80.0
Road5g6.872.810.10.2

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins2g9.515416.90.0
Losses10g7.070.19.90.1

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-76g7.572.79.20.0
Weeks 8+6g7.395.712.90.2

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

57Solid starter
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: receptions (99th). Strength: rec yards (96th). Concern: rec tds (23rd).

Receptions#5 / 558 · 99th pct
89rece
Rec yards#20 / 558 · 97th pct
1010rece
Long catch#202 / 558 · 63rd pct
54rece
Rush TDs#67 / 287 · 39th pct
0rush
Fumbles lost#86 / 218 · 36th pct
1fumb
Yards / catch#381 / 558 · 32nd pct
11.3rece
Rush yards#212 / 287 · 25th pct
3rush
Rec TDs#373 / 558 · 24th pct
1rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Lewis BondBoston CollegeChauncy CobbArkansas State· 88% simSean WilsonDelaware· 84% simTrent WalkerOregon State· 82% sim
Receptions
99
Bond
98
Cobb
94
Wilson
95
Walker
Rec yards
97
Bond
87
Cobb
91
Wilson
89
Walker
Long catch
63
Bond
58
Cobb
58
Wilson
39
Walker
Rush TDs
39
Bond
39
Cobb
Fumbles lost
36
Bond
6
Cobb
36
Wilson
6
Walker
Yards / catch
32
Bond
25
Cobb
49
Wilson
40
Walker
Rush yards
25
Bond
12
Cobb
Rec TDs
24
Bond
24
Cobb
57
Wilson
42
Walker

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Slot Technician

Runs precise routes in tight quarters. Volume player who keeps chains moving.

WR

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Hank Beatty’s 2025 season.

Hank Beatty

79%match

Illinois · 2025

All-Big Ten
#2

Jarrin Pierce

Middle Tennessee · 2020

69%
#3

Sean Atkins

South Florida · 2023

All-AAC
72%
#4

Xavier Restrepo

Miami · 2023

72%
#5

Demarcus Lacey

Marshall · 2025

70%

Matches Hank on

Yards / reception
Weight
TD rate

Differs from Hank on

Reception volume (higher)

Through 3 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Antwan Davis’s path through Ball State.

Antwan Davis

100%match

Ball State · 2020

#2

Neno Lemay

Nicholls · 2023

98%
#3

Kobe Drake

Memphis · 2024

96%
#4

DeAree Rogers

Northern Illinois · 2025

94%
#5

Max Tomczak

Youngstown State · 2025

93%

Matches Antwan on

Yards per reception

As a graduate, his production profile tracks closest to Daniel Jackson's graduate season at Minnesota (2024).

Daniel Jackson

68%match

Minnesota · 2024

All-Big Ten
#2

Keelan Marion

Miami · 2025

All-Big 12
61%
#3

Giles Jackson

Washington · 2024

57%
#4

A.J. Henning

Northwestern · 2024

56%
#5

Tez Johnson

Oregon · 2024

All-Big TenNFL Rd 7
53%

Matches Daniel on

Height
Total EPA (college ability)

Differs from Daniel on

EPA / play (adj) (lower)
Reception volume (higher)
TD rate (lower)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Bill O'Brien

Pass share

54.8%

454 pass / 374 run

Plays / game

69.0

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

10.9%

349 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025

2 coaches
2021
Jeff Hafley
Boston College
2022
Jeff Hafley
Boston College
2023
Jeff Hafley
Boston College
2025
Bill O'Brien
Boston College
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Jeff Hafley → Bill O'Brien. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownChicago, IL
Height5'11"
Weight190 lb
Class4
PositionWR
Jersey11

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Boston College WR4 #2553 #2368 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | ACC
2023 Boston College WR4 #614 #838 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | ACC
2022 Boston College WR4 #3302 #3711 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | ACC
2021 Boston College WR4 #2896 #2722 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | ACC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Boston College ACC WR 4 No. 11 | 5-11 | 190 lb | Chicago, IL
2024 Boston College ACC WR 4 No. 11 | 5-11 | 190 lb | Chicago, IL
2023 Boston College ACC WR 4 No. 11 | 5-11 | 190 lb | Chicago, IL
2022 Boston College ACC WR 4 No. 11 | 5-11 | 190 lb | Chicago, IL
2021 Boston College ACC WR 4 No. 11 | 5-11 | 190 lb | Chicago, IL