CFB Zeitgeist Score
41
Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by rec tds at the 80th percentile.
Lawson Luckie
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
158 REC YDS · 15 REC · 4 REC TD
2026 Outlook
Returning to Georgia for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Tight end · Georgia
Returning around him
- 37% of 2024 offensive production back (Moderate turnover)
- 8 Georgia players drafted to NFL
- Transfer portal: -7 net (9 in / 16 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Georgia · Last season: 12-2 (AP #2) · Talent rank #1 · 2026 recruiting class #2
TE · GEORGIA · SEC
Lawson Luckie
- 3
- #7
- 6-4 | 240 lb
- Norcross, GA
Heisman Heat
#318
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP TE AWARD
Mackey
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · receiving yards
2023–2025+1656%
Up 1656% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★★
CFB
College
Georgia
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 4-star | 0.9361 | No. 153 recruit | HighSchool | Georgia |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★★☆
to Georgia
Composite
0.9361
#153 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Lawson Luckie
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
62
Mixed Sentiment
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- Own fans · n=4
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Lawson Luckie
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the receiving totals stand
Through 8g
158Rec yards
15Receptions
4Rec TDs
Per game
19.8Rec yards
2Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
256.8Rec yards
24Receptions
6Rec TDs
To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 158): needs 108.4/game over remaining 5.
To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 158): needs 168.4/game over remaining 5.
To hit 60-catch season (currently 15): needs 9/game over remaining 5.
To hit 80-catch season (currently 15): needs 13/game over remaining 5.
To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 4): needs 0.8/game over remaining 5.
To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 4): needs 1.2/game over remaining 5.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Lawson Luckie's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Georgia, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
TE season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Receiving
REC
15 71st
YDS
158 71st
YPR
10.5 59th
TD
4 95th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 8 games
| Wk | Opp | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 45-7vs Marshall | 1 | 6 | 6.0 | 0 | 6 | |
| Wk 3 | W 44-41@ Tennessee | 3 | 25 | 8.3 | 0 | 16 | |
| Wk 7 | W 20-10@ Auburn | 1 | 7 | 7.0 | 0 | 7 | |
| Wk 8 | W 43-35vs Ole Miss | 5 | 43 | 8.6 | 3 | 13 | Season-high 43 yds |
| Wk 12 | W 35-10vs Texas | 1 | 6 | 6.0 | 1 | 6 | |
| Wk 13 | W 35-3vs Charlotte | 2 | 33 | 16.5 | 0 | 29 | |
| Wk 15 | W 28-7@ Alabama | 1 | 18 | 18.0 | 0 | 18 | |
| Bowl | L 34-39vs Ole Miss | 1 | 20 | 20.0 | 0 | 16 | |
| Total | 15 | 158 | 11.3 | 4 | 29 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2023Georgia13-1HC: Kirby Smart · Balanced
2024Georgia11-3HC: Kirby Smart · Pass-leaning
2025Georgia12-2HC: Kirby Smart · Run-leaning
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
The tight end's share of the passing offense, which helps distinguish a featured receiving tight end from a secondary option.
A blended usage view that shows how often the offense flows through the tight end compared with other same-level peers.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving | Receptions | 15 | #141/475 | 71st pct | Volumevs FBS TE |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 158 | #141/475 | 71st pct | Volumevs FBS TE |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 4 | #27/475 | 95th pct | Scoringvs FBS TE |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 10.5 | #196/475 | 59th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS TE |
| Usage | Pass share | 8.9% | #118/468 | 75th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS TE |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 29 | #145/475 | 70th pct | Metricvs FBS TE |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 4.6% | #99/468 | 79th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS TE |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 4.3% | #97/468 | 79th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS TE |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 4.1% | #185/468 | 61st pct | Money-down loadvs FBS TE |
| Usage | Role share | 4.0% | #127/468 | 73rd pct | Share of team offensevs FBS TE |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 3.3% | #253/468 | 46th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS TE |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 2.9% | #268/468 | 43rd pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS TE |
| Usage | Rush share | 0.0% | #58/468 | 88th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS TE |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
The Mackey award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 8 games
Home vs Road
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home5g | 2.0 | 21.6 | 11.4 | 0.8 |
| Road3g | 1.7 | 16.7 | 11.1 | 0.0 |
Win vs Loss
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins7g | 2.0 | 19.7 | 10.1 | 0.6 |
| Losses1g | 1.0 | 20.0 | 20.0 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-74g | 1.5 | 14.5 | 10.3 | 0.0 |
| Weeks 8+4g | 2.2 | 25.0 | 12.3 | 1.0 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the TE cohort
41Mid-pack
Elite: rec tds (80th). Concern: receptions (17th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · TE · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Lawson LuckieGeorgiaRichie AndersonFresno State· 68% simBrett NorfleetMissouri· 67% simLuke LindenmeyerNebraska· 66% sim
Rec TDs
Yards / catch
Long catch
Rec yards
Receptions
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Complete TE
Dual-threat: blocks when needed, catches when needed. Coveted on both sides.
TE
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Ethan Conner’s 2023 season.
Ethan Conner
75%match
#2
Seth Green
72%
#3
Marshall Lang
70%
#4
Sage Ennis
69%
#5
Will Wallace
69%
Matches Ethan on
Weight
TD rate
EPA / play (adj)
Differs from Ethan on
Yards / reception (lower)
Class year (lower)
Not enough data yet for this comparison.
As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Jacob Jenkins's junior season at Liberty (2024).
Jacob Jenkins
67%match
All-Sun Belt
#2
Jake Bruno
64%
#3
Nicky Dalmolin
64%
#4
Trent Pennix
60%
#5
Mata'ava Ta'ase
60%
Matches Jacob on
Height
Yards / reception
EPA / play (adj)
Differs from Jacob on
Class year (lower)
TD rate (higher)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Kirby Smart
Pass share
42.5%
417 pass / 565 run
Plays / game
70.1
14 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
6.2%
290 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-leaning.
Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025
1 coach2023
Kirby Smart
Georgia
2024
Kirby Smart
Georgia
2025
Kirby Smart
Georgia
Played his entire career under Kirby Smart.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownNorcross, GA
Height6'4"
Weight240 lb
Class3
PositionTE
Jersey7
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamGeorgia
ConferenceSEC
Joined2025
Career arc3 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.