cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Larry Simmons /Utah

Larry Simmons

WR · Utah · Jr · #12

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

280 REC YDS · 15 REC · 6 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Utah for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Utah for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Wide receiver · Utah

Returning around him

  • 14% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
  • 3 Utah players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -3 net (17 in / 20 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Utah · Last season: 11-2 (AP #15) · Talent rank #44 · 2026 recruiting class #40

WR · UTAH · BIG 12

Larry Simmons

  • 3
  • #12
  • 6-1 | 190 lb
  • Moss Point, MS

CFB Zeitgeist Score

54

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by rec tds at the 87th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#5338

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#573 national
CFB
College
Utah
2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class3
Jersey12
Measurements6-1 | 190 lb
HometownMoss Point, MS
Primary teamUtah

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 573 recruit
Composite rating 0.8796 HighSchool
Signed with -- 2022
Origin Moss Point Moss Point, MS, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 3-star | 0.8796 No. 573 recruit | HighSchool

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 2 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Utah 2025
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Apr 23, 2025
Season Move Context
2025 Southern Miss -> Utah 3-star | 0.8800 | Immediate
2024 Ole Miss -> Southern Miss 3-star | 0.8300 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#5338Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#6032Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to —

Composite

0.8796

#573 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Larry Simmons

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

50

Mixed Sentiment

Sample 1 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 1 mentions · belief +0 · "Utah and BYU’s rivalry reaches new heights as Big 12 quarterback supremacy is up"Own fansNational: 2 mentions · belief +0 · "Utah gets a 20-yard TD pass from Devon Dampier to Larry Simmons. 47-44 K-State,"National
  • Own fans · n=1
  • National · n=2

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Larry Simmons

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 9g
280Rec yards
15Receptions
6Rec TDs
Per game
31.1Rec yards
2Receptions
1Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
404.4Rec yards
22Receptions
9Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 280): needs 105/game over remaining 4.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 280): needs 180/game over remaining 4.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 15): needs 11.2/game over remaining 4.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 15): needs 16.2/game over remaining 4.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 6): needs 0.5/game over remaining 4.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 6): needs 1/game over remaining 4.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Larry Simmons's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Utah, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #5338 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 4.2% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 2 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 15 6 rec TD | #484/1110 (56th pct)
Receiving yards 280 18.7 per catch | #370/1107 (67th pct)
Scrimmage yards 288 Total offensive yardage | #370/1107 (67th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Big-play receiver against FBS receiving peers.

Big-play receiver

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
15 56th
YDS
280 67th
YPR
18.7 91st
TD
6 95th

Rushing

CAR
1 35th
YDS
8 45th
YPC
8.0 81st
TD
0 81st

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 9 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 3W 31-6@ Wyoming188.018
Wk 5W 48-14@ West Virginia24723.5041
Wk 7W 42-10vs Arizona State
Wk 8L 21-24@ BYU22613.0124
Wk 9W 53-7vs Colorado23919.5120
Wk 10W 45-14vs Cincinnati
Wk 13W 51-47vs Kansas State45413.5121
Wk 14W 31-21@ Kansas39732.3248Season-high 97 yds
BowlW 44-22vs Nebraska199.009
Total1528017.0648
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2025Utah11-2HC: Kyle Whittingham · Run-heavy
SeasonTeam
2025Utah1528018.76--
Career1 loaded season1528018.76--
SeasonTeam
2025Utah18------
Career1 loaded season18------
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 4.2% 9.6% pass-game share | #504/1137 (56th pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 6 Across offense and returns | #56/1111 (95th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 15 #484/1110 56th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 280 #370/1107 67th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 6 #56/1111 95th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 18.7 #96/1106 91st pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 9.6% #504/1137 56th pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing LONG 8 #198/346 43rd pct Metricvs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing yards 8 #220/397 45th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Yards / carry 8.0 #76/393 81st pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Rushing Carries 1 #264/407 35th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Rush TD 0 #81/411 81st pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 48 #298/1105 73rd pct Metricvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 5.8% #617/1137 46th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 4.7% #665/1137 42nd pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 4.6% #563/1137 51st pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Role share 4.2% #582/1137 49th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 3.7% #595/1137 48th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 3.6% #582/1137 49th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.3% #332/1137 71st pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 9 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home5g1.420.414.00.4
Road4g2.044.519.21.0

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins8g1.631.817.60.6
Losses1g2.026.013.01.0

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-74g1.016.013.50.2
Weeks 8+5g2.243.219.61.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

54Mid-pack
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: yards / catch (96th). Strength: rec tds (86th). Concern: receptions (12th).

Yards / catch#20 / 558 · 97th pct
18.7rece
Rec TDs#56 / 558 · 87th pct
6rece
Long catch#260 / 558 · 52nd pct
48rece
Rush yards#165 / 287 · 41st pct
8rush
Rush TDs#67 / 287 · 39th pct
0rush
Rec yards#370 / 558 · 34th pct
280rece
Receptions#484 / 558 · 12th pct
15rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Larry SimmonsUtahHarrison Wallace IIIOle Miss· 60% simAmare ThomasHouston· 58% simJordan HudsonSMU· 58% sim
Yards / catch
97
Simmons
78
III
70
Thomas
46
Hudson
Rec TDs
87
Simmons
68
III
99
Thomas
87
Hudson
Long catch
52
Simmons
65
III
77
Thomas
84
Hudson
Rush yards
41
Simmons
20
III
44
Thomas
35
Hudson
Rush TDs
39
Simmons
39
III
39
Thomas
39
Hudson
Rec yards
34
Simmons
94
III
95
Thomas
86
Hudson
Receptions
12
Simmons
90
III
95
Thomas
90
Hudson

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Deep Threat

Stretches the field vertically. Every snap is a potential big play.

WR

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Corey Rucker’s 2020 season.

Corey Rucker

32%match

Arkansas State · 2020

#2

Kentron Poitier

Florida State · 2022

42%
#3

Andrel Anthony Jr.

Michigan · 2021

27%
#4

Jaden Greathouse

Notre Dame · 2023

40%
#5

Tyler Harrell

Louisville · 2021

36%

Matches Corey on

Height

Differs from Corey on

TD rate (higher)
Weight (lower)
Yards / reception (lower)

Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Kahtero Summers’s path through Rhode Island.

Kahtero Summers

99%match

Rhode Island · 2023

#2

Nick Devereaux

Eastern Michigan · 2025

All-MAC
99%
#3

Jakobie Keeney-James

Massachusetts · 2024

95%
#4

Brady Boyd

Utah State · 2025

93%
#5

August Pitre III

Rice · 2021

92%

Matches Kahtero on

Yards per reception

As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to JaVonta Payton's sophomore season at Tennessee (2021).

JaVonta Payton

38%match

Tennessee · 2021

#2

Ashton Bethel-Roman

Texas A&M · 2025

34%
#3

Wondame Davis Jr.

UTEP · 2025

34%
#4

C.J. Riley

NC State · 2021

31%
#5

Joey Beljan

Western Kentucky · 2021

29%

Differs from JaVonta on

Yards / reception (higher)
Class year (lower)
TD rate (higher)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Kyle Whittingham

Pass share

39.8%

371 pass / 562 run

Plays / game

71.8

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

4.2%

289 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-heavy.

Coaching Lineage · 2025

1 coach
2025
Kyle Whittingham
Utah

Played his entire career under Kyle Whittingham.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownMoss Point, MS
Height6'1"
Weight190 lb
Class3
PositionWR
Jersey12

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Southern Miss WR3 #5338 #6032 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Sun Belt
2023 Ole Miss WR3 #2565 #2100 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | SEC
2022 Ole Miss WR3 #3047 #2752 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | SEC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Utah Big 12 WR 3 No. 12 | 6-1 | 190 lb | Moss Point, MS
2024 Southern Miss Sun Belt WR 3 No. 12 | 6-1 | 190 lb | Moss Point, MS
2023 Ole Miss SEC WR 3 No. 12 | 6-1 | 190 lb | Moss Point, MS
2022 Ole Miss SEC WR 3 No. 12 | 6-1 | 190 lb | Moss Point, MS