cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Landon Sims /Hawai'i

Landon Sims

RB · Hawai'i · Sr · #30

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

559 RUSH YDS · 3 RUSH TD · 122 CARRIES

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Hawai'i for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Hawai'i for 2026

Updated May 27

2026 Depth chart

Returning starter

Running back · Hawai'i

Returning around him

  • 46% of 2024 offensive production back (Moderate turnover)
  • Transfer portal: +7 net (16 in / 9 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Hawai'i · Last season: 9-4 · Talent rank #120 · 2026 recruiting class #124

RB · HAWAI'I · MOUNTAIN WEST

Landon Sims

  • 4
  • #30
  • 6-2 | 220 lb
  • Gig Harbor, WA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

55

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by rush yards at the 61st percentile.

Heisman Heat

#3563

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · rushing yards

2023–2025
2552023
5592025

+119%

Up 119% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
Hawai'i
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class4
Jersey30
Measurements6-2 | 220 lb
HometownGig Harbor, WA
Primary teamHawai'i

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#3563Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#3704Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

Achievements

  • Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in rushing yards (559).

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Landon Sims

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Landon Sims

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Receiving TDs

2

count

All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions

National rank #302 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 43rd

Why it matters

#302 of 531 All FBS WRs in receiving TDs — 2 TDs on 37 receptions.

Vs cohort

This player 2 (43th)

HIGH · n=37 cohort 531

  • Also strong
  • Receiving yards (total)#422 / 531
  • Yards per reception#512 / 531

Signature Moment

Week 10 at San José State — 1 receiving_tds

Result L 38-45

The week the volume broke through — stacked 1 td at San José State.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the rushing totals stand

final
Through 13g
559Rush yards
122Carries
3Rush TDs
Per game
43Rush yards
9Carries
0Rush TDs
Final
559Rush yards
122Carries
3Rush TDs

Why this is more than a rushing profile

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Landon Sims is not a one-lane back. The profile is interesting because the workload spills beyond pure rushing volume: 559 rushing yards, 37 catches, and 0 return yards for Hawai'i. That kind of all-purpose footprint gives the card a much richer story than a basic carry total.

Current place #3563 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 17.9% Overall usage share
Profile quirk All-purpose load The card should explain why this profile stands out

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 831 559 rush | 272 rec | #135/735 (82nd pct)
Rush TD 3 122 carries | #204/739 (73rd pct)
Yards/carry 4.6 Per-rush efficiency | #364/735 (51st pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Passing-game back against FBS RB peers.

Passing-game back

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
122 85th
YDS
559 82nd
YPC
4.6 51st
TD
3 73rd

Receiving

REC
37 99th
YDS
272 96th
YPR
7.4 57th
TD
2 97th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 13 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCARYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 23-20vs Stanford7121.705
Wk 1L 6-40@ Arizona9414.609
Wk 2W 37-20vs Sam Houston14604.3019
Wk 3W 23-3vs Portland State9414.6013
Wk 4L 21-23vs Fresno State7304.3012
Wk 5W 44-35@ Air Force13574.4115
Wk 7W 44-26vs Utah State10828.2143Season-high 82 yds
Wk 8W 31-19@ Colorado State12594.9013
Wk 10L 38-45@ San José State13574.4112
Wk 11W 38-6vs San Diego State10484.8019
Wk 13L 10-38@ UNLV7263.708
Wk 14W 27-7vs Wyoming2105.008
BowlW 35-31vs California9364.009
Total1225594.5343
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Hawai'i5-8HC: Timmy Chang · Pass-heavy
2025Hawai'i9-4HC: Timmy Chang · Pass-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Hawai'i1225594.63--
2023Hawai'i632554.01--
Career2 loaded seasons1858144.44--
SeasonTeam
2025Hawai'i372727.42--
2023Hawai'i141067.60--
Career2 loaded seasons513787.42--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work 37 272 rec yds | #9/552 (99th pct)
Usage 17.9% 35.3% rush share | #116/738 (84th pct)
Rushing WEPA +0.03 Opponent-adjusted rush value | #325/362 (10th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing yards 559 #135/735 82nd pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rush TD 3 #204/739 73rd pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing Yards / carry 4.6 #364/735 51st pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receptions 37 #9/552 99th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving yards 272 #21/548 96th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.03 #325/362 10th pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 116 weighted playsvs FBS RB
Usage Role share 17.9% #116/738 84th pct Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 122 #111/739 85th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rushing LONG 43 #211/733 71st pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving LONG 28 #138/540 75th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Yards / catch 7.4 #237/548 57th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving TD 2 #20/552 97th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Usage Rush share 35.3% #88/738 88th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage 1st-down usage 22.0% #107/738 86th pct Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Standard-down usage 20.0% #128/738 83rd pct Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage 2nd-down usage 18.5% #117/738 84th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Passing-down usage 13.7% #95/738 87th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage 3rd-down usage 9.1% #232/738 69th pct Money-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Pass share 7.6% #66/738 91st pct Air-game usagevs FBS RB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 2 #205/256 20th pct Turnoversvs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 13 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Home8g39.94.60.1
Road5g48.04.40.4

Win vs Loss

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Wins9g45.04.70.2
Losses4g38.54.20.2

First half vs Second half

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Weeks 1-78g44.94.50.2
Weeks 8+5g40.04.60.2

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort

55Solid starter
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: receptions (96th). Strength: rec yards (94th). Concern: fumbles lost (13th).

Receptions#9 / 338 · 97th pct
37rece
Rec yards#20 / 338 · 94th pct
272rece
Carries#111 / 349 · 68th pct
122rush
Rush yards#135 / 349 · 61st pct
559rush
Long run#184 / 349 · 46th pct
43rush
Rush TDs#200 / 349 · 38th pct
3rush
Yards / carry#213 / 349 · 37th pct
4.6rush
Fumbles lost#154 / 201 · 14th pct
2fumb

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

wepa_rushing0.03Below (<p25) (n=178)

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Landon SimsHawai'iRashod DubinionApp State· 85% simAl-Jay HendersonBuffalo· 82% simAdam RandallClemson· 79% sim
Receptions
97
Sims
86
Dubinion
85
Henderson
95
Randall
Rec yards
94
Sims
77
Dubinion
79
Henderson
92
Randall
Carries
68
Sims
87
Dubinion
90
Henderson
86
Randall
Rush yards
61
Sims
84
Dubinion
79
Henderson
82
Randall
Long run
46
Sims
39
Dubinion
43
Henderson
51
Randall
Rush TDs
38
Sims
50
Dubinion
72
Henderson
89
Randall
Yards / carry
37
Sims
53
Dubinion
18
Henderson
45
Randall
Fumbles lost
14
Sims
14
Dubinion
14
Henderson
2
Randall

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Workhorse

Built to take 20+ carries per game. Volume is the value.

RB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to TJ Harden’s 2024 season.

TJ Harden

77%match

UCLA · 2024

#2

Ari Broussard

Rice · 2021

70%
#3

Sam Scott

Wyoming · 2023

70%
#4

Dylan Carson

Air Force · 2025

66%
#5

Marcus Major

Minnesota · 2024

67%

Matches TJ on

Weight
Receiving share
Rush TD rate

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to TJ Harden's junior season at UCLA (2024).

TJ Harden

84%match

UCLA · 2024

#2

Tai Lavatai

Navy · 2023

74%
#3

Dylan Carson

Air Force · 2025

74%
#4

Jalen Mayden

San Diego State · 2023

71%
#5

Owen Burk

Air Force · 2023

71%

Matches TJ on

Class year
Receiving share
Yards / carry

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Timmy Chang

Pass share

60.2%

540 pass / 357 run

Plays / game

69.0

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.8%

427 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Pass-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

1 coach
2023
Timmy Chang
Hawai'i
2025
Timmy Chang
Hawai'i

Played his entire career under Timmy Chang.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownGig Harbor, WA
Height6'2"
Weight220 lb
Class4
PositionRB
Jersey30

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Hawai'i RB4 #3563 #3704 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Mountain West
2023 Hawai'i RB4 #2241 #2869 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Mountain West
2022 Hawai'i RB4 #4460 #4914 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Mountain West
2021 Hawai'i RB4 #4053 #4150 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Mountain West

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Hawai'i Mountain West RB 4 No. 30 | 6-2 | 220 lb | Gig Harbor, WA
2024 Hawai'i Mountain West RB 4 No. 30 | 6-2 | 220 lb | Gig Harbor, WA
2023 Hawai'i Mountain West RB 4 No. 30 | 6-2 | 220 lb | Gig Harbor, WA
2022 Hawai'i Mountain West RB 4 No. 30 | 6-2 | 220 lb | Gig Harbor, WA
2021 Hawai'i Mountain West RB 4 No. 30 | 6-2 | 220 lb | Gig Harbor, WA