cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Lander Barton /Utah

Lander Barton

LB · Utah · Sr · #8

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

51 TACKLES · 1.5 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Utah for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Utah for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Linebacker · Utah

Returning around him

  • 14% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
  • 3 Utah players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -3 net (17 in / 20 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Utah · Last season: 11-2 (AP #15) · Talent rank #44 · 2026 recruiting class #40

LB · UTAH · BIG 12

Lander Barton

  • 4
  • #8
  • 6-5 | 236 lb
  • Cottonwood Heights, UT

CFB Zeitgeist Score

61

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 74th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#5747

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP LB AWARD

Butkus

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#96 national
CFB
College
Utah
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionLB
Class4
Jersey8
Measurements6-5 | 236 lb
HometownCottonwood Heights, UT
Primary teamUtah

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 96 recruit
Composite rating 0.9587 HighSchool
Signed with Utah 2022
Origin Brighton Salt Lake City, UT, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 4-star | 0.9587 No. 96 recruit | HighSchool | Utah

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#5747Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#6639Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to Utah

Composite

0.9587

#96 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Lander Barton

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Lander Barton

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 12g
51Tackles
3.5Tackles for loss
1.5Sacks
Per game
4Tackles
0.3Tackles for loss
0.1Sacks
Projected (13g)
55Tackles
3.8Tackles for loss
1.6Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 51): needs 29/game over remaining 1.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 51): needs 49/game over remaining 1.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 1.5): needs 4.5/game over remaining 1.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 1.5): needs 8.5/game over remaining 1.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Lander Barton is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Utah's defense, with 1.5 sacks, 3.5 tackles for loss, and 1 interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #5747 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 96 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 51 23 solo | #579/4942 (88th pct)
TFL 3.5 Backfield disruption | #869/4972 (83rd pct)
Sacks 1.5 Pass-rush finish | #724/4972 (85th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender | High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defenderHigh-volume tackler

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
51 88th
SOLO
23 82nd
TFL
3.5 83rd
SACK
1.5 85th
QBH
2 66th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
1 43rd
INT
1 65th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 43-10@ UCLA720.00.00
Wk 2W 63-9vs Cal Poly110.00.00
Wk 3W 31-6@ Wyoming
Wk 4L 10-34vs Texas Tech310.50.00
Wk 5W 48-14@ West Virginia840.50.50Season-high 8 tackles
Wk 7W 42-10vs Arizona State600.00.00
Wk 8L 21-24@ BYU420.00.01
Wk 10W 45-14vs Cincinnati530.00.00
Wk 12W 55-28@ Baylor442.01.00
Wk 13W 51-47vs Kansas State530.50.010
Wk 14W 31-21@ Kansas420.00.00
BowlW 44-22vs Nebraska410.00.00
Total51233.51.511
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Utah10-4HC: Kyle Whittingham · Run-leaning
2023Utah8-5HC: Kyle Whittingham · Run-heavy
2024Utah5-7HC: Kyle Whittingham · Balanced
2025Utah11-2HC: Kyle Whittingham · Run-heavy
SeasonTeam
2025Utah51233.51.511--
2024Utah72385.02.042--
2023Utah34110.50.022--
2022Utah37215.54.51----
Career4 loaded seasons1949314.58.085--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT 1 0 pick-six TD | #308/869 (65th pct)
Pass breakups 1 Coverage disruption | #1241/2184 (43rd pct)
QB pressures 2 Quarterback hurries | #647/1878 (66th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 51 #579/4942 88th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 3.5 #869/4972 83rd pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 1.5 #724/4972 85th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Interceptions 1 #308/869 65th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 1 #1241/2184 43rd pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 2 #647/1878 66th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 23 #839/4584 82nd pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense Fumbles recovered 1 #103/736 86th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/773 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Butkus award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home6g4.00.20.00.0
Road6g4.50.40.20.2

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins10g4.40.30.10.0
Losses2g3.50.20.00.5

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-77g4.10.10.10.0
Weeks 8+5g4.40.50.20.2

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the LB cohort

61Solid starter
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: tackles (80th).

Tackles#579 / 2975 · 80th pct
51defe
Sacks#707 / 2975 · 74th pct
1.5defe
QB hurries#634 / 2975 · 72nd pct
2defe
Solo tackles#839 / 2975 · 71st pct
23defe
Tackles for loss#866 / 2975 · 69th pct
3.5defe
Passes defended#1191 / 2975 · 48th pct
1defe
Forced fumbles#36 / 687 · 47th pct
0fumb
Interceptions#304 / 817 · 31st pct
1inte

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · LB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Lander BartonUtahDaniel WingateMaryland· 85% simQuinton UrwilerNorthern Illinois· 84% simJaxton EckNew Mexico· 83% sim
Tackles
80
Barton
98
Wingate
100
Urwiler
100
Eck
Sacks
74
Barton
74
Wingate
74
Urwiler
74
Eck
QB hurries
72
Barton
72
Wingate
72
Urwiler
82
Eck
Solo tackles
71
Barton
99
Wingate
100
Urwiler
100
Eck
Tackles for loss
69
Barton
87
Wingate
91
Urwiler
87
Eck
Passes defended
48
Barton
48
Wingate
48
Urwiler
67
Eck
Forced fumbles
47
Barton
47
Eck
Interceptions
31
Barton
31
Wingate
31
Urwiler

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Balanced Linebacker

Solid in every phase without a signature dimension.

LB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Jack Dingle’s 2023 season.

Jack Dingle

79%match

Cincinnati · 2023

#2

Sonny Styles

Ohio State · 2023

NFL Rd 1 · Pk 7
79%
#3

Jack Dingle

Cincinnati · 2025

78%
#4

Cam Riley

Auburn · 2022

76%
#5

Quay Walker

Georgia · 2021

NFL Rd 1 · Pk 22
75%

Matches Jack on

Weight
Sack rate
TFL rate

Differs from Jack on

Height (higher)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Tyreem Powell's senior season at Rutgers (2024).

Tyreem Powell

83%match

Rutgers · 2024

#2

Niko Cooper

Western Kentucky · 2023

78%
#3

Jaden Keller

Virginia Tech · 2025

77%
#4

Brandon George

Pittsburgh · 2023

77%
#5

Jake Golday

Cincinnati · 2024

NFL Rd 2 · Pk 19
77%

Matches Tyreem on

TFL rate
Tackle volume
PD rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Kyle Whittingham

Pass share

39.8%

371 pass / 562 run

Plays / game

71.8

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

4.2%

289 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-heavy.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

1 coach
2022
Kyle Whittingham
Utah
2023
Kyle Whittingham
Utah
2024
Kyle Whittingham
Utah
2025
Kyle Whittingham
Utah

Played his entire career under Kyle Whittingham.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownCottonwood Heights, UT
Height6'5"
Weight236 lb
Class4
PositionLB
Jersey8

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Utah LB4 #5747 #6639 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big 12
2023 Utah LB4 #9386 #9278 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Pac-12
2022 Utah LB4 #3656 #3870 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Pac-12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Utah Big 12 LB 4 No. 8 | 6-5 | 236 lb | Cottonwood Heights, UT
2024 Utah Big 12 LB 4 No. 8 | 6-5 | 236 lb | Cottonwood Heights, UT
2023 Utah Pac-12 LB 4 No. 8 | 6-5 | 236 lb | Cottonwood Heights, UT
2022 Utah Pac-12 LB 4 No. 8 | 6-5 | 236 lb | Cottonwood Heights, UT