cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / La'Vell Wright /Western Kentucky

La'Vell Wright

RB · Western Kentucky · Sr · #11

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

471 RUSH YDS · 10 RUSH TD · 85 CARRIES

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Western Kentucky for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Western Kentucky for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Running back · Western Kentucky

Returning around him

  • 33% of 2024 offensive production back (Moderate turnover)
  • Transfer portal: -3 net (19 in / 22 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Western Kentucky · Last season: 9-4 · Talent rank #100 · 2026 recruiting class #96

RB · WESTERN KENTUCKY · CONFERENCE USA

La'Vell Wright

  • 4
  • #11
  • 6-0 | 222 lb
  • Louisville, KY

CFB Zeitgeist Score

58

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by rush tds at the 89th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#2331

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · rushing yards

2021–2025
1182021
1162022
4712025

+299%

Up 299% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#837 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2021–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class4
Jersey11
Measurements6-0 | 222 lb
HometownLouisville, KY
Primary teamWestern Kentucky

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 837 recruit
Composite rating 0.8630 HighSchool
Signed with -- 2021
Origin North Hardin Radcliff, KY, USA
Class Profile Context
2021 3-star | 0.8630 No. 837 recruit | HighSchool

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2023 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 19
Current nowcast#2331Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#2188Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to —

Composite

0.8630

#837 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on La'Vell Wright

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

50

Mixed Sentiment

Sample 1 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 1 mentions · belief +0 · "Wright, Hilltoppers Win At Missouri State To Move To 2-0 In CUSA Play &nbsp;&nbs"Own fans
  • Own fans · n=1

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about La'Vell Wright

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the rushing totals stand

final
Through 13g
471Rush yards
85Carries
10Rush TDs
Per game
36.2Rush yards
7Carries
1Rush TDs
Final
471Rush yards
85Carries
10Rush TDs

✓ Hit 10 rushing TDs · finished with 10.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

La'Vell Wright's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Western Kentucky, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #2331 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 10.5% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 0 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 559 471 rush | 88 rec | #174/735 (76th pct)
Rush TD 10 85 carries | #33/739 (96th pct)
Yards/carry 5.5 Per-rush efficiency | #192/735 (74th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Backfield contributor against FBS RB peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
85 74th
YDS
471 76th
YPC
5.5 74th
TD
10 96th

Receiving

REC
10 61st
YDS
88 66th
YPR
8.8 68th
TD
1 89th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 13 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCARYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 41-24vs Sam Houston6223.7112
Wk 1W 55-6vs North Alabama294.509
Wk 2L 21-45@ Toledo382.706
Wk 4W 31-16vs Nevada7476.7214
Wk 5W 27-22@ Missouri State10919.1217
Wk 6W 27-24@ Delaware9262.905
Wk 8L 6-25vs Florida International341.306
Wk 9W 28-27@ Louisiana Tech4-8-2.002
Wk 10W 35-16vs New Mexico State6447.3124
Wk 12W 42-26vs Middle Tennessee11847.6237
Wk 13L 10-13@ LSU5173.408
Wk 14L 34-37@ Jacksonville State141168.3239Season-high 116 yds
BowlW 27-16@ Southern Miss5112.206
Total854714.41039
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021Kentucky9-3HC: Mark Stoops · Run-leaning
2022Kentucky7-6HC: Mark Stoops · Run-leaning, slow tempo
2025Western Kentucky9-4HC: Tyson Helton · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Western Kentucky854715.510--
2022Kentucky381163.10--
2021Kentucky911813.11--
Career3 loaded seasons1327055.311--
SeasonTeam
2025Western Kentucky10888.81--
2022Kentucky6284.70--
2021Kentucky----------
Career3 loaded seasons161167.21--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work 10 88 rec yds | #217/552 (61st pct)
Usage 10.5% 21.8% rush share | #301/738 (59th pct)
Rushing WEPA +0.27 Opponent-adjusted rush value | #14/362 (96th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing yards 471 #174/735 76th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rush TD 10 #33/739 96th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing Yards / carry 5.5 #192/735 74th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receptions 10 #217/552 61st pct Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving yards 88 #190/548 66th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.27 #14/362 96th pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 87 weighted playsvs FBS RB
Usage Role share 10.5% #301/738 59th pct Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 85 #195/739 74th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rushing LONG 39 #240/733 67th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving LONG 22 #198/540 64th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Yards / catch 8.8 #175/548 68th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving TD 1 #60/552 89th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Usage Rush share 21.8% #230/738 69th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage Standard-down usage 12.2% #292/738 61st pct Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage 1st-down usage 11.2% #321/738 57th pct Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 2nd-down usage 10.4% #328/738 56th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 3rd-down usage 8.9% #246/738 67th pct Money-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Passing-down usage 7.0% #345/738 53rd pct Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage Pass share 2.3% #376/738 49th pct Air-game usagevs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 13 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Home6g35.05.21.0
Road7g37.33.80.6

Win vs Loss

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Wins9g36.24.70.9
Losses4g36.23.90.5

First half vs Second half

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Weeks 1-77g30.64.50.7
Weeks 8+6g42.84.30.8

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort

58Solid starter
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: rush tds (89th).

Rush TDs#33 / 349 · 89th pct
10rush
Yards / carry#98 / 349 · 71st pct
5.5rush
Rush yards#174 / 349 · 50th pct
471rush
Rec yards#171 / 338 · 49th pct
88rece
Carries#195 / 349 · 44th pct
85rush
Long run#211 / 349 · 39th pct
39rush
Receptions#198 / 338 · 39th pct
10rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2023

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

wepa_rushing0.27Elite (≥p90) (n=178)

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
La'Vell WrightWestern KentuckySire GainesBoise State· 79% simJeremiah CobbAuburn· 75% simKamari MoultonIowa· 75% sim
Rush TDs
89
Wright
84
Gaines
62
Cobb
62
Moulton
Yards / carry
71
Wright
53
Gaines
71
Cobb
62
Moulton
Rush yards
50
Wright
82
Gaines
88
Cobb
84
Moulton
Rec yards
49
Wright
41
Gaines
47
Cobb
53
Moulton
Carries
44
Wright
84
Gaines
88
Cobb
86
Moulton
Long run
39
Wright
51
Gaines
51
Cobb
33
Moulton
Receptions
39
Wright
45
Gaines
45
Cobb
63
Moulton

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Power Back

Short-yardage and goal-line specialist. Carries the load, owns the red zone.

RB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Kevin Perkins’s 2020 season.

Kevin Perkins

69%match

Southern Miss · 2020

#2

Joshua McCray

Illinois · 2024

61%
#3

Tyler Lavine

SMU · 2020

55%
#4

Noah Cain

LSU · 2022

60%
#5

Ja'Quinden Jackson

Arkansas · 2024

59%

Matches Kevin on

Yards / carry
Weight
Class year

Differs from Kevin on

Yards / reception (higher)
Rush TD rate (higher)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Isaac Guerendo's senior season at Louisville (2023).

Isaac Guerendo

70%match

Louisville · 2023

NFL Rd 4
#2

Samson Evans

Eastern Michigan · 2023

All-MAC
66%
#3

Dylan McDuffie

Kansas · 2023

All-MAC
60%
#4

Joshua McCray

Illinois · 2024

63%
#5

Alonza Barnett

James Madison · 2025

All-Sun Belt
59%

Matches Isaac on

Yards / carry
Height
Receiving share

Differs from Isaac on

Rush TD rate (higher)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Tyson Helton

Pass share

54.9%

492 pass / 404 run

Plays / game

68.9

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

5.5%

366 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025

1 coach
2021
Tyson Helton
Western Kentucky
2022
Tyson Helton
Western Kentucky
2025
Tyson Helton
Western Kentucky

Played his entire career under Tyson Helton.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownLouisville, KY
Height6'0"
Weight222 lb
Class4
PositionRB
Jersey11

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2023 Kentucky RB4 #2331 #2188 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | SEC
2022 Kentucky RB4 #1418 #1315 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | SEC
2021 Kentucky RB4 #987 #902 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | SEC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Western Kentucky Conference USA RB 4 No. 11 | 6-0 | 222 lb | Louisville, KY
2023 Kentucky SEC RB 4 No. 11 | 6-0 | 222 lb | Louisville, KY
2022 Kentucky SEC RB 4 No. 11 | 6-0 | 222 lb | Louisville, KY
2021 Kentucky SEC RB 4 No. 11 | 6-0 | 222 lb | Louisville, KY