CFB Zeitgeist Score
40
Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by pass tds at the 68th percentile.
Kyron Drones
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
1,919 PASS YDS · 17 PASS TD · 644 RUSH YDS
2026 Outlook
Returning to Virginia Tech for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Returning starter
Quarterback · Virginia Tech
Returning around him
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Virginia Tech · Last season: 3-9 · Talent rank #40 · 2026 recruiting class #39
QB · VIRGINIA TECH · ACC
CFB Zeitgeist Score
40
Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by pass tds at the 68th percentile.
Heisman Heat
#896
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP QB AWARD
Davey O'Brien
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterImpact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Development Trajectory · passing yards
2022–2025Up 776% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 4-star | 0.9087 | No. 263 recruit | HighSchool | Baylor |
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Baylor -> Virginia Tech | 3-star | 0.8800 | Immediate |
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Achievements
Selector Grid · 2025
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★★☆
to Baylor
Composite
0.9087
#263 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
70
Grounded Optimism
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Rival Radar
Only 1 rival mention(s) — below the 4-mention floor for a defensible read.
2025 Signature · 2025 season
+0.340
EPA
P4 + Notre Dame QBs, min 50 carries
Why it matters
#20 of 46 P4 + Notre Dame QBs among scrambling QBs by rushing weighted-EPA — +0.340 EPA per run on 137 carries.
Vs cohort
HIGH · n=137 cohort 46
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the passing totals stand
To hit 3,000-yard season (currently 1,919): needs 1,081/game over remaining 1.
To hit 4,000-yard season (currently 1,919): needs 2,081/game over remaining 1.
To hit 25 passing TDs (currently 17): needs 8/game over remaining 1.
To hit 30 passing TDs (currently 17): needs 13/game over remaining 1.
To hit 35 passing TDs (currently 17): needs 18/game over remaining 1.
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
The unusual part of Kyron Drones's case is that the production comes in two channels, not one. For Virginia Tech, he has 1,919 passing yards and 17 touchdown passes, but he also adds 644 rushing yards and 9 rushing scores. That kind of dual-threat load tends to create a more resilient Heisman case because the offense can tilt the game in multiple ways.
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
2025 season snapshot | final
30-second read
Steady volume | Dual-threat against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.
2025 season snapshot | final
Passing Efficiency
Passing Production
Rushing
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 12 games
| Wk | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA | QBR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | L 11-24@ South Carolina | 15/35 | 221 | 0 | 2 | 6.3 | 44.0 | |
| Wk 2 | L 20-44vs Vanderbilt | 17/29 | 134 | 1 | 0 | 4.6 | 62.7 | |
| Wk 3 | L 26-45vs Old Dominion | 26/39 | 266 | 3 | 1 | 6.8 | 32.6 | 3 TD passes |
| Wk 4 | W 38-6vs Wofford | 27/32 | 307 | 2 | 0 | 9.6 | 70.5 | Season-high 307 yds |
| Wk 5 | W 23-21@ NC State | 20/34 | 177 | 2 | 0 | 5.2 | 53.3 | |
| Wk 6 | L 23-30vs Wake Forest | 14/28 | 111 | 1 | 1 | 4.0 | 27.0 | |
| Wk 7 | L 20-35@ Georgia Tech | 13/21 | 181 | 2 | 1 | 8.6 | 67.7 | |
| Wk 9 | W 42-34vs California | 9/18 | 119 | 3 | 1 | 6.6 | 86.7 | 3 TD passes |
| Wk 10 | L 16-28vs Louisville | 11/24 | 76 | 1 | 0 | 3.2 | 45.0 | |
| Wk 12 | L 14-34@ Florida State | 10/18 | 125 | 1 | 1 | 6.9 | 61.5 | |
| Wk 13 | L 17-34vs Miami | 12/21 | 124 | 0 | 0 | 5.9 | 43.5 | |
| Wk 14 | L 7-27@ Virginia | 4/16 | 78 | 1 | 2 | 4.9 | 10.6 | |
| Total | 178/315 | 1919 | 17 | 9 | 6.1 | 50.4 |
Traditional history
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
| Season | Team | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Virginia Tech | 178 | 315 | 56.5% | 1,919 | 6.1 | 17 | 9 | 119.8 | -- | -- |
| 2023 | Virginia Tech | 166 | 285 | 58.2% | 2,084 | 7.3 | 17 | 3 | 137.2 | -- | -- |
| 2022 | Baylor | 14 | 23 | 60.9% | 219 | 9.5 | 1 | 1 | 146.5 | -- | -- |
| Career | 3 loaded seasons | 358 | 623 | 57.5% | 4,222 | 6.8 | 35 | 13 | 128.8 | -- | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Virginia Tech | 170 | 644 | 3.8 | 9 | -- |
| 2023 | Virginia Tech | 166 | 818 | 4.9 | 5 | -- |
| 2022 | Baylor | 8 | 49 | 6.1 | 2 | -- |
| Career | 3 loaded seasons | 344 | 1,511 | 4.4 | 16 | -- |
Advanced metrics second
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.
How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing | Passing yards | 1,919 | #97/382 | 75th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Pass TD | 17 | #57/407 | 86th pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completions | 178 | #91/383 | 77th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completion % | 56.5% | #266/383 | 31st pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Yards / attempt | 6.1 | #254/382 | 34th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 644 | #20/408 | 95th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Value | Passing WEPA | +0.22 | #130/200 | 36th pct | Opponent-adjusted passing value | 310 weighted playsvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Role share | 62.8% | #7/428 | 99th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Attempts | 315 | #75/407 | 82nd pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Interceptions | 9 | #359/407 | 12th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Carries | 170 | #11/408 | 98th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 33 | #99/391 | 75th pct | Metricvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 9 | #23/408 | 95th pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 3.8 | #153/407 | 63rd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Pass share | 97.5% | #5/428 | 99th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 83.8% | #3/428 | 100th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 77.9% | #10/428 | 98th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 61.9% | #15/428 | 97th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 55.3% | #12/428 | 97th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 50.7% | #29/428 | 93rd pct | Early-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Rush share | 33.8% | #9/428 | 98th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.34 | #28/140 | 81st pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 137 weighted playsvs FBS QB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 4 | #237/258 | 9th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 12 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home7g | 162 | 1.6 | 5.8 | 0.4 |
| Road5g | 156 | 1.2 | 6.4 | 1.2 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins3g | 201 | 2.3 | 7.1 | 0.3 |
| Losses9g | 146 | 1.1 | 5.7 | 0.9 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-77g | 200 | 1.6 | 6.4 | 0.7 |
| Weeks 8+5g | 104 | 1.2 | 5.5 | 0.8 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort
Elite: rush yards (89th). Strength: rush tds (86th). Concern: fumbles lost (8th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Pass Profile · Completion depth (PBP)
Where the throws are landing
Short
0–9 ydsMiddle
10–19 ydsDeep
20+ ydsOverall 58.8% completion on 204 attempts · 22 deep completions averaging 29.2 yds.
Advanced Savant · QB · 2024
Concerns: EPA / dropback.
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
Makes plays with feet when the pocket collapses. Efficiency still on the rise.
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Braylon Braxton’s 2022 season.
Braylon Braxton
Mark Gronowski
Brendan Sorsby
Grant Wilson
Lunch Winfield
Matches Braylon on
Differs from Braylon on
Through 4 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Logan Smothers’s path through Jacksonville State.
Logan Smothers
TJ Lateef
Lunch Winfield
Bryson Barnes
Jason Brown
Matches Logan on
As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Brennan Armstrong's senior season at NC State (2023).
Brennan Armstrong
Robby Ashford
Ashton Daniels
Emory Jones
Payton Thorne
Matches Brennan on
Differs from Brennan on
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Brent Pry
Pass share
42.0%
319 pass / 441 run
Plays / game
63.3
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
9.5%
296 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-leaning.
Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025
1 coachPlayed his entire career under Brent Pry.
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Virginia Tech | QB4 | #896 | #845 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | ACC |
| 2023 | Virginia Tech | QB4 | #72 | #104 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | ACC |
| 2022 | Baylor | QB4 | #309 | #318 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Big 12 |
| 2021 | Baylor | QB4 | #912 | #584 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Big 12 |
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Virginia Tech | ACC | QB | 4 | No. 1 | 6-2 | 235 lb | Pearland, TX |
| 2024 | Virginia Tech | ACC | QB | 4 | No. 1 | 6-2 | 235 lb | Pearland, TX |
| 2023 | Virginia Tech | ACC | QB | 4 | No. 1 | 6-2 | 235 lb | Pearland, TX |
| 2022 | Baylor | Big 12 | QB | 4 | No. 1 | 6-2 | 235 lb | Pearland, TX |
| 2021 | Baylor | Big 12 | QB | 4 | No. 1 | 6-2 | 235 lb | Pearland, TX |