cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Koy Moore /UNLV

Koy Moore

WR · UNLV · Sr · #5

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

120 REC YDS · 12 REC · 0 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to UNLV for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to UNLV for 2026

Updated May 27

2026 Depth chart

Returning starter

Wide receiver · UNLV

Returning around him

  • 15% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
  • Transfer portal: +0 net (15 in / 15 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

UNLV · Last season: 10-4 · Talent rank #51 · 2026 recruiting class #95

WR · UNLV · MOUNTAIN WEST

Koy Moore

  • 4
  • #5
  • 6-1 | 200 lb
  • Kenner, LA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

10

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by rush tds at the 39th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#3706

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R03 · Backup

Backup. On the two-deep, pushing for snaps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2021–2025
71.02021
3142022
24.02023
1202025

+69%

Up 69% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#286 national
CFB
College
3 teams
2021–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Heisman futures · live sportsbook odds

#3 in market ▲ from #5 · 4 books

+90010.0% implied▲ tightened from +1200

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class4
Jersey5
Measurements6-1 | 200 lb
HometownKenner, LA
Primary teamUNLV

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 286 recruit
Composite rating 0.9037 HighSchool
Signed with LSU 2020
Origin Archbishop Rummel Metairie, LA, USA
Class Profile Context
2020 4-star | 0.9037 No. 286 recruit | HighSchool | LSU

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 3 Programs changed on file
Latest destination UNLV 2025
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 15, 2025
Season Move Context
2025 Western Kentucky -> UNLV 3-star | 0.8500 | Immediate
2024 Auburn -> -- 3-star | Immediate
2022 LSU -> Auburn 3-star | 0.8700 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#3706Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#3557Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to LSU

Composite

0.9037

#286 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Koy Moore

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Koy Moore

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 7g
120Rec yards
12Receptions
0Rec TDs
Per game
17.1Rec yards
2Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
222.9Rec yards
22Receptions
0Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 120): needs 96.7/game over remaining 6.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 120): needs 146.7/game over remaining 6.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 12): needs 8/game over remaining 6.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 12): needs 11.3/game over remaining 6.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 0): needs 1.3/game over remaining 6.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 0): needs 1.7/game over remaining 6.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Koy Moore's story is about how role and output meet each other. For UNLV, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #3706 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 3.0% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 286 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 12 0 rec TD | #533/1110 (52nd pct)
Receiving yards 120 10.0 per catch | #587/1107 (47th pct)
Scrimmage yards 120 Total offensive yardage | #587/1107 (47th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
12 52nd
YDS
120 47th
YPR
10.0 33rd
TD
0 45th

Rushing

CAR
1 35th
TD
0 81st

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 7 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 4W 41-38@ Miami (OH)177.007
Wk 6W 31-17@ Wyoming11010.0010
Wk 7W 51-48vs Air Force22713.5022
Wk 8L 31-56@ Boise State3299.7013
Wk 10L 35-40vs New Mexico33712.3021Season-high 37 yds
Wk 13W 38-10vs Hawai'i188.008
Wk 14W 42-17@ Nevada122.002
Total121208.9022
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021LSU6-6HC: Ed Orgeron · Balanced
2022Auburn5-7HC: Cadillac Williams · Run-heavy
2023Auburn6-7HC: Hugh Freeze · Run-heavy
2025UNLV10-4HC: Dan Mullen · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025UNLV1212010.00--
2023Auburn3248.00--
2022Auburn2031415.71--
2021LSU57114.20--
Career4 loaded seasons4052913.21--
SeasonTeam
2025UNLV1--------
2023Auburn------36--
2022Auburn18------
2021LSU----------
Career4 loaded seasons28--36--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 3.0% 5.8% pass-game share | #791/1137 (31st pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 0 Across offense and returns | #615/1111 (45th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 12 #533/1110 52nd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 120 #587/1107 47th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 0 #615/1111 45th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 10.0 #746/1106 33rd pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 5.8% #791/1137 31st pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Rushing Carries 1 #264/407 35th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Rush TD 0 #81/411 81st pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 22 #722/1105 35th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 4.2% #791/1137 31st pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 3.2% #771/1137 32nd pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Role share 3.0% #767/1137 33rd pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 2.5% #774/1137 32nd pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 2.4% #865/1137 24th pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 2.3% #847/1137 26th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.4% #312/1137 73rd pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 7 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home3g2.024.011.30.0
Road4g1.512.07.20.0

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins5g1.210.88.10.0
Losses2g3.033.011.00.0

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-73g1.314.710.20.0
Weeks 8+4g2.019.08.00.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

10Below cohort
7 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: receptions (2nd).

Rush TDs#67 / 287 · 39th pct
0rush
Rush yards#233 / 287 · 18th pct
0rush
Yards / catch#462 / 558 · 17th pct
10.0rece
Rec TDs#482 / 558 · 7th pct
0rece
Long catch#524 / 558 · 6th pct
22rece
Rec yards#541 / 558 · 3rd pct
120rece
Receptions#533 / 558 · 2nd pct
12rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Koy MooreUNLVMichael Jackson IIIPurdue· 57% simJacquon GibsonMassachusetts· 48% simChauncy CobbArkansas State· 47% sim
Rush TDs
39
Moore
39
III
39
Gibson
39
Cobb
Rush yards
18
Moore
6
III
76
Gibson
12
Cobb
Yards / catch
17
Moore
9
III
15
Gibson
25
Cobb
Rec TDs
7
Moore
24
III
7
Gibson
24
Cobb
Long catch
6
Moore
16
III
56
Gibson
58
Cobb
Rec yards
3
Moore
70
III
74
Gibson
87
Cobb
Receptions
2
Moore
92
III
92
Gibson
98
Cobb

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Possession Receiver

Reliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive.

WR

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Porter Rooks’s 2023 season.

Porter Rooks

82%match

NC State · 2023

#2

Mark Walker

Navy · 2020

78%
#3

Billy Bowens

Boise State · 2021

82%
#4

Antonio Meeks

Louisville · 2025

80%
#5

Isaiah Spencer

Virginia Tech · 2025

80%

Matches Porter on

Yards / reception
Total EPA (college ability)
Recruiting rating

Through 4 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Donovan Faupel’s path through New Mexico State.

Donovan Faupel

97%match

New Mexico State · 2025

All-Conference USA
#2

Brett Buckman

UConn · 2024

96%
#3

Austin Upshaw

SMU · 2022

95%
#4

Elijah Steward

Lafayette · 2025

95%
#5

Derick Eugene

Long Island University · 2021

95%

Matches Donovan on

Height
Yards per reception
Weight

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Dan Mullen

Pass share

46.5%

423 pass / 487 run

Plays / game

65.0

14 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.8%

283 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025

3 coaches
2021
Marcus Arroyo
UNLV
2022
Marcus Arroyo
UNLV
2023
Barry Odom
UNLV
era →
2025
Dan Mullen
UNLV
era →

Played under 3 different head coaches: Marcus Arroyo, Barry Odom, and Dan Mullen. Multi-era developmental context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownKenner, LA
Height6'1"
Weight200 lb
Class4
PositionWR
Jersey5

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Western Kentucky WR4 #3706 #3557 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Conference USA
2023 Auburn WR4 #2697 #2707 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | SEC
2022 Auburn WR4 #1390 #1733 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | SEC
2021 LSU WR4 #1764 #1810 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | SEC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 UNLV Mountain West WR 4 No. 5 | 6-1 | 200 lb | Kenner, LA
2024 Western Kentucky Conference USA WR 4 No. 5 | 6-1 | 200 lb | Kenner, LA
2023 Auburn SEC WR 4 No. 5 | 6-1 | 200 lb | Kenner, LA
2022 Auburn SEC WR 4 No. 5 | 6-1 | 200 lb | Kenner, LA
2021 LSU SEC WR 4 No. 5 | 6-1 | 200 lb | Kenner, LA