cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Kole Wilson /Baylor

Kole Wilson

WR · Baylor · Sr · #19

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

591 REC YDS · 44 REC · 5 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Baylor for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Baylor for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Wide receiver · Baylor

Returning around him

  • 82% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
  • 2 Baylor players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -1 net (31 in / 32 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Baylor · Last season: 5-7 · Talent rank #35 · 2026 recruiting class #36

WR · BAYLOR · BIG 12

Kole Wilson

  • 4
  • #19
  • 5-9 | 171 lb
  • Katy, TX

CFB Zeitgeist Score

63

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by rec tds at the 78th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#4243

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2023–2025
7472023
5912025

-21%

Sharp dropoff (-21%) — career inflection point.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
2 teams
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class4
Jersey19
Measurements5-9 | 171 lb
HometownKaty, TX
Primary teamBaylor

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 2 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Baylor 2025
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Dec 17, 2024
Season Move Context
2025 Texas State -> Baylor 3-star | 0.8500 | Immediate
2023 Incarnate Word -> Texas State 2-star | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#4243Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#4240Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Kole Wilson

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Kole Wilson

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Yards per reception

13.4

yds

All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions

National rank #199 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 63rd

Why it matters

#199 of 531 All FBS WRs at 13.4 yards per reception (44 catches).

Vs cohort

This player 13.4 (63th)

HIGH · n=44 cohort 531

  • Also strong
  • Receiving yards (total)#151 / 531
  • Receiving TDs#98 / 531

Signature Moment

Week 1 vs Auburn — 134 ypr

Result L 24-38

The week the volume broke through — put up 134 yds vs Auburn.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 12g
591Rec yards
44Receptions
5Rec TDs
Per game
49.2Rec yards
4Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
640.2Rec yards
48Receptions
5Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 591): needs 109/game over remaining 1.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 591): needs 409/game over remaining 1.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 44): needs 16/game over remaining 1.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 44): needs 36/game over remaining 1.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 5): needs 3/game over remaining 1.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 5): needs 5/game over remaining 1.

Why the honors trail matters

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

The useful clue on this card is not just the Heisman rank, but the broader honors spine. Kole Wilson already has 1 loaded recognition item, which helps distinguish a player who is merely productive from one who is already earning selector-level validation.

Current place #4243 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 8.6% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 2 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 44 5 rec TD | #153/1110 (86th pct)
Receiving yards 591 13.4 per catch | #156/1107 (86th pct)
Scrimmage yards 591 Total offensive yardage | #156/1107 (86th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Target magnet | All-purpose weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Target magnetAll-purpose weapon

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
44 86th
YDS
591 86th
YPR
13.4 62nd
TD
5 91st

Rushing

CAR
3 64th
TD
0 81st

Returns

KR YDS
705 100th
KR AVG
23.5 78th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1L 24-38vs Auburn813416.8057Season-high 134 yds
Wk 2W 48-45@ SMU22110.5027
Wk 3W 42-7vs Samford3279.0015
Wk 4L 24-27vs Arizona State2168.018
Wk 5W 45-27@ Oklahoma State67612.7134
Wk 6W 35-34vs Kansas State35016.7027
Wk 8L 36-42@ TCU35317.7135
Wk 9L 20-41@ Cincinnati
Wk 10W 30-3vs UCF55611.2127
Wk 12L 28-55vs Utah48721.8164
Wk 13L 17-41@ Arizona122.002
Wk 14L 24-31vs Houston7699.9017
Total4459112.4564
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Texas State8-5HC: G.J. Kinne · Run-leaning
2025Baylor5-7HC: Dave Aranda · Pass-leaning, fast tempo
SeasonTeam
2025Baylor4459113.45--
2023Texas State6674711.38--
Career2 loaded seasons1101,33812.213--
SeasonTeam
2025Baylor3--705----
2023Texas State2-736747--
Career2 loaded seasons5-71,07247--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 8.6% 14.5% pass-game share | #264/1137 (77th pct)
Return yards 705 0 return TD | #1/238 (100th pct)
Touchdowns 5 Across offense and returns | #96/1111 (91st pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 44 #153/1110 86th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 591 #156/1107 86th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 5 #96/1111 91st pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 13.4 #416/1106 62nd pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Kick return yards 705 #1/238 100th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 14.5% #264/1137 77th pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing LONG 4 #279/346 20th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Rushing Carries 3 #146/407 64th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Rush TD 0 #81/411 81st pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 64 #136/1105 88th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Returns Kick returns 30 #1/243 100th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Returns Kick return avg 23.5 #53/236 78th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 9.0% #124/1137 89th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 8.7% #335/1137 71st pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage Role share 8.6% #168/1137 85th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 8.5% #123/1137 89th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 8.4% #210/1137 82nd pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 7.7% #394/1137 65th pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.3% #332/1137 71st pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR
Ball Security Fumbles lost 1 #131/302 57th pct Turnoversvs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home7g4.662.713.30.4
Road5g2.430.410.70.4

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins5g3.846.012.00.4
Losses7g3.651.612.70.4

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-76g4.054.012.30.3
Weeks 8+6g3.344.512.50.5

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

63Solid starter
8 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: rush yards (17th).

Rec TDs#96 / 558 · 78th pct
5rece
Long catch#124 / 558 · 77th pct
64rece
Rec yards#156 / 558 · 72nd pct
591rece
Receptions#153 / 558 · 72nd pct
44rece
Yards / catch#246 / 558 · 56th pct
13.4rece
Rush TDs#67 / 287 · 39th pct
0rush
Fumbles lost#86 / 218 · 36th pct
1fumb
Rush yards#233 / 287 · 18th pct
0rush

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Kole WilsonBaylorJordan HudsonSMU· 89% simQue'Sean BrownDuke· 89% simRyan DavisUtah· 87% sim
Rec TDs
78
Wilson
87
Hudson
78
Brown
68
Davis
Long catch
77
Wilson
84
Hudson
83
Brown
67
Davis
Rec yards
72
Wilson
86
Hudson
91
Brown
83
Davis
Receptions
72
Wilson
90
Hudson
92
Brown
91
Davis
Yards / catch
56
Wilson
46
Hudson
56
Brown
36
Davis
Rush TDs
39
Wilson
39
Hudson
39
Brown
Fumbles lost
36
Wilson
36
Hudson
36
Brown
36
Davis
Rush yards
18
Wilson
35
Hudson
1
Brown

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Possession Receiver

Reliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive.

WR

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Tahj Washington’s 2020 season.

Tahj Washington

80%match

Memphis · 2020

NFL Rd 7
#2

Devin Maddox

Toledo · 2022

80%
#3

Jimmy Horn Jr.

South Florida · 2022

NFL Rd 6
80%
#4

Yusuf Ali

Middle Tennessee · 2021

79%
#5

Tyler King

New Mexico State · 2025

79%

Matches Tahj on

Yards / reception
Weight
Reception volume

Differs from Tahj on

Class year (higher)

Through 3 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Dazz Newsome’s path through North Carolina.

Dazz Newsome

100%match

North Carolina · 2020

NFL Rd 6
#2

DeVontres Dukes

South Florida · 2020

100%
#3

Tyleek Collins

UNLV · 2021

99%
#4

Tiaquelin Mims

Southern Miss · 2024

98%
#5

Ben Skowronek

Notre Dame · 2020

NFL Rd 7
97%

Matches Dazz on

Yards per reception

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Derius Davis's junior season at TCU (2022).

Derius Davis

82%match

TCU · 2022

All-Big 12NFL Rd 4
#2

Tyler King

New Mexico State · 2025

78%
#3

Alred Luke

Missouri State · 2025

78%
#4

Yulkeith Brown

Tulane · 2023

72%
#5

Chrishon Mccray

Michigan State · 2025

All-MAC
71%

Matches Derius on

Total EPA (college ability)
Weight
EPA / play (adj)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Dave Aranda

Pass share

55.5%

510 pass / 409 run

Plays / game

76.6

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

5.0%

417 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Pass-leaning, fast tempo.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

1 coach
2023
Dave Aranda
Baylor
2025
Dave Aranda
Baylor

Played his entire career under Dave Aranda.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownKaty, TX
Height5'9"
Weight171 lb
Class4
PositionWR
Jersey19

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

1 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2024)

All-Sun Belt

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

1 all-conference honor

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2024 All-Sun Belt all_conference Texas State | Sun Belt WR

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Texas State WR4 #4243 #4240 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Sun Belt
2023 Texas State WR4 #714 #885 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Sun Belt

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Baylor Big 12 WR 4 No. 19 | 5-9 | 171 lb | Katy, TX
2024 Texas State Sun Belt WR 4 No. 19 | 5-9 | 171 lb | Katy, TX
2023 Texas State Sun Belt WR 4 No. 19 | 5-9 | 171 lb | Katy, TX