cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Kirby Vorhees /Washington State

Kirby Vorhees

RB · Washington State · So · #9

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

576 RUSH YDS · 5 RUSH TD · 138 CARRIES

IN PORTALIn transfer portal — destination TBD (from Washington State)

In Portal · 2026

In transfer portal

2025Washington State
DestinationTBD

RB · WASHINGTON STATE · PAC-12

Kirby Vorhees

  • 2
  • #9
  • 5-11 | 208 lb
  • Lutz, FL

CFB Zeitgeist Score

53

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by rush yards at the 64th percentile.

Heisman Heat

Awaiting

Not on the live Heisman board this week.

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
Washington State
2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class2
Jersey9
Measurements5-11 | 208 lb
HometownLutz, FL
Primary teamWashington State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 2 Programs changed on file
Latest destination -- 2026
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Dec 18, 2025
Season Move Context
2026 Washington State -> -- Immediate
2025 South Dakota State -> Washington State 3-star | 0.8400 | Immediate

Heisman Lens

Where the model places this player relative to the rest of the Heisman field.

Current nowcast--Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast--Where the full season sim points
Win probability--Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability--Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability--Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

Achievements

  • Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in rushing yards (576).

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Kirby Vorhees

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

Awaiting per-cohort signal

Sample 0 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmNational: 2 mentions · belief +0 · "The cumulative link to the preseason rankings can be found [here]( https://www.r"National
  • National · n=2

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Kirby Vorhees

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the rushing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 12g
576Rush yards
138Carries
5Rush TDs
Per game
48Rush yards
12Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
624Rush yards
150Carries
5Rush TDs

To hit 750-yard season (currently 576): needs 174/game over remaining 1.

To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 576): needs 424/game over remaining 1.

To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 576): needs 924/game over remaining 1.

To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 5): needs 5/game over remaining 1.

To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 5): needs 10/game over remaining 1.

To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 5): needs 15/game over remaining 1.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Kirby Vorhees's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Washington State, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place -- -- win | -- finalist
Role load 20.5% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Development arc The card should explain why this profile stands out

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 701 576 rush | 125 rec | #125/735 (83rd pct)
Rush TD 5 138 carries | #115/739 (85th pct)
Yards/carry 4.2 Per-rush efficiency | #455/735 (38th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Passing-game back against FBS RB peers.

Passing-game back

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
138 88th
YDS
576 83rd
YPC
4.2 38th
TD
5 85th

Receiving

REC
19 86th
YDS
125 78th
YPR
6.6 46th
TD
0 70th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCARYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 13-10vs Idaho6193.2012
Wk 2W 36-13vs San Diego State13675.2031
Wk 3L 10-59@ North Texas6335.5012
Wk 4L 24-59vs Washington5132.606
Wk 5W 20-3@ Colorado State8243.006
Wk 7L 21-24@ Ole Miss10888.8146Season-high 88 yds
Wk 8L 20-22@ Virginia16452.8012
Wk 9W 28-7vs Toledo15624.119
Wk 10L 7-10@ Oregon State10464.6113
Wk 12W 28-3vs Louisiana Tech16764.8119
Wk 13L 20-24@ James Madison19613.2010
Wk 14W 32-8vs Oregon State14423.018
Total1385764.2546
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2025Washington State7-6HC: Jimmy Rogers · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Washington State1385764.25--
Career1 loaded season1385764.25--
SeasonTeam
2025Washington State191256.60--
Career1 loaded season191256.60--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work 19 125 rec yds | #78/552 (86th pct)
Usage 20.5% 35.2% rush share | #84/738 (89th pct)
Rushing WEPA +0.11 Opponent-adjusted rush value | #192/362 (47th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing yards 576 #125/735 83rd pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rush TD 5 #115/739 85th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing Yards / carry 4.2 #455/735 38th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receptions 19 #78/552 86th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving yards 125 #123/548 78th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.11 #192/362 47th pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 132 weighted playsvs FBS RB
Usage Role share 20.5% #84/738 89th pct Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 138 #86/739 88th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rushing LONG 46 #191/733 74th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving LONG 25 #166/540 69th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Yards / catch 6.6 #295/548 46th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving TD 0 #169/552 70th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Usage Rush share 35.2% #89/738 88th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage Standard-down usage 24.6% #79/738 89th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage 1st-down usage 22.1% #105/738 86th pct Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 2nd-down usage 19.4% #103/738 86th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 3rd-down usage 18.5% #40/738 95th pct Money-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Passing-down usage 12.4% #120/738 84th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage Pass share 7.0% #86/738 88th pct Air-game usagevs FBS RB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 2 #205/256 20th pct Turnoversvs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Home6g46.53.80.5
Road6g49.54.60.3

Win vs Loss

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Wins6g48.33.90.5
Losses6g47.74.60.3

First half vs Second half

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Weeks 1-76g40.74.70.2
Weeks 8+6g55.33.80.7

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort

53Mid-pack
8 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: fumbles lost (13th).

Carries#86 / 349 · 75th pct
138rush
Receptions#77 / 338 · 75th pct
19rece
Rec yards#114 / 338 · 66th pct
125rece
Rush yards#125 / 349 · 64th pct
576rush
Rush TDs#115 / 349 · 62nd pct
5rush
Long run#166 / 349 · 51st pct
46rush
Yards / carry#272 / 349 · 20th pct
4.2rush
Fumbles lost#154 / 201 · 14th pct
2fumb

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2025

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

wepa_rushing0.11Low (p25–p50) (n=178)

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Kirby VorheesWashington StateAl-Jay HendersonBuffalo· 90% simRashod DubinionApp State· 84% simAdam RandallClemson· 81% sim
Carries
75
Vorhees
90
Henderson
87
Dubinion
86
Randall
Receptions
75
Vorhees
85
Henderson
86
Dubinion
95
Randall
Rec yards
66
Vorhees
79
Henderson
77
Dubinion
92
Randall
Rush yards
64
Vorhees
79
Henderson
84
Dubinion
82
Randall
Rush TDs
62
Vorhees
72
Henderson
50
Dubinion
89
Randall
Long run
51
Vorhees
43
Henderson
39
Dubinion
51
Randall
Yards / carry
20
Vorhees
18
Henderson
53
Dubinion
45
Randall
Fumbles lost
14
Vorhees
14
Henderson
14
Dubinion
2
Randall

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Balanced Back

Plays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension.

RB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Parker Jenkins’s 2023 season.

Parker Jenkins

85%match

Houston · 2023

#2

Camryn Edwards

UConn · 2023

83%
#3

Brandon Campbell

Houston · 2022

82%
#4

Isaiah Johnson

North Texas · 2022

81%
#5

Trevion Cooley

Louisville · 2022

80%

Matches Parker on

Rush TD rate
Yards / carry
Receiving share

Through 1 college season, his career arc tracks closest to Gary Brightwell’s path through Arizona.

Gary Brightwell

98%match

Arizona · 2020

NFL Rd 6
#2

Gerrid Doaks

Cincinnati · 2020

All-AACNFL Rd 7
96%
#3

Kyle Porter

Houston · 2020

94%
#4

DeCarlos Brooks

Arizona State · 2024

94%
#5

Kierre Crossley

Arkansas-Pine Bluff · 2021

92%

Matches Gary on

Yards per carry

As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Brandon Campbell's sophomore season at Houston (2022).

Brandon Campbell

83%match

Houston · 2022

#2

Ashten Emory

UTEP · 2025

81%
#3

Camryn Edwards

UConn · 2023

81%
#4

James Peoples

Ohio State · 2025

81%
#5

Telly Johnson Jr.

Northern Illinois · 2025

80%

Matches Brandon on

Weight
Receiving share
Rush TD rate

Differs from Brandon on

Class year (lower)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Jimmy Rogers

Pass share

48.7%

407 pass / 429 run

Plays / game

64.3

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.1%

327 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2025

1 coach
2025
Jimmy Rogers
Washington State

Played his entire career under Jimmy Rogers.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownLutz, FL
Height5'11"
Weight208 lb
Class2
PositionRB
Jersey9

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
This player hasn’t appeared on a Heisman ballot tracked by the model.

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Washington State Pac-12 RB 2 No. 9 | 5-11 | 208 lb | Lutz, FL