cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Khalil Laufau /Houston

Khalil Laufau

DL · Houston · Jr · #18

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

34 TACKLES · 2 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Houston for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Houston for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Defensive line · Houston

Returning around him

  • 105% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
  • 1 Houston player drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: +2 net (18 in / 16 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Houston · Last season: 10-3 (AP #25) · Talent rank #66 · 2026 recruiting class #52

DL · HOUSTON · BIG 12

Khalil Laufau

  • 3
  • #18
  • 6-3 | 300 lb
  • Salt Lake City, UT

CFB Zeitgeist Score

65

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 80th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#11969

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DEFENSE AWARD

Nagurski

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R05 · Part-time starter

Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1745 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionDL
Class3
Jersey18
Measurements6-3 | 300 lb
HometownSalt Lake City, UT
Primary teamHouston

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1745 recruit
Composite rating 0.8367 HighSchool
Signed with Washington State 2023
Origin Herriman Herriman, UT, USA
Class Profile Context
2023 3-star | 0.8367 No. 1745 recruit | HighSchool | Washington State

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Houston 2025
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Dec 24, 2024
Season Move Context
2025 Washington State -> Houston 3-star | 0.8600 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#11969Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#11832Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Washington State

Composite

0.8367

#1745 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Khalil Laufau

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Khalil Laufau

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 12g
34Tackles
3Tackles for loss
2Sacks
Per game
3Tackles
0.2Tackles for loss
0.2Sacks
Projected (13g)
37Tackles
3.2Tackles for loss
2.2Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 34): needs 46/game over remaining 1.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 34): needs 66/game over remaining 1.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 2): needs 4/game over remaining 1.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 2): needs 8/game over remaining 1.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Khalil Laufau is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Houston's defense, with 2.0 sacks, 3.0 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #11969 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Transfer path 1 portal move

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 34 19 solo | #1138/4942 (77th pct)
TFL 3.0 Backfield disruption | #1006/4972 (80th pct)
Sacks 2.0 Pass-rush finish | #491/4972 (90th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defender

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
34 77th
SOLO
19 76th
TFL
3.0 80th
SACK
2.0 90th
QBH
2 66th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
1 43rd

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 27-0vs Stephen F. Austin220.00.01
Wk 2W 35-9@ Rice310.00.00
Wk 3W 36-20vs Colorado331.01.00
Wk 5W 27-24@ Oregon State700.00.00Season-high 7 tackles
Wk 6L 11-35vs Texas Tech420.00.00
Wk 7W 39-17@ Oklahoma State100.00.00
Wk 8W 31-28vs Arizona200.00.00
Wk 9W 24-16@ Arizona State100.00.00
Wk 10L 35-45vs West Virginia330.00.00
Wk 11W 30-27@ UCF330.00.00
Wk 13L 14-17vs TCU220.00.00
BowlW 38-35vs LSU332.01.00
Total34193.02.01
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Washington State5-7HC: Jake Dickert · Pass-leaning
2025Houston10-3HC: Willie Fritz · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Houston34193.02.01----
2023Washington State1240.00.0------
Career2 loaded seasons46233.02.01----
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 1 Coverage disruption | #1241/2184 (43rd pct)
QB pressures 2 Quarterback hurries | #647/1878 (66th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 34 #1138/4942 77th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 3.0 #1006/4972 80th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 2.0 #491/4972 90th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 1 #1241/2184 43rd pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 2 #647/1878 66th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 19 #1095/4584 76th pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Lombardi award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home7g2.70.40.30.1
Road5g3.00.00.00.0

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins9g2.80.30.20.1
Losses3g3.00.00.00.0

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-77g3.30.40.30.1
Weeks 8+5g2.20.00.00.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the DL cohort

65Solid starter
6 metrics · season cumulative

Production sits in the middle of the position cohort across the board.

Sacks#487 / 2975 · 80th pct
2.0defe
QB hurries#634 / 2975 · 72nd pct
2defe
Tackles for loss#1001 / 2975 · 63rd pct
3.0defe
Solo tackles#1095 / 2975 · 62nd pct
19defe
Tackles#1138 / 2975 · 61st pct
34defe
Passes defended#1191 / 2975 · 48th pct
1defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · DL · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
Khalil LaufauHoustonDaniel WingateMaryland· 76% simTreylin PayneTexas State· 76% simTJ DotteryOle Miss· 75% sim
Sacks
80
Laufau
74
Wingate
80
Payne
74
Dottery
QB hurries
72
Laufau
72
Wingate
82
Payne
55
Dottery
Tackles for loss
63
Laufau
87
Wingate
87
Payne
83
Dottery
Solo tackles
62
Laufau
99
Wingate
95
Payne
97
Dottery
Tackles
61
Laufau
98
Wingate
98
Payne
98
Dottery
Passes defended
48
Laufau
48
Wingate
67
Payne
67
Dottery

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Two-Gap Base

Stout at the point of attack; controls his gap and stacks blocks.

IDL

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Joe Hjelle’s 2025 season.

Joe Hjelle

96%match

Tulsa · 2025

#2

Cavon Butler

Toledo · 2022

92%
#3

Hosea Wheeler

Western Kentucky · 2023

All-Conference USA
91%
#4

Dez Morgan

Charlotte · 2022

90%
#5

Tomari Fox

North Carolina · 2023

90%

Matches Joe on

Class year
Height
Weight

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to R.J. Jackson's junior season at UCF (2025).

R.J. Jackson

87%match

UCF · 2025

#2

Jason Hammond

Virginia · 2025

87%
#3

C.J. Mims

North Carolina · 2025

85%
#4

Fitzgerald West Jr.

Louisiana · 2025

85%
#5

Jason Williams

Central Michigan · 2023

85%

Matches R.J. on

Class year
Height
Sack rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Willie Fritz

Pass share

41.4%

377 pass / 534 run

Plays / game

70.1

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.5%

262 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

2 coaches
2023
Dana Holgorsen
Houston
2025
Willie Fritz
Houston
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Dana Holgorsen → Willie Fritz. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownSalt Lake City, UT
Height6'3"
Weight300 lb
Class3
PositionDL
Jersey18

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Washington State DL3 #11969 #11832 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Pac-12
2023 Washington State DL3 #12160 #12081 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Pac-12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Houston Big 12 DL 3 No. 18 | 6-3 | 300 lb | Salt Lake City, UT
2024 Washington State Pac-12 DL 3 No. 18 | 6-3 | 300 lb | Salt Lake City, UT
2023 Washington State Pac-12 DL 3 No. 18 | 6-3 | 300 lb | Salt Lake City, UT