cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Khalil Dinkins /Penn State

Khalil Dinkins

TE · Penn State · Sr · #16

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

167 REC YDS · 14 REC · 2 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Penn State for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Penn State for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Tight end · Penn State

Returning around him

  • 56% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
  • 8 Penn State players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -11 net (37 in / 48 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Penn State · Last season: 7-6 (AP #7) · Talent rank #10 · 2026 recruiting class #15

TE · PENN STATE · BIG TEN

Khalil Dinkins

  • 4
  • #16
  • 6-4 | 251 lb
  • Wexford, PA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

41

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by yards / catch at the 69th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#1609

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP TE AWARD

Mackey

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2022–2025
53.02022
57.02023
1672025

+215%

Up 215% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#666 national
CFB
College
Penn State
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionTE
Class4
Jersey16
Measurements6-4 | 251 lb
HometownWexford, PA
Primary teamPenn State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 666 recruit
Composite rating 0.8711 HighSchool
Signed with -- 2021
Origin North Allegheny Wexford, PA, USA
Class Profile Context
2021 3-star | 0.8711 No. 666 recruit | HighSchool

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#1609Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#1241Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to —

Composite

0.8711

#666 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Khalil Dinkins

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

50

Mixed Sentiment

Sample 2 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 2 mentions · belief +0 · "In this episode of Locked On Nittany Lions, host Zach Seyko dives into James Fra"Own fans
  • Own fans · n=2

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Khalil Dinkins

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 7g
167Rec yards
14Receptions
2Rec TDs
Per game
23.9Rec yards
2Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
310.1Rec yards
26Receptions
4Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 167): needs 88.8/game over remaining 6.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 167): needs 138.8/game over remaining 6.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 14): needs 7.7/game over remaining 6.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 14): needs 11/game over remaining 6.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 2): needs 1/game over remaining 6.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 2): needs 1.3/game over remaining 6.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Khalil Dinkins's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Penn State, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #1609 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 3.2% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Development arc The card should explain why this profile stands out

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

TE season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 14 2 rec TD | #150/475 (69th pct)
Receiving yards 167 11.9 per catch | #134/475 (72nd pct)
Scrimmage yards 167 Total offensive yardage | #134/475 (72nd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
14 69th
YDS
167 72nd
YPR
11.9 71st
TD
2 84th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 7 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 46-11vs Nevada12424.0024
Wk 2W 34-0vs Florida International199.019
Wk 5L 24-30vs Oregon22311.5016
Wk 6L 37-42@ UCLA34916.3140Season-high 49 yds
Wk 8L 24-25@ Iowa11010.0010
Wk 10L 14-38@ Ohio State2126.009
Wk 11L 24-27vs Indiana44010.0023
Total1416712.4240
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Penn State11-2HC: James Franklin · Run-leaning
2023Penn State10-3HC: James Franklin · Run-leaning
2025Penn State7-6HC: James Franklin · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Penn State1416711.92--
2023Penn State55711.42--
2022Penn State45313.21--
Career3 loaded seasons2327712.05--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The tight end's share of the passing offense, which helps distinguish a featured receiving tight end from a secondary option.

Role share

A blended usage view that shows how often the offense flows through the tight end compared with other same-level peers.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 3.2% 6.9% pass-game share | #185/468 (61st pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 2 Across offense and returns | #79/475 (84th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 14 #150/475 69th pct Volumevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving yards 167 #134/475 72nd pct Volumevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving TD 2 #79/475 84th pct Scoringvs FBS TE
Receiving Yards / catch 11.9 #137/475 71st pct Efficiencyvs FBS TE
Usage Pass share 6.9% #185/468 61st pct Air-game usagevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving LONG 40 #70/475 85th pct Metricvs FBS TE
Usage 1st-down usage 4.3% #112/468 76th pct Early-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage 2nd-down usage 4.3% #163/468 65th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage Passing-down usage 4.0% #199/468 58th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS TE
Usage Role share 3.2% #200/468 57th pct Share of team offensevs FBS TE
Usage Standard-down usage 2.8% #238/468 49th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS TE
Usage 3rd-down usage 0.0% #339/468 28th pct Money-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage Rush share 0.0% #58/468 88th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS TE

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Mackey award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 7 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home4g2.024.013.60.2
Road3g2.023.710.80.3

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins2g1.016.516.50.5
Losses5g2.426.810.80.2

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-74g1.826.215.20.5
Weeks 8+3g2.320.78.70.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the TE cohort

41Mid-pack
5 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: receptions (13th).

Yards / catch#54 / 175 · 69th pct
11.9rece
Long catch#62 / 175 · 64th pct
40rece
Rec TDs#76 / 175 · 43rd pct
2rece
Rec yards#132 / 175 · 25th pct
167rece
Receptions#150 / 175 · 14th pct
14rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · TE · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 5 metrics
Khalil DinkinsPenn StateLuke LindenmeyerNebraska· 65% simRiley NowakowskiIndiana· 64% simDecker DeGraafWashington· 64% sim
Yards / catch
69
Dinkins
53
Lindenmeyer
71
Nowakowski
62
DeGraaf
Long catch
64
Dinkins
23
Lindenmeyer
69
Nowakowski
39
DeGraaf
Rec TDs
43
Dinkins
43
Lindenmeyer
43
Nowakowski
43
DeGraaf
Rec yards
25
Dinkins
63
Lindenmeyer
77
Nowakowski
72
DeGraaf
Receptions
14
Dinkins
66
Lindenmeyer
75
Nowakowski
75
DeGraaf

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Complete TE

Dual-threat: blocks when needed, catches when needed. Coveted on both sides.

TE

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Josh Kattus’s 2025 season.

Josh Kattus

80%match

Kentucky · 2025

#2

Shane Calhoun

East Carolina · 2021

78%
#3

Blake Kern

Arkansas · 2021

74%
#4

Elijah Sohn

Sam Houston · 2023

74%
#5

Zach Horton

James Madison · 2022

72%

Matches Josh on

Total EPA (college ability)
Yards / reception
TD rate

Differs from Josh on

EPA / play (adj) (higher)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Josh Kattus's senior season at Kentucky (2025).

Josh Kattus

84%match

Kentucky · 2025

#2

Erick All

Iowa · 2023

NFL Rd 4
77%
#3

Elijah Mojarro

Rice · 2024

76%
#4

Marshall Lang

Northwestern · 2024

76%
#5

Dallas Payne

Florida International · 2025

75%

Matches Josh on

Weight
Yards / reception
Recruiting rating

Differs from Josh on

EPA / play (adj) (higher)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

James Franklin

Pass share

42.0%

339 pass / 469 run

Plays / game

62.2

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.4%

230 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

1 coach
2022
James Franklin
Penn State
2023
James Franklin
Penn State
2025
James Franklin
Penn State

Played his entire career under James Franklin.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownWexford, PA
Height6'4"
Weight251 lb
Class4
PositionTE
Jersey16

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Penn State TE4 #1609 #1241 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big Ten
2023 Penn State TE4 #847 #647 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big Ten
2022 Penn State TE4 #1134 #857 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big Ten
2021 Penn State TE4 #2820 #2513 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big Ten

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Penn State Big Ten TE 4 No. 16 | 6-4 | 251 lb | Wexford, PA
2024 Penn State Big Ten TE 4 No. 16 | 6-4 | 251 lb | Wexford, PA
2023 Penn State Big Ten TE 4 No. 16 | 6-4 | 251 lb | Wexford, PA
2022 Penn State Big Ten TE 4 No. 16 | 6-4 | 251 lb | Wexford, PA
2021 Penn State Big Ten TE 4 No. 16 | 6-4 | 251 lb | Wexford, PA