CFB Zeitgeist Score
26
Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by rec yards at the 78th percentile.
Kevin Riley
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
224 RUSH YDS · 2 RUSH TD · 59 CARRIES
2026 Outlook
Returning to Alabama for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Running back · Alabama
Returning around him
- 43% of 2024 offensive production back (Moderate turnover)
- 10 Alabama players drafted to NFL
- Transfer portal: -7 net (17 in / 24 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Alabama · Last season: 11-4 (AP #11) · Talent rank #2 · 2026 recruiting class #3
RB · ALABAMA · SEC
Kevin Riley
- 1
- #28
- 5-11 | 191 lb
- Northport, AL
Heisman Heat
#934
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP RB AWARD
Doak Walker
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · rushing yards
2024–2025+647%
Up 647% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★★
CFB
College
Alabama
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 4-star | 0.9617 | No. 75 recruit | HighSchool | Alabama |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★★☆
to Alabama
Composite
0.9617
#75 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Kevin Riley
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
56
Mixed Sentiment
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- Own fans · n=9
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Kevin Riley
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the rushing totals stand
Through 10g
224Rush yards
59Carries
2Rush TDs
Per game
22.4Rush yards
6Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
291.2Rush yards
77Carries
3Rush TDs
To hit 750-yard season (currently 224): needs 175.3/game over remaining 3.
To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 224): needs 258.7/game over remaining 3.
To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 224): needs 425.3/game over remaining 3.
To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 2): needs 2.7/game over remaining 3.
To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 2): needs 4.3/game over remaining 3.
To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 2): needs 6/game over remaining 3.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Kevin Riley's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Alabama, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
RB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Passing-game back against FBS RB peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Rushing
CAR
59 62nd
YDS
224 56th
YPC
3.8 27th
TD
2 67th
Receiving
REC
19 86th
YDS
176 86th
YPR
9.3 72nd
TD
1 89th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 10 games
| Wk | Opp | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | L 17-31@ Florida State | 5 | 31 | 6.2 | 0 | 13 | |
| Wk 2 | W 73-0vs UL Monroe | 11 | 69 | 6.3 | 0 | 22 | Season-high 69 yds |
| Wk 3 | W 38-14vs Wisconsin | 7 | 20 | 2.9 | 0 | 11 | |
| Wk 5 | W 24-21@ Georgia | 10 | 30 | 3.0 | 0 | 5 | |
| Wk 6 | W 30-14vs Vanderbilt | 5 | 17 | 3.4 | 0 | 8 | |
| Wk 7 | W 27-24@ Missouri | 6 | 16 | 2.7 | 0 | 6 | |
| Wk 8 | W 37-20vs Tennessee | 3 | -2 | -0.7 | 0 | 0 | |
| Wk 11 | W 20-9vs LSU | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | 0 | 5 | |
| Wk 13 | W 56-0vs Eastern Illinois | 8 | 36 | 4.5 | 2 | 9 | |
| Bowl | L 3-38@ Indiana | 3 | 2 | 0.7 | 0 | 2 | |
| Total | 59 | 224 | 3.4 | 2 | 22 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2024Alabama9-4HC: Kalen DeBoer · Run-leaning
2025Alabama11-4HC: Kalen DeBoer · Balanced
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.
How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 224 | #322/735 | 56th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 2 | #247/739 | 67th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 3.8 | #534/735 | 27th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receptions | 19 | #78/552 | 86th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 176 | #78/548 | 86th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.02 | #337/362 | 7th pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 51 weighted playsvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Role share | 11.8% | #259/738 | 65th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Carries | 59 | #283/739 | 62nd pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 22 | #375/733 | 49th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 27 | #142/540 | 74th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 9.3 | #152/548 | 72nd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 1 | #60/552 | 89th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Rush share | 18.0% | #292/738 | 61st pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 15.0% | #180/738 | 76th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 13.4% | #255/738 | 66th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 13.3% | #260/738 | 65th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 7.8% | #305/738 | 59th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Pass share | 6.3% | #108/738 | 86th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 4.5% | #461/738 | 38th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS RB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 10 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home6g | 24.2 | 3.6 | 0.3 |
| Road4g | 19.8 | 3.1 | 0.0 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins8g | 23.9 | 3.4 | 0.2 |
| Losses2g | 16.5 | 3.5 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-77g | 26.4 | 3.6 | 0.0 |
| Weeks 8+3g | 13.0 | 2.9 | 0.7 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort
26Below cohort
Concern: yards / carry (8th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · RB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
wepa_rushing0.02Below (<p25) (n=178)
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Kevin RileyAlabamaAl-Jay HendersonBuffalo· 57% simRashod DubinionApp State· 56% simSeth McGowanKentucky· 55% sim
Rec yards
Receptions
Rush TDs
Carries
Long run
Rush yards
Yards / carry
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Satellite Back
Deployed as a receiver as much as a runner. Value is in space, not between the tackles.
RB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Davion Ervin-Poindexter’s 2023 season.
Davion Ervin-Poindexter
68%match
#2
Charles Kellom
67%
#3
Keegan Jones
66%
#4
Austin Jones
65%
#5
Ron Cook Jr.
64%
Matches Davion on
Total rush EPA (college ability)
Differs from Davion on
Class year (lower)
Yards / reception (higher)
EPA / carry (adj) (lower)
Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Darius Wilson’s path through William & Mary.
Darius Wilson
97%match
#2
Chris McMillian
92%
#3
Davion Ervin-Poindexter
92%
#4
James Charles
87%
#5
Jamal Jones
86%
Matches Darius on
Yards per carry
As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Sutton Smith's sophomore season at Memphis (2023).
Sutton Smith
62%match
All-AACNFL Rd 6
#2
Ron Cook Jr.
59%
#3
Austin Jones
58%
#4
Xavier White
57%
#5
Diore Hubbard
57%
Matches Sutton on
Weight
Total rush EPA (college ability)
Differs from Sutton on
Class year (lower)
Height (higher)
EPA / carry (adj) (lower)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Kalen DeBoer
Pass share
53.4%
523 pass / 456 run
Plays / game
65.3
15 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
6.8%
384 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2024–2025
1 coach2024
Kalen DeBoer
Alabama
2025
Kalen DeBoer
Alabama
Played his entire career under Kalen DeBoer.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownNorthport, AL
Height5'11"
Weight191 lb
Class1
PositionRB
Jersey28
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamAlabama
ConferenceSEC
Joined2025
Career arc2 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Alabama | RB1 | #934 | #755 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | SEC |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.