CFB Zeitgeist Score
64
Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by yards / att at the 78th percentile.
Kevin Jennings
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
3,641 PASS YDS · 26 PASS TD · 54 RUSH YDS
2026 Outlook
Returning to SMU for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Quarterback · SMU
Returning around him
- 50% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
- 1 SMU player drafted to NFL
- Transfer portal: -11 net (14 in / 25 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
SMU · Last season: 9-4 (AP #25) · Talent rank #25 · 2026 recruiting class #31
QB · SMU · ACC
Kevin Jennings
- 3
- #7
- 6-0 | 192 lb
- Oak Cliff, TX
Heisman Heat
#4
5.3% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
5.3%
TOP QB AWARD
Davey O'Brien
In contention
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 5 · ApexR15 · POTY finalist
Position-of-the-Year finalist. Among the nation's elite at the position.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career arc · Season-by-season Standing
4 seasons on the ladder
2022
SMU · QB
—
2023
SMU · QB
—
★
2024
SMU · QB
R15 · POTY finalist
Apex
2025
SMU · QB
—
Development Trajectory · passing yards
2022–2025+1676%
Up 1676% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
SMU
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Heisman futures · live sportsbook odds
#28 in market ▼ from #22 · 6 books
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 3-star | 0.8378 | No. 1535 recruit | HighSchool | SMU |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Achievements
- Volume King 1.3% Volume King 2,500+ passing yards, 1,200+ rushing yards, or 900+ receiving yards in a single season (position-appropriate threshold). Held by 1.3% of the 2025 pool. 3641 passing yards — clears the 2,500-QB volume bar.
- Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in passing yards (3641).
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
NIL Valuation · On3
$902K
On3 ranking · Jun 2026
Whisper Rate
$3.00M
per-deal market estimate
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to SMU
Composite
0.8378
#1535 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Kevin Jennings
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
50
Mixed Sentiment
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- Own fans · n=10
- Rivals · n=2
- National · n=4
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Kevin Jennings
Only 2 rival mention(s) — below the 4-mention floor for a defensible read.
2025 Signature · 2025 season
WEPA per dropback
+0.430
EPA
P4 + Notre Dame QBs, min 250 dropbacks
National rank #14 of 58
Percentile vs P4 + Notre Dame QBs, min 250 dropbacks 77th
Why it matters
#14 of 58 P4 + Notre Dame QBs by weighted EPA per dropback (min 250 dropbacks) — +0.430 EPA/play.
Vs cohort
This player +0.430 (77th)
HIGH · n=428 cohort 58
- Also strong
- Combined WEPA per play (pass + rush)#18 / 57
- Total weighted-EPA passing#12 / 58
- Yards per attempt#22 / 72
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the passing totals stand
Through 13g
3,641Pass yards
26Pass TDs
13INT
Per game
280.1Pass yards
2Pass TDs
1INT
Final
3,641Pass yards
26Pass TDs
13INT
✓ Hit 3,000-yard season · finished with 3,641.
✓ Hit 25 passing TDs · finished with 26.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Kevin Jennings's story is about how role and output meet each other. For SMU, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
QB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
High-volume passer | Efficient against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Passing Efficiency
CMP
300 97th
ATT
454 98th
CMP%
66.1% 70th
Y/A
8.0 76th
Passing Production
YDS
3,641 98th
TD
26 96th
INT
13 1st
Rushing
CAR
70 78th
YDS
54 56th
YPC
0.8 23rd
TD
4 82nd
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 13 games
| Wk | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA | QBR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 42-13vs East Texas A&M | 22/30 | 260 | 2 | 1 | 8.7 | 26.1 | 3 INTs — rough day |
| Wk 2 | L 45-48vs Baylor | 16/22 | 295 | 3 | 1 | 13.4 | 50.1 | 3 TD passes |
| Wk 3 | W 28-10@ Missouri State | 24/36 | 281 | 1 | 1 | 7.8 | 62.7 | |
| Wk 4 | L 24-35@ TCU | 24/38 | 290 | 3 | 2 | 7.6 | 76.8 | 3 TD passes |
| Wk 6 | W 31-18vs Syracuse | 29/35 | 285 | 4 | 1 | 8.1 | 86.0 | 4 TD passes |
| Wk 7 | W 34-10vs Stanford | 22/30 | 247 | 2 | 0 | 8.2 | 76.6 | |
| Wk 8 | W 35-24@ Clemson | 23/43 | 290 | 2 | 1 | 6.7 | 69.1 | |
| Wk 9 | L 12-13@ Wake Forest | 21/39 | 171 | 0 | 1 | 4.4 | 40.7 | |
| Wk 10 | W 26-20vs Miami | 29/44 | 365 | 1 | 0 | 8.3 | 67.6 | Season-high 365 yds |
| Wk 11 | W 45-13@ Boston College | 16/32 | 326 | 3 | 1 | 10.2 | 49.8 | 3 TD passes |
| Wk 13 | W 38-6vs Louisville | 29/37 | 303 | 3 | 0 | 8.2 | 93.9 | 3 TD passes |
| Wk 14 | L 35-38@ California | 24/36 | 250 | 2 | 1 | 6.9 | 75.4 | |
| Bowl | W 24-19vs Arizona | 21/32 | 278 | 0 | 3 | 8.7 | — | |
| Total | 300/454 | 3641 | 26 | 13 | 8.2 | 64.6 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2022SMU7-6HC: Rhett Lashlee · Balanced, fast tempo
2023SMU11-3HC: Rhett Lashlee · Run-leaning
2024SMU11-3HC: Rhett Lashlee · Run-leaning
2025SMU9-4HC: Rhett Lashlee · Balanced
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.
How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing | Passing yards | 3,641 | #9/382 | 98th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Pass TD | 26 | #16/407 | 96th pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completions | 300 | #11/383 | 97th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completion % | 66.1% | #114/383 | 70th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Yards / attempt | 8.0 | #92/382 | 76th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 54 | #182/408 | 56th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Value | Passing WEPA | +0.43 | #19/200 | 91st pct | Opponent-adjusted passing value | 428 weighted playsvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Role share | 57.7% | #23/428 | 95th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Attempts | 454 | #11/407 | 98th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Interceptions | 13 | #404/407 | 1st pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Carries | 70 | #90/408 | 78th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 26 | #127/391 | 68th pct | Metricvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 4 | #74/408 | 82nd pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 0.8 | #313/407 | 23rd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Pass share | 95.3% | #22/428 | 95th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 77.7% | #11/428 | 98th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 72.3% | #29/428 | 93rd pct | Money-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 56.7% | #34/428 | 92nd pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 52.7% | #17/428 | 96th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 49.1% | #39/428 | 91st pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | Rush share | 13.1% | #124/428 | 71st pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.09 | #129/140 | 9th pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 43 weighted playsvs FBS QB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 3 | #213/258 | 18th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 13 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home7g | 290 | 2.1 | 9.1 | 0.9 |
| Road6g | 268 | 1.8 | 7.3 | 1.2 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins9g | 293 | 2.0 | 8.3 | 0.9 |
| Losses4g | 252 | 2.0 | 8.1 | 1.2 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-77g | 277 | 2.1 | 8.9 | 1.3 |
| Weeks 8+6g | 284 | 1.8 | 7.5 | 0.7 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort
64Solid starter
Elite: pass yards (95th). Strength: pass tds (90th). Concern: interceptions (1st).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Pass Profile · Completion depth (PBP)
Where the throws are landing
Short
0–9 yds52%of completions
79 comp5.1 yds avg4 TD
Middle
10–19 yds31%of completions
47 comp13.5 yds avg4 TD
Deep
20+ yds17%of completions
25 comp31.6 yds avg6 TD
Overall 67.1% completion on 225 attempts · 25 deep completions averaging 31.6 yds.
Advanced Savant · QB · 2024
Percentile Card
Elite: EPA / dropback.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
wepa_passing0.43High (p75–p90) (n=94)
wepa_rushing0.09Below (<p25) (n=72)
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Kevin JenningsSMUJoey AguilarTennessee· 92% simJosh HooverTCU· 89% simCaden VeltkampFlorida Atlantic· 87% sim
Pass yards
Pass TDs
Yards / att
Completion %
Rush TDs
Rush yards
Fumbles lost
Interceptions
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Pocket Passer
Balanced passer who operates within the system. Profile sits near league average across dimensions.
QB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Jake Haener’s 2021 season.
Jake Haener
77%match
All-Mountain WestNFL Rd 4
#2
Jayden de Laura
73%
#3
Kevin Jennings
All-ACC
70%
#4
Jordan McCloud
All-Sun Belt
68%
#5
Rocco Becht
64%
Matches Jake on
Completion %
EPA / dropback (adj)
Height
Differs from Jake on
INT rate (higher)
Recruiting rating (lower)
Through 4 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Eli Peters’s path through Toledo.
Eli Peters
88%match
#2
Ian Book
All-ACCNFL Rd 4
86%
#3
Jordan McCloud
All-Sun Belt
83%
#4
John Rhys Plumlee
82%
#5
John Mateer
82%
Matches Eli on
Yards per attempt
Completion %
As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Josh Hoover's senior season at TCU (2025).
Josh Hoover
61%match
#2
Taulia Tagovailoa
All-Big Ten
60%
#3
Garrett Nussmeier
All-SECNFL Rd 7
50%
#4
Owen McCown
50%
#5
Sam Hartman
All-ACC
48%
Matches Josh on
Total pass EPA (college ability)
Weight
Differs from Josh on
Height (lower)
EPA / dropback (adj) (lower)
TD rate (lower)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Rhett Lashlee
Pass share
53.7%
460 pass / 396 run
Plays / game
65.8
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
5.4%
333 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025
1 coach2022
Rhett Lashlee
SMU
2023
Rhett Lashlee
SMU
2024
Rhett Lashlee
SMU
2025
Rhett Lashlee
SMU
Played his entire career under Rhett Lashlee.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownOak Cliff, TX
Height6'0"
Weight192 lb
Class3
PositionQB
Jersey7
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamSMU
ConferenceACC
Joined2025
Career arc4 season(s)
Trophy Case · Confirmed honors
What the selectors said
🎖
ALL-CONFERENCE
All-Conf mention (2024)
All-ACC
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
1 all-conference honor
Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | All-ACC | all_conference | SMU | ACC | QB |
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.