CFB Zeitgeist Score
47
Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by rush yards at the 57th percentile.
Kenyon Clay
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
523 RUSH YDS · 3 RUSH TD · 139 CARRIES
2026 Outlook
Returning to Arkansas State for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Running back · Arkansas State
Returning around him
- 59% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
- Transfer portal: -13 net (24 in / 37 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Arkansas State · Last season: 7-6 · Talent rank #88 · 2026 recruiting class #75
RB · ARKANSAS STATE · SUN BELT
Kenyon Clay
- 3
- #5
- 6-1 | 220 lb
- Union, MS
Heisman Heat
#4208
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP RB AWARD
Doak Walker
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · rushing yards
2022–2025+1062%
Up 1062% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
2 teams
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 3-star | 0.8374 | No. 1557 recruit | HighSchool | Southern Miss |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Southern Miss -> Arkansas State | 3-star | 0.8300 | Immediate |
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to Southern Miss
Composite
0.8374
#1557 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Kenyon Clay
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Kenyon Clay
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the rushing totals stand
Through 13g
523Rush yards
139Carries
3Rush TDs
Per game
40.2Rush yards
11Carries
0Rush TDs
Final
523Rush yards
139Carries
3Rush TDs
Why this is more than a rushing profile
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Kenyon Clay is not a one-lane back. The profile is interesting because the workload spills beyond pure rushing volume: 523 rushing yards, 37 catches, and 0 return yards for Arkansas State. That kind of all-purpose footprint gives the card a much richer story than a basic carry total.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
RB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Passing-game back against FBS RB peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Rushing
CAR
139 89th
YDS
523 80th
YPC
3.8 27th
TD
3 73rd
Receiving
REC
37 99th
YDS
205 91st
YPR
5.5 33rd
TD
3 99th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 13 games
| Wk | Opp | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 42-24vs Southeast Missouri State | 15 | 41 | 2.7 | 1 | 8 | |
| Wk 2 | L 14-56@ Arkansas | 12 | 28 | 2.3 | 0 | 13 | |
| Wk 3 | L 16-24vs Iowa State | 13 | 51 | 3.9 | 0 | 12 | |
| Wk 4 | L 21-28@ Kennesaw State | 5 | 26 | 5.2 | 0 | 14 | |
| Wk 5 | L 16-28@ UL Monroe | 6 | 20 | 3.3 | 0 | 5 | |
| Wk 6 | W 31-30vs Texas State | 8 | 28 | 3.5 | 0 | 6 | |
| Wk 8 | W 15-14@ South Alabama | 9 | 28 | 3.1 | 0 | 9 | |
| Wk 9 | W 34-24vs Georgia Southern | 17 | 124 | 7.3 | 1 | 30 | Season-high 124 yds |
| Wk 10 | W 23-10@ Troy | 16 | 40 | 2.5 | 0 | 12 | |
| Wk 11 | L 21-27vs Southern Miss | 8 | 19 | 2.4 | 0 | 4 | |
| Wk 13 | L 30-34vs Louisiana | 5 | 13 | 2.6 | 0 | 7 | |
| Wk 14 | W 30-29@ App State | 14 | 52 | 3.7 | 1 | 11 | |
| Bowl | W 34-28vs Missouri State | 11 | 53 | 4.8 | 0 | 13 | |
| Total | 139 | 523 | 3.6 | 3 | 30 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2022Southern Miss7-6HC: Will Hall · Run-leaning
2023Southern Miss3-9HC: Will Hall · Run-leaning
2025Arkansas State7-6HC: Butch Jones · Balanced
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Arkansas State | 139 | 523 | 3.8 | 3 | -- |
| 2023 | Southern Miss | 40 | 179 | 4.5 | 1 | -- |
| 2022 | Southern Miss | 19 | 45 | 2.4 | 2 | -- |
| Career | 3 loaded seasons | 198 | 747 | 3.8 | 6 | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Arkansas State | 37 | 205 | 5.5 | 3 | -- |
| 2023 | Southern Miss | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | 0 | -- |
| 2022 | Southern Miss | 2 | 9 | 4.5 | 0 | -- |
| Career | 3 loaded seasons | 40 | 219 | 5.5 | 3 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.
How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 523 | #150/735 | 80th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 3 | #204/739 | 73rd pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 3.8 | #534/735 | 27th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receptions | 37 | #9/552 | 99th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 205 | #53/548 | 91st pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | -0.01 | #352/362 | 3rd pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 122 weighted playsvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Role share | 17.3% | #125/738 | 83rd pct | Share of team offensevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Carries | 139 | #84/739 | 89th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 30 | #297/733 | 60th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 27 | #142/540 | 74th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 5.5 | #370/548 | 33rd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 3 | #5/552 | 99th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Rush share | 31.3% | #112/738 | 85th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 21.9% | #108/738 | 86th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 20.4% | #121/738 | 84th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 13.4% | #228/738 | 69th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 12.4% | #132/738 | 82nd pct | Money-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 10.4% | #188/738 | 75th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Pass share | 7.2% | #77/738 | 90th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 2 | #205/256 | 20th pct | Turnoversvs FBS RB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 13 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home7g | 47.0 | 3.9 | 0.3 |
| Road6g | 32.3 | 3.4 | 0.2 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins7g | 52.3 | 3.9 | 0.4 |
| Losses6g | 26.2 | 3.3 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-77g | 35.3 | 3.7 | 0.1 |
| Weeks 8+6g | 46.0 | 3.6 | 0.3 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort
47Mid-pack
Elite: receptions (96th). Strength: rec yards (85th). Concern: yards / carry (8th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · RB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
wepa_rushing-0.01Below (<p25) (n=178)
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Kenyon ClayArkansas StateAl-Jay HendersonBuffalo· 83% simRashod DubinionApp State· 80% simKendrick RaphaelCalifornia· 75% sim
Receptions
Rec yards
Carries
Rush yards
Rush TDs
Long run
Fumbles lost
Yards / carry
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Workhorse
Built to take 20+ carries per game. Volume is the value.
RB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Kadarius Calloway’s 2025 season.
Kadarius Calloway
80%match
#2
Dylan Downing
75%
#3
Jaison Patterson
71%
#4
Landon Sims
70%
#5
Cyrus Habibi-Likio
69%
Matches Kadarius on
Yards / carry
Yards / reception
Receiving share
Differs from Kadarius on
Class year (lower)
Height (higher)
Through 4 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Bryant Barr’s path through Campbell.
Bryant Barr
95%match
#2
Clint Ratkovich
All-MAC
95%
#3
Justin Henderson
All-Conference USA
92%
#4
Rickey Spruill
92%
#5
Ryan Ingram
91%
Matches Bryant on
Yards per carry
As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Tony Mathis Jr.'s senior season at Houston (2023).
Tony Mathis Jr.
64%match
#2
Edward Saydee
62%
#3
Gavin Wimsatt
56%
#4
Sevaughn Clark
59%
#5
Al-Jay Henderson
All-MAC
60%
Matches Tony on
Weight
Yards / carry
Differs from Tony on
Class year (lower)
EPA / carry (adj) (higher)
Rush TD rate (higher)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Butch Jones
Pass share
53.7%
506 pass / 437 run
Plays / game
72.5
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
7.6%
367 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025
1 coach2022
Butch Jones
Arkansas State
2023
Butch Jones
Arkansas State
2025
Butch Jones
Arkansas State
Played his entire career under Butch Jones.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownUnion, MS
Height6'1"
Weight220 lb
Class3
PositionRB
Jersey5
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamArkansas State
ConferenceSun Belt
Joined2025
Career arc4 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Southern Miss | RB3 | #4208 | #4594 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Sun Belt |
| 2023 | Southern Miss | RB3 | #3055 | #3696 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Sun Belt |
| 2022 | Southern Miss | RB3 | #2497 | #2694 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Sun Belt |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | RB | 3 | No. 5 | 6-1 | 220 lb | Union, MS |
| 2024 | Southern Miss | Sun Belt | RB | 3 | No. 5 | 6-1 | 220 lb | Union, MS |
| 2023 | Southern Miss | Sun Belt | RB | 3 | No. 5 | 6-1 | 220 lb | Union, MS |
| 2022 | Southern Miss | Sun Belt | RB | 3 | No. 5 | 6-1 | 220 lb | Union, MS |