cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Kenric Lanier II /Minnesota

Kenric Lanier II

WR · Minnesota · So · #15

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

79 REC YDS · 3 REC · 0 REC TD

2026 TRANSFERTransferred Minnesota → Missouri for 2026

Where He Ended Up · Transfer

Transferred to Missouri

2025Minnesota
2026Missouri

WR · MINNESOTA · BIG TEN

Kenric Lanier II

  • 2
  • #15
  • 6-1 | 200 lb
  • Decatur, GA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

30

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by yards / catch at the 100th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#2577

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R04 · Rotational

Rotational. Earning real snaps in the rotation.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2024–2025
17.02024
79.02025

+365%

Up 365% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
Minnesota
2024–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class2
Jersey15
Measurements6-1 | 200 lb
HometownDecatur, GA
Primary teamMinnesota

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Missouri 2026
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 16, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 Minnesota -> Missouri 3-star | 0.8500 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#2577Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#2930Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Kenric Lanier II

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Kenric Lanier II

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 2g
79Rec yards
3Receptions
0Rec TDs
Per game
39.5Rec yards
2Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
513.5Rec yards
20Receptions
0Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 79): needs 56.5/game over remaining 11.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 79): needs 83.7/game over remaining 11.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 3): needs 5.2/game over remaining 11.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 3): needs 7/game over remaining 11.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 0): needs 0.7/game over remaining 11.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 0): needs 0.9/game over remaining 11.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Kenric Lanier II's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Minnesota, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #2577 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 4.9% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Development arc The card should explain why this profile stands out

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 3 0 rec TD | #811/1110 (27th pct)
Receiving yards 79 26.3 per catch | #700/1107 (37th pct)
Scrimmage yards 79 Total offensive yardage | #700/1107 (37th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Big-play receiver against FBS receiving peers.

Big-play receiver

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
3 27th
YDS
79 37th
YPR
26.3 98th
TD
0 45th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 2 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 2W 66-0vs Northwestern State25929.5052Season-high 59 yds
Wk 9L 3-41@ Iowa12020.0020
Total37924.8052
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2024Minnesota8-5HC: P.J. Fleck · Balanced
2025Minnesota8-5HC: P.J. Fleck · Balanced, slow tempo
SeasonTeam
2025Minnesota37926.30--
2024Minnesota11717.00--
Career2 loaded seasons49624.00--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 4.9% 17.6% pass-game share | #144/1137 (87th pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 0 Across offense and returns | #615/1111 (45th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 3 #811/1110 27th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 79 #700/1107 37th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 0 #615/1111 45th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 26.3 #27/1106 98th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 17.6% #144/1137 87th pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 52 #244/1105 78th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 22.2% #7/1137 99th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 16.7% #23/1137 98th pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 5.0% #509/1137 55th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Role share 4.9% #497/1137 56th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 3.0% #715/1137 37th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 1.9% #911/1137 20th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.0% #391/1137 66th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 2 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home1g2.059.029.50.0
Road1g1.020.020.00.0

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins1g2.059.029.50.0
Losses1g1.020.020.00.0

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-71g2.059.029.50.0
Weeks 8+1g1.020.020.00.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

30Below cohort
5 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: yards / catch (99th). Concern: receptions (0th).

Yards / catch#2 / 558 · 100th pct
26.3rece
Long catch#217 / 558 · 60th pct
52rece
Rec TDs#482 / 558 · 7th pct
0rece
Rec yards#556 / 558 · 1st pct
79rece
Receptions#559 / 558 · 0th pct
3rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 5 metrics
Kenric Lanier IIMinnesotaNik McMillanBuffalo· 37% simJacquon GibsonMassachusetts· 35% simHarrison Wallace IIIOle Miss· 35% sim
Yards / catch
100
II
84
McMillan
15
Gibson
78
III
Long catch
60
II
65
McMillan
56
Gibson
65
III
Rec TDs
7
II
57
McMillan
7
Gibson
68
III
Rec yards
1
II
96
McMillan
74
Gibson
94
III
Receptions
0
II
90
McMillan
92
Gibson
90
III

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

P.J. Fleck

Pass share

51.7%

397 pass / 371 run

Plays / game

59.1

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.3%

302 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced, slow tempo.

Coaching Lineage · 2024–2025

1 coach
2024
P.J. Fleck
Minnesota
2025
P.J. Fleck
Minnesota

Played his entire career under P.J. Fleck.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownDecatur, GA
Height6'1"
Weight200 lb
Class2
PositionWR
Jersey15

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Minnesota WR2 #2577 #2930 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big Ten
2023 Minnesota WR2 #4497 #4682 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big Ten

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Minnesota Big Ten WR 2 No. 15 | 6-1 | 200 lb | Decatur, GA
2024 Minnesota Big Ten WR 2 No. 15 | 6-1 | 200 lb | Decatur, GA
2023 Minnesota Big Ten WR 2 No. 15 | 6-1 | 200 lb | Decatur, GA