CFB Zeitgeist Score
61
Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 80th percentile.
Keli Lawson
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
33 TACKLES · 2 SACKS
2026 Outlook
Returning to UCF for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Returning starter
Linebacker · UCF
Returning around him
- 31% of 2024 offensive production back (Moderate turnover)
- 1 UCF player drafted to NFL
- Transfer portal: -4 net (31 in / 35 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
UCF · Last season: 5-7 · Talent rank #43 · 2026 recruiting class #79
LB · UCF · BIG 12
Keli Lawson
- 4
- 6-4 | 223 lb
- Stephens City, VA
Heisman Heat
#10257
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP LB AWARD
Butkus
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR06 · Starter
Starter. A locked-in starting role.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
2 teams
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 3-star | 0.8667 | No. 749 recruit | HighSchool |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Virginia Tech -> UCF | 3-star | 0.8600 | Immediate |
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to —
Composite
0.8667
#749 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Keli Lawson
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Keli Lawson
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the defensive totals stand
Through 11g
33Tackles
2Tackles for loss
2Sacks
Per game
3Tackles
0.2Tackles for loss
0.2Sacks
Projected (13g)
39Tackles
2.4Tackles for loss
2.4Sacks
To hit 80-tackle season (currently 33): needs 23.5/game over remaining 2.
To hit 100-tackle season (currently 33): needs 33.5/game over remaining 2.
To hit 6-sack season (currently 2): needs 2/game over remaining 2.
To hit 10-sack season (currently 2): needs 4/game over remaining 2.
Why this is a rare defensive case
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Keli Lawson is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on UCF's defense, with 2.0 sacks, 2.0 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
DEF season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
High-disruption defender against FBS defenders.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Tackling & Disruption
TOT
33 76th
SOLO
25 84th
TFL
2.0 71st
SACK
2.0 90th
QBH
2 66th
Coverage & Takeaways
PD
1 43rd
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 11 games
| Wk | Opp | TKL | SOLO | TFL | SACK | INT | PD | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 17-10vs Jacksonville State | 3 | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 4 | W 34-9vs North Carolina | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 1 | |
| Wk 5 | L 20-34@ Kansas State | 4 | 4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 6 | L 20-27vs Kansas | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 7 | L 11-20@ Cincinnati | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 8 | W 45-13vs West Virginia | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 10 | L 3-30@ Baylor | 3 | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 11 | L 27-30vs Houston | 4 | 3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 12 | L 9-48@ Texas Tech | 5 | 3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | Season-high 5 tackles |
| Wk 13 | W 17-14vs Oklahoma State | 4 | 4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 14 | L 21-41@ BYU | 3 | 2 | 2.0 | 2.0 | — | 0 | 2 sacks |
| Total | 33 | 25 | 2.0 | 2.0 | — | 1 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2021Virginia Tech6-6HC: J.C. Price · Run-heavy
2022Virginia Tech3-8HC: Brent Pry · Balanced
2023Virginia Tech7-6HC: Brent Pry · Run-leaning
2025UCF5-7HC: Scott Frost · Balanced
| Season | Team | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | UCF | 33 | 25 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1 | -- | -- |
| 2023 | Virginia Tech | 76 | 37 | 7.0 | 2.5 | 6 | 1 | -- |
| 2022 | Virginia Tech | 23 | 11 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | -- |
| 2021 | Virginia Tech | 1 | -- | 0.0 | 0.0 | -- | -- | -- |
| Career | 4 loaded seasons | 133 | 73 | 12.0 | 5.5 | 8 | 2 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.
Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Defense | Total tackles | 33 | #1194/4942 | 76th pct | Volumevs FBS DEF |
| Defense | TFL | 2.0 | #1443/4972 | 71st pct | Disruptionvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Sacks | 2.0 | #491/4972 | 90th pct | Disruptionvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Pass breakups | 1 | #1241/2184 | 43rd pct | Coveragevs FBS DEF |
| Defense | QB hurries | 2 | #647/1878 | 66th pct | Disruptionvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Solo tackles | 25 | #744/4584 | 84th pct | Volumevs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Defensive TD | 1 | #23/200 | 89th pct | Scoringvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Fumbles recovered | 1 | #103/736 | 86th pct | Takeawaysvs FBS DEF |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 0 | #1/773 | 100th pct | Turnoversvs FBS DEF |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
The Butkus award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 11 games
Home vs Road
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home6g | 2.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Road5g | 3.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 |
Win vs Loss
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins4g | 2.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Losses7g | 3.1 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-75g | 2.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Weeks 8+6g | 3.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the LB cohort
61Solid starter
Production sits in the middle of the position cohort across the board.
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · LB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Keli LawsonUCFMarsel McDuffieUNLV· 75% simJaxton EckNew Mexico· 75% simDaniel WingateMaryland· 75% sim
Sacks
Solo tackles
QB hurries
Tackles
Passes defended
Forced fumbles
Tackles for loss
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Balanced Linebacker
Solid in every phase without a signature dimension.
LB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Derek Mcdonald’s 2022 season.
Derek Mcdonald
73%match
#2
Dan Foster
72%
#3
Grayson Metz
71%
#4
Kenny Hebert
70%
#5
Shamar McCollum
70%
Matches Derek on
Tackle volume
Weight
PD rate
Differs from Derek on
Sack rate (higher)
Class year (higher)
Not enough data yet for this comparison.
As a graduate, his production profile tracks closest to Leon Lowery's graduate season at Wisconsin (2024).
Leon Lowery
75%match
#2
Jaylen Hudson
74%
#3
Tyquan King
All-AAC
74%
#4
Isaiah Bagnah
74%
#5
Ryheem Craig
74%
Matches Leon on
TFL rate
Sack rate
PD rate
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Scott Frost
Pass share
51.7%
403 pass / 377 run
Plays / game
65.0
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
6.5%
324 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025
2 coaches2021
Gus Malzahn
UCF
2022
Gus Malzahn
UCF
2023
Gus Malzahn
UCF
2025era →
Scott Frost
UCF
Coaching transition mid-career: Gus Malzahn → Scott Frost. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownStephens City, VA
Height6'4"
Weight223 lb
Class4
PositionLB
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamUCF
ConferenceBig 12
Joined2025
Career arc5 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Virginia Tech | LB4 | #10257 | #10204 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | ACC |
| 2023 | Virginia Tech | LB4 | #6529 | #7361 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | ACC |
| 2022 | Virginia Tech | LB4 | #9743 | #10204 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | ACC |
| 2021 | Virginia Tech | LB4 | #11157 | #10978 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | ACC |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | UCF | Big 12 | LB | 4 | 6-4 | 223 lb | Stephens City, VA |
| 2024 | Virginia Tech | ACC | LB | 4 | 6-4 | 223 lb | Stephens City, VA |
| 2023 | Virginia Tech | ACC | LB | 4 | 6-4 | 223 lb | Stephens City, VA |
| 2022 | Virginia Tech | ACC | LB | 4 | 6-4 | 223 lb | Stephens City, VA |
| 2021 | Virginia Tech | ACC | LB | 4 | 6-4 | 223 lb | Stephens City, VA |