CFB Zeitgeist Score
17
Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by interceptions at the 99th percentile.
Keldric Luster
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
14 PASS YDS · 0 PASS TD · 14 RUSH YDS
Where He Ended Up · Transfer
Transferred to Ball State
2025Texas State
2026Ball State
QB · TEXAS STATE · SUN BELT
Keldric Luster
- 2
- #6
- 5-10 | 225 lb
- McKinney, TX
Heisman Heat
#366
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP QB AWARD
Davey O'Brien
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR06 · Starter
Starter. A locked-in starting role.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · passing yards
2023–2025-39%
Sharp dropoff (-39%) — career inflection point.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
2 teams
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 3-star | 0.8453 | No. 1553 recruit | HighSchool | SMU |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Texas State -> Ball State | 3-star | Immediate |
| 2025 | SMU -> Texas State | 3-star | 0.8300 | Immediate |
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to SMU
Composite
0.8453
#1553 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Keldric Luster
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
—
Awaiting per-cohort signal
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- National · n=3
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Keldric Luster
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the passing totals stand
Through 2g
14Pass yards
0Pass TDs
0INT
Per game
7Pass yards
0Pass TDs
0INT
Projected (13g)
91Pass yards
0Pass TDs
0INT
To hit 3,000-yard season (currently 14): needs 271.5/game over remaining 11.
To hit 4,000-yard season (currently 14): needs 362.4/game over remaining 11.
To hit 25 passing TDs (currently 0): needs 2.3/game over remaining 11.
To hit 30 passing TDs (currently 0): needs 2.7/game over remaining 11.
To hit 35 passing TDs (currently 0): needs 3.2/game over remaining 11.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Keldric Luster's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Texas State, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
QB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Pocket-leaning against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Passing Efficiency
CMP
1 8th
ATT
3 15th
CMP%
33.3% 4th
Y/A
4.7 15th
Passing Production
YDS
14 8th
TD
0 30th
INT
0 100th
Rushing
CAR
3 20th
YDS
14 35th
YPC
4.7 74th
TD
0 44th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 2 games
| Wk | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA | QBR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 52-27vs Eastern Michigan | 0/1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 81.1 | |
| Wk 4 | W 35-3vs Nicholls | 1/2 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 7.0 | 19.9 | Season-high 14 yds |
| Total | 1/3 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 3.5 | 50.5 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2023SMU11-3HC: Rhett Lashlee · Run-leaning
2024SMU11-3HC: Rhett Lashlee · Run-leaning
2025Texas State7-6HC: G.J. Kinne · Run-heavy
| Season | Team | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Texas State | 1 | 3 | 33.3% | 14 | 4.7 | 0 | 0 | 72.5 | -- | -- |
| 2024 | SMU | 1 | 3 | 33.3% | -- | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 33.3 | -- | -- |
| 2023 | SMU | 2 | 6 | 33.3% | 23 | 3.8 | 0 | 0 | 65.5 | -- | -- |
| Career | 3 loaded seasons | 4 | 12 | 33.3% | 37 | 3.1 | 0 | 0 | 59.2 | -- | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Texas State | 3 | 14 | 4.7 | 0 | -- |
| 2024 | SMU | 11 | 50 | 4.5 | 0 | -- |
| 2023 | SMU | 3 | 18 | 6.0 | 0 | -- |
| Career | 3 loaded seasons | 17 | 82 | 4.8 | 0 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.
How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing | Passing yards | 14 | #354/382 | 8th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Pass TD | 0 | #285/407 | 30th pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completions | 1 | #355/383 | 8th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completion % | 33.3% | #368/383 | 4th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Yards / attempt | 4.7 | #324/382 | 15th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 14 | #268/408 | 35th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Usage | Role share | 4.5% | #350/428 | 18th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Attempts | 3 | #346/407 | 15th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Interceptions | 0 | #1/407 | 100th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 10 | #298/391 | 24th pct | Metricvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 4.7 | #108/407 | 74th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Carries | 3 | #327/408 | 20th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 0 | #230/408 | 44th pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 12.5% | #286/428 | 33rd pct | Money-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 11.1% | #292/428 | 32nd pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | Pass share | 6.3% | #333/428 | 22nd pct | Air-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Usage | Rush share | 3.5% | #315/428 | 27th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 3.1% | #362/428 | 16th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 2.2% | #386/428 | 10th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 2.0% | #389/428 | 9th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS QB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 2 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home2g | 7.0 | 0.0 | 3.5 | 0.0 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins2g | 7.0 | 0.0 | 3.5 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-72g | 7.0 | 0.0 | 3.5 | 0.0 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort
17Below cohort
Elite: interceptions (99th). Concern: completion % (0th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · QB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Keldric LusterTexas StateNick VattiatoMiddle Tennessee· 57% simLogan FifeNew Mexico State· 54% simRyan BrownePurdue· 51% sim
Interceptions
Rush yards
Rush TDs
Yards / att
Pass yards
Pass TDs
Completion %
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
G.J. Kinne
Pass share
39.5%
358 pass / 549 run
Plays / game
69.8
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
9.4%
267 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-heavy.
Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025
1 coach2023
G.J. Kinne
Texas State
2024
G.J. Kinne
Texas State
2025
G.J. Kinne
Texas State
Played his entire career under G.J. Kinne.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownMcKinney, TX
Height5'10"
Weight225 lb
Class2
PositionQB
Jersey6
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamTexas State
ConferenceSun Belt
Joined2025
Career arc3 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Texas State | Sun Belt | QB | 2 | No. 6 | 5-10 | 225 lb | McKinney, TX |
| 2024 | SMU | ACC | QB | 2 | No. 6 | 5-10 | 225 lb | McKinney, TX |
| 2023 | SMU | American Athletic | QB | 2 | No. 6 | 5-10 | 225 lb | McKinney, TX |